AU - Newcastle - Race 1

Thoroughbred

8 Runners

6.2f

Maiden

Turf

SOFT 6

29.2K

VIEW

Verdict

STATE SECRET (7) should get a comfortable lead here and can shed his Maiden tag at start five. Went out fast with the 131lbs before knocking up in the straight to finish fourth over 7f at Hawkesbury. Back in trip and will take holding out with the blinkers going on. ALGORITHMIC (1) resumed for the new yard with a tenacious on-pace head second over 6f at this track in the small field. Fitter now and shapes as the main danger. TELLURIUM (8) ticking along fairly over the shorter trips and he gets a much better setup today third-up. Went back from the wide gate and motored late with a tidy fifth over 5 ½f at Warwick Farm. No surprise to see him play a leading role over the extra ground. LIFE YOUNG EVER (4) having his third race start today on an improving surface. Has a host of gear changes and can make sharp improvement.

numberFire Picks

Horse Stats

#/Silk	Horse#/Horse	Power Rating	High Speed	Win %	Top 3%	Win Prob
7	Third-up today. Resuming tried to lead throughout but was claimed late 2nd of 10 at Wyong Super Mdn-Sw on June 7 over 6f, on a slow track, 0.9 len behind Onmalone with 130lbs at $21. Second run from a spell 4th in a small field at Hawkesbury 3yo Mdn on June 23 over 7f, on a slow track, 2 len behind He's Got Grunt with 131lbs at $6. Blinkers go today and no excuses for this. 1st Pick 7 State Secret Jockey: Rachel King Trainer: Gai Waterhouse & Adrian Bott J: Rachel King T: Gai Waterhouse & Adrian Bott	166	-	-	-	19%
Analysis Third-up today. Resuming tried to lead throughout but was claimed late 2nd of 10 at Wyong Super Mdn-Sw on June 7 over 6f, on a slow track, 0.9 len behind Onmalone with 130lbs at $21. Second run from a spell 4th in a small field at Hawkesbury 3yo Mdn on June 23 over 7f, on a slow track, 2 len behind He's Got Grunt with 131lbs at $6. Blinkers go today and no excuses for this.
1	Dual acceptor. Second run back. First-up after six months gave a sight but was run down late 2nd in a small field at this track Prov 3yo+ Mdn on June 27 over 6f, in the wet, nose behind Poshy's Girl carrying 129lbs at $2.10. Previously second-up came from midfield, 3rd of 10 at Seymour 3yo Mdn-Sw on December 28 over 7f, 6 len behind Sass Appeal with 128lbs at $3.90. Sure to be right there at the business end. 2nd Pick 1 Algorithmic Jockey: Andrew Gibbons Trainer: Nikki Hodgson J: Andrew Gibbons T: Nikki Hodgson	212	-	-	-	40%
Analysis Dual acceptor. Second run back. First-up after six months gave a sight but was run down late 2nd in a small field at this track Prov 3yo+ Mdn on June 27 over 6f, in the wet, nose behind Poshy's Girl carrying 129lbs at $2.10. Previously second-up came from midfield, 3rd of 10 at Seymour 3yo Mdn-Sw on December 28 over 7f, 6 len behind Sass Appeal with 128lbs at $3.90. Sure to be right there at the business end.
8	Having third race start. When well in the market at debut, got back early 5th of 8 at Gosford Mid Mdn-Sw on June 11 over 5 ½f, slow going 4.5 len behind Arato carrying 130lbs at $3.90. Last start 5th of 12 at Warwick Farm Super Mdn-Sw on June 24 over 5 ½f, slow going 3.5 len behind Zoufame carrying 130lbs at $71. Well placed this time and can improve sharply. 3rd Pick 8 Tellurium Jockey: Zac Lloyd Trainer: Richard Litt J: Zac Lloyd T: Richard Litt	112	-	-	-	34%
Analysis Having third race start. When well in the market at debut, got back early 5th of 8 at Gosford Mid Mdn-Sw on June 11 over 5 ½f, slow going 4.5 len behind Arato carrying 130lbs at $3.90. Last start 5th of 12 at Warwick Farm Super Mdn-Sw on June 24 over 5 ½f, slow going 3.5 len behind Zoufame carrying 130lbs at $71. Well placed this time and can improve sharply.

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Horse Racing Basic Terms

Exacta

A bet selecting the first and second horses in a race in the correct order. An exacta box refers to paying a little more to ensure they can finish in either order.

Bleeder

A horse that bleeds due to a ruptured blood vessel during a race or workout. The medication Lasix can fix this problem.

Fractions

The times recorded during the race; with timing starting just past the gate or when the gates open, then parroted for the quarter, half, three-quarters etc. Used as an indication of ability and speed.