AU - Newcastle - Race 1

Thoroughbred

9 Runners

9.2f

Maiden

Turf

SOFT 5

28.9K

VIEW

Verdict

SARAPO (4) Frankel gelding set to deliver at start nine with the blinkers being added. Set to peak for this fourth-up after he closed strongly with a tough third over 1 ?m at Hawkesbury. Gets map favours and no excuses today. SCOOP THE POOL (5) drifted back from the outside gate and attacked the line strongly at his second run back when third over 1m at this track. Can race a little closer here and shapes as the main danger. LILAC GIRL (8) has come back a tougher filly at her second campaign and is starting to get up to her right distance range. Never really suited around the tight Wyong track with a plugging fourth over 1m. Expect to see her push forward from the awkward gate and play a leading role. CAVALRY (1) comes up from Victoria after surging late in a slow run contest to finish second over 7f at Pakenham. Sharp jump in trip and place prospects look best.

numberFire Picks

Horse Stats

#/Silk	Horse#/Horse	Power Rating	High Speed	Win %	Top 3%	Win Prob
4	Most recently made some head-way from midfield, 3rd of 11 at Hawkesbury Mdn-Sw on March 17 over 1m, 1.5 len behind So D'oro with 127lbs at $3.40. The run before that settled back and ran on when 6th of 10 at Warwick Farm Super 3yo+ Mdn on March 4 over 1m, on a slow track, 5 len behind Oso Spirited with 130lbs at $4.60. Well placed. Ready to win with the blinkers going on. 1st Pick 4 Sarapo Jockey: Jason Collett Trainer: Chris Waller J: Jason Collett T: Chris Waller	154	-	-	-	36%
Analysis Most recently made some head-way from midfield, 3rd of 11 at Hawkesbury Mdn-Sw on March 17 over 1m, 1.5 len behind So D'oro with 127lbs at $3.40. The run before that settled back and ran on when 6th of 10 at Warwick Farm Super 3yo+ Mdn on March 4 over 1m, on a slow track, 5 len behind Oso Spirited with 130lbs at $4.60. Well placed. Ready to win with the blinkers going on.
5	Third-up today. Resuming 2nd in a small field at Scone Mdn-Sw on February 24 over 7f, on a slow track, 1.0 len behind Pappa Blue carrying 129lbs at $5. Second run from a spell 3rd of 8 at this track Super Mdn-Sw on March 12 over 1m, on a slow track, 1.4 len behind Stand My Ground with 129lbs at $5. Capable of a better showing. Near his top and ready for this trip. 2nd Pick 5 Scoop The Pool Jockey: Dylan Gibbons Trainer: John O'shea & Tom Charlton J: Dylan Gibbons T: John O'shea & Tom Charlton	201	-	-	-	29%
Analysis Third-up today. Resuming 2nd in a small field at Scone Mdn-Sw on February 24 over 7f, on a slow track, 1.0 len behind Pappa Blue carrying 129lbs at $5. Second run from a spell 3rd of 8 at this track Super Mdn-Sw on March 12 over 1m, on a slow track, 1.4 len behind Stand My Ground with 129lbs at $5. Capable of a better showing. Near his top and ready for this trip.
8	Third-up today. Resuming 2nd of 10 at this track 3yo+ Mdn on March 6 over 7f, 0.5 len behind Mister Martini carrying 121lbs at $10. Last start 4th of 7 at Wyong Super Mdn on March 18 over 1m, slow going 4.5 len behind Think Itz You carrying 119lbs at $5. Look for a much better performance. 3rd Pick 8 Lilac Girl Jockey: Regan Bayliss Trainer: Gai Waterhouse & Adrian Bott J: Regan Bayliss T: Gai Waterhouse & Adrian Bott	148	-	-	-	17%
Analysis Third-up today. Resuming 2nd of 10 at this track 3yo+ Mdn on March 6 over 7f, 0.5 len behind Mister Martini carrying 121lbs at $10. Last start 4th of 7 at Wyong Super Mdn on March 18 over 1m, slow going 4.5 len behind Think Itz You carrying 119lbs at $5. Look for a much better performance.

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Horse Racing Basic Terms

Morning Line

An approximation of expected odds in a race, quoted before actual odds are determined.

Exacta

A bet selecting the first and second horses in a race in the correct order. An exacta box refers to paying a little more to ensure they can finish in either order.

Bolt

A sudden veering to the inside or outside rail, often caused by the horse spooking or shying from something.