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5:40 AM

AU - Newcastle - Race 6

Thoroughbred
18 Runners
8f
Benchmark
Turf
HEAVY 8
30.0K

All race stats and comments are provided by numberfire. Complex algorithms are used to calculate stats like the power rating. Numberfire picks are provided by horse racing experts that work with numberfire.

Verdict

STELLAR RHONDA (9) made it two wins from as many runs this prep when she comfortably took out a BM64 over this distance at Gosford last start. Has only raced four times so Matthew Smith hasn't reached the bottom of this mare yet. Follow her up. OFF THE SCALE (11) won a BM66 over the mile at Taree in soft ground two back then tackled a similar race last time on the heavy and struggled. If the track is back in the soft range today she can certainly measure up. TANGLEWOOD JIMMY (12) settled next to last from a wide gate then closed with gusto to get up for third in a 7f Randwick Highway last start. Again has no luck with the barrier draw but he will enjoy getting the mile and is one to watch for in the dying stages. DEEPWATER ARTIST (3) just missed in a Class 4 at Bathurst recently. Query at 1m but is well in after the claim and should be competitive. The lightly raced SILVER TEMPEST (2) scored a barnstorming win first-up at Taree and will relish the longer trip today.
numberFire Picks
Horse Stats
#/SilkHorse#/HorsePower RatingHigh SpeedWin %Top 3%Win ProbOdds
9
Stellar Rhonda silk

Third-up today. Resuming favourite, won by a head at Nowra Mdn April 5 over 7f in heavy going defeating Flying Party carrying 128lbs at $2.90. Second run from a spell favourite, came from midfield and won by 1.3 len at Gosford Bm64 April 25 over 1m defeating Bondi Blossom carrying 121lbs at $3.50. Profiles nicely. Flying this prep and can keep the momentum going.

1st Pick
9

Stellar Rhonda

Jockey: Zac Lloyd

Trainer: Matthew Smith

J: Zac Lloyd

T: Matthew Smith

123---29%5/2

Analysis

Third-up today. Resuming favourite, won by a head at Nowra Mdn April 5 over 7f in heavy going defeating Flying Party carrying 128lbs at $2.90. Second run from a spell favourite, came from midfield and won by 1.3 len at Gosford Bm64 April 25 over 1m defeating Bondi Blossom carrying 121lbs at $3.50. Profiles nicely. Flying this prep and can keep the momentum going.

11
Off The Scale silk

Form hard to fault. Most recently 4th of 11 at Taree Bm66 on May 5 over 1m, on a wet track, 2.75 len behind Talana carrying 129lbs at $6.50. Before that won by a nose at Taree Bm66 April 21 over 1m on a soft track defeating Oakfield Peewee carrying 122lbs at $2.80. Nicely placed to turn things around.

2nd Pick
11

Off The Scale

Jockey: Tom Sherry

Trainer: Lou Mary

J: Tom Sherry

T: Lou Mary

126---8%12/1

Analysis

Form hard to fault. Most recently 4th of 11 at Taree Bm66 on May 5 over 1m, on a wet track, 2.75 len behind Talana carrying 129lbs at $6.50. Before that won by a nose at Taree Bm66 April 21 over 1m on a soft track defeating Oakfield Peewee carrying 122lbs at $2.80. Nicely placed to turn things around.

12
Tanglewood Jimmy silk

Comes here off a 31-day let-up. Most recently 3rd of 13 at Randwick Highway-C3 on April 18 over 7f, 2 len behind Ishikari carrying 123lbs at $18. The run before that 2nd of 14 at Muswellbrook Ctry Cl3 on March 27 over 7 ¼f, on a slow track, 1.0 len behind Solitario carrying 126lbs at $11. Honest gelding who can play a key role with a bit of luck from the wide gate.

3rd Pick
12

Tanglewood Jimmy

Jockey: Kerrin Mcevoy

Trainer: Wayne Wilkes

J: Kerrin Mcevoy

T: Wayne Wilkes

95---17%5/1

Analysis

Comes here off a 31-day let-up. Most recently 3rd of 13 at Randwick Highway-C3 on April 18 over 7f, 2 len behind Ishikari carrying 123lbs at $18. The run before that 2nd of 14 at Muswellbrook Ctry Cl3 on March 27 over 7 ¼f, on a slow track, 1.0 len behind Solitario carrying 126lbs at $11. Honest gelding who can play a key role with a bit of luck from the wide gate.

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