AU - Newcastle - Race 7

Thoroughbred

13 Runners

Benchmark

Turf

SOFT 6

29.2K

VIEW

Verdict

YOU SEXY THING (4) total forgive from the outside draw first-up, when snagged back before running on late with a respectable fifth over 6f at Kembla Grange. Claim helps from the low gate and expected to go on with it this time in. CRIMSON WINGS (2) has disappointed in her two runs back and will be looking for an improving surface on the roomier Newcastle track. Leading player over the extra trip. CELTIC SIN (5) yet to draw a decent barrier in her three runs back and today is no different. Undefeated at this track and look for her closing strongly. Each way. JAMACRI (12) is chasing a hat-trick after scoring two good wins in the bush. Gets in light with Stiff's claim from the right gate. Sure to be around the money.

numberFire Picks

Horse Stats

#/Silk	Horse#/Horse	Power Rating	High Speed	Win %	Top 3%	Win Prob	Odds
4	Second run back. First-up after five months 5th of 8 at Kembla Grange Cl1 on June 20 over 6f, slow going 2.5 len behind Diacon with 129lbs at $4.20. Previously second-up 4th of 9 at Canterbury Super 3yo Mdn on December 12 over 6 ¼f, slow going 0.8 len behind Airworthy with 121lbs at $5. Fitter now and can improve sharply over this trip. 1st Pick 4 You Sexy Thing Jockey: Shannen Llewellyn Trainer: Ciaron Maher J: Shannen Llewellyn T: Ciaron Maher	132	-	-	-	40%
Analysis Second run back. First-up after five months 5th of 8 at Kembla Grange Cl1 on June 20 over 6f, slow going 2.5 len behind Diacon with 129lbs at $4.20. Previously second-up 4th of 9 at Canterbury Super 3yo Mdn on December 12 over 6 ¼f, slow going 0.8 len behind Airworthy with 121lbs at $5. Fitter now and can improve sharply over this trip.
7	Comes here off a 29-day let-up. Most recently ran second last of 7 at Nowra Bm66 on June 15 over 1m, in the wet, 3.5 len behind Lightning Speed carrying 132lbs at $2.45. The race before that favourite, raced right near the speed and boxed on, won by a head at Nowra Bm66 May 24 over 7f in heavy going defeating Omnic carrying 128lbs at $3.50. Blinkers go on and has genuine claims. 2nd Pick 7 Spiritualistic Jockey: Non Runner Trainer: Mitchell Beer & George Carpenter J: Non Runner T: Mitchell Beer & George Carpenter	135	-	-	-	1%	Scratched
Analysis Comes here off a 29-day let-up. Most recently ran second last of 7 at Nowra Bm66 on June 15 over 1m, in the wet, 3.5 len behind Lightning Speed carrying 132lbs at $2.45. The race before that favourite, raced right near the speed and boxed on, won by a head at Nowra Bm66 May 24 over 7f in heavy going defeating Omnic carrying 128lbs at $3.50. Blinkers go on and has genuine claims.
3	Most recently made ground from midfield, 3rd of 12 at Warwick Farm F&M Bm72 on June 24 over 6 ½f, 2 len behind Mrs Maree carrying 125lbs at $6.50. Before that got back early 8th of 10 at Canterbury 3yo Bm64 on June 8 over 6 ¼f, on a slow track, 4.5 len behind Hello Captain carrying 131lbs at $8.50. Nice effort last time. Back in grade and due for a change of luck. 3rd Pick 3 Wootton Way Jockey: Non Runner Trainer: Chris Waller J: Non Runner T: Chris Waller	131	-	-	-	1%	Scratched
Analysis Most recently made ground from midfield, 3rd of 12 at Warwick Farm F&M Bm72 on June 24 over 6 ½f, 2 len behind Mrs Maree carrying 125lbs at $6.50. Before that got back early 8th of 10 at Canterbury 3yo Bm64 on June 8 over 6 ¼f, on a slow track, 4.5 len behind Hello Captain carrying 131lbs at $8.50. Nice effort last time. Back in grade and due for a change of luck.

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Horse Racing Basic Terms

Track Bias

The term used to identify which parts of the track or running styles are producing more winners.

Furlong

One furlong is an eighth of a mile.

Claiming Race

A race in which horses are entered for a certain price, or claiming tag, which is also their sales price. An owner can claim any horse entered for the tag before the race begins, and owns them as soon as the gates open.