AU - Newcastle - Race 7

Thoroughbred

11 Runners

7.5f

Benchmark

Turf

GOOD 4

29.5K

VIEW

Verdict

COMMANDING ARTIST (3) tackled a better race than this when fresh from a spell last time out over 6 ¾f here and was safely held in fifth. Needs the extra ¾f now and won't spend a cent out of the inside alley. Poses a serious threat. JACENZA (6) scored convincingly here in a 7 ½f BM64 two back then led but was swamped in the Coonamble Cup over a mile more recently. In the mix back in this company. UNREACHABLE (8) put the writing on the wall last time and will enjoy getting to this distance. ALABAMA BLITZ (7) could be ready to peak after improving to place last start.

numberFire Picks

Horse Stats

#/Silk	Horse#/Horse	Power Rating	High Speed	Win %	Top 3%	Win Prob	Odds
1	Dual acceptor. Second-up. First-up after five months came from midfield and won by 0.8 len in a Crystalspr Bm85 at Coonamble on October 11 over 6f defeating Crook carrying 121lbs at $2.80. Previously second-up came home strongly from last on the turn, 4th of 16 in the Country Championships Final at Randwick on April 4 over 7f, slow going 2.75 len behind Chidiac carrying 119lbs at $18. Has won two from four when second-up so she can hold that form. 1st Pick 1 Poisen Point Jockey: Non Runner Trainer: Brett Robb J: Non Runner T: Brett Robb	148	-	-	-	1%	Scratched
Analysis Dual acceptor. Second-up. First-up after five months came from midfield and won by 0.8 len in a Crystalspr Bm85 at Coonamble on October 11 over 6f defeating Crook carrying 121lbs at $2.80. Previously second-up came home strongly from last on the turn, 4th of 16 in the Country Championships Final at Randwick on April 4 over 7f, slow going 2.75 len behind Chidiac carrying 119lbs at $18. Has won two from four when second-up so she can hold that form.
3	Second run back. First-up after six months 5th of 8 in a Cond Open(Bm72) at this track on October 17 over 6 ¾f, on a slow track, 3 len behind Oakfield Utah carrying 125lbs at $5.50. Previously second-up 4th of 10 in a Cg&E Bm64 at Beaumont (Newcastle) on December 26 over 6 ¾f, 0.7 len behind Caltsar carrying 132lbs at $6. Perfectly drawn and should improve sharply. 2nd Pick 3 Commanding Artist Jockey: Keagan Latham Trainer: Gerald Ryan & Sterling Alexiou J: Keagan Latham T: Gerald Ryan & Sterling Alexiou	148	-	-	-	17%
Analysis Second run back. First-up after six months 5th of 8 in a Cond Open(Bm72) at this track on October 17 over 6 ¾f, on a slow track, 3 len behind Oakfield Utah carrying 125lbs at $5.50. Previously second-up 4th of 10 in a Cg&E Bm64 at Beaumont (Newcastle) on December 26 over 6 ¾f, 0.7 len behind Caltsar carrying 132lbs at $6. Perfectly drawn and should improve sharply.
2	Dual acceptor. Form hard to fault. Most recently came from midfield, 2nd of 11 in a Midway Bm72 at Rosehill on October 10 over 7f, 0.6 len behind Alabama State with 122lbs at $11. The race before that won by 1.0 len in a Cl1 at Scone on September 25 over 6 ½f defeating Summer Force with 134lbs at $3. Flying this prep and is one of the leading hopes again. 3rd Pick 2 Force March Jockey: Non Runner Trainer: Andrew Macdonald J: Non Runner T: Andrew Macdonald	125	-	-	-	1%	Scratched
Analysis Dual acceptor. Form hard to fault. Most recently came from midfield, 2nd of 11 in a Midway Bm72 at Rosehill on October 10 over 7f, 0.6 len behind Alabama State with 122lbs at $11. The race before that won by 1.0 len in a Cl1 at Scone on September 25 over 6 ½f defeating Summer Force with 134lbs at $3. Flying this prep and is one of the leading hopes again.

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Horse Racing Basic Terms

Show Wager

Betting on a horse to finish in the first three spots, which pays out the same whether they win or run second or third.

Breeder

The owner of a horse’s dam – or mother - at the time a horse is foaled.

Minus Pool

A pari-mutuel pool – typically a show pool - where one horse is so heavily bet that after deductions there is not enough money left to cover the prescribed minimum on each bet.