AU - Newcastle - Race 4

Thoroughbred

8 Runners

Class 1

Turf

GOOD 4

29.5K

VIEW

Verdict

Plenty of strong form lines converge. ITALIAN SPIRIT (1) led for the judge then gave a kick and was too good in a 7f maiden over 7f at Kembla last start. Out of an Oaks winner so the extra 1f today can only help. Should bowl along in front and give them something to catch again. PERINI MISS (4) led from the outset and toyed with a maiden field over 7 ½f at this track last time out. Promising mare with more to offer at just the third run of the campaign. LEGASELLI (7) won her maiden two back over this distance at Kembla. Pulled up in a bad way last start so put a line through that run. In the right race to bounce back to form. AUTUMN SKY (3) didn't do a great deal first-up over 6 ½f at the Illawarra Grange but will enjoy the longer journey this afternoon.

numberFire Picks

Horse Stats

#/Silk	Horse#/Horse	Power Rating	High Speed	Win %	Top 3%	Win Prob
1	Third-up today. First-up 2nd in a small field in a Cg&E Mdn at Kembla Grange on September 26 over 7f, 3 len behind Lafite carrying 132lbs at $2.15. Second-up favourite, won by 1.2 len in a Mdn at Rosehill on October 14 over 7f on a rain affected track defeating Snitzel's Girl with 130lbs at $4.40. Fitter and is capable of taking this out. 1st Pick 1 Italian Spirit Jockey: Louis-Philippe Beuzelin Trainer: Gai Waterhouse & Adrian Bott J: Louis-Philippe Beuzelin T: Gai Waterhouse & Adrian Bott	230	-	-	-	42%
Analysis Third-up today. First-up 2nd in a small field in a Cg&E Mdn at Kembla Grange on September 26 over 7f, 3 len behind Lafite carrying 132lbs at $2.15. Second-up favourite, won by 1.2 len in a Mdn at Rosehill on October 14 over 7f on a rain affected track defeating Snitzel's Girl with 130lbs at $4.40. Fitter and is capable of taking this out.
4	Third-up today. First-up sat on the speed and boxed on steadily 5th of 11 in a Mdn at Taree on September 22 over 6 ½f, on a slow track, 4.5 len behind Columbo carrying 121lbs at $10. Second run from a spell won by 2.75 len in a 4yo+ MDN-Sw at this track on October 6 over 7 ½f defeating Dance With Destiny carrying 126lbs at $8.50. Can make it back-to-back wins with the confidence high. 2nd Pick 4 Perini Miss Jockey: Jean Van Overmeire Trainer: Nathan Doyle J: Jean Van Overmeire T: Nathan Doyle	155	-	-	-	8%
Analysis Third-up today. First-up sat on the speed and boxed on steadily 5th of 11 in a Mdn at Taree on September 22 over 6 ½f, on a slow track, 4.5 len behind Columbo carrying 121lbs at $10. Second run from a spell won by 2.75 len in a 4yo+ MDN-Sw at this track on October 6 over 7 ½f defeating Dance With Destiny carrying 126lbs at $8.50. Can make it back-to-back wins with the confidence high.
7	Comes here off a 35-day let-up. Last start couldn't go on with it, 10th of 13 in a Cl1-Sw at Kembla Grange on September 26 over 1 ¼m, 24 len behind Criteria carrying 123lbs at $4.20. The start before that raced right near the speed and boxed on, won by 1.0 len in a Mdn-Sw at Kembla Grange on September 12 over 1m defeating Van Hoven with 122lbs at $1.90. Certainly worth another chance back at the mile. 3rd Pick 7 Legaselli Jockey: Keagan Latham Trainer: John P Thompson J: Keagan Latham T: John P Thompson	162	-	-	-	17%
Analysis Comes here off a 35-day let-up. Last start couldn't go on with it, 10th of 13 in a Cl1-Sw at Kembla Grange on September 26 over 1 ¼m, 24 len behind Criteria carrying 123lbs at $4.20. The start before that raced right near the speed and boxed on, won by 1.0 len in a Mdn-Sw at Kembla Grange on September 12 over 1m defeating Van Hoven with 122lbs at $1.90. Certainly worth another chance back at the mile.

Upcoming Races

Horse Racing Basic Terms

Stakes Race

Stakes Races are known as better class races, with higher purses and often accompanies by trophies.

Tack

The equipment the horse wears, including saddle and bridle. A jockey typically has their own racing saddle, placed on each horse they ride just before the race.

Fractions

The times recorded during the race; with timing starting just past the gate or when the gates open, then parroted for the quarter, half, three-quarters etc. Used as an indication of ability and speed.