AU - Beaumont (Newcastle) - Race 6

Thoroughbred

8 Runners

11.4f

OPEN

Turf

GOOD 4

213.8K

VIEW

Verdict

AETHELWULF (6) lightly raced staying prospect who takes on this trip and grade for the first time. Didn't beat much last start, but it was the arrogance in the way he won with the 128lbs over 1 ¼m at Rosehill that suggests he's up to this class. Sure to go close. BELLA MONTAGNA (3) raced without luck last prep and ticks a few boxes second up. Kept safe in betting first up with a narrow fourth in the LR Wyong Cup over 1 5/16m. Leading contender who can win a good race this time in. CHANGINGOFTHEGUARD (1) Sydney Cup winner who held his ground to the line on resumption when last in the G3 Premier's Cup at Randwick over 1 ¼m. Stays in the calculations. ELLIPTICAL (5) improving with racing and like the way he gripped on with a narrow third in the LR Wyong Gold Cup. Can hold a position from the low gate.

numberFire Picks

Horse Stats

#/Silk	Horse#/Horse	Power Rating	High Speed	Win %	Top 3%	Win Prob	Odds
6	Recent form sound. Most recently favourite, raced right near the speed and boxed on, won by 2.25 len in a Bm78 at Rosehill on August 29 over 1 ¼m defeating Anthracite carrying 128lbs at $1.35. The run before that favourite, tracked the speed and boxed on steadily, won by 5 len in a Bm72 at Canterbury on August 5 over 1 ³/16m defeating Forbidden Riff carrying 128lbs at $1.26. Exciting gelding who looks ready for this tough assignment. 1st Pick 6 Aethelwulf Jockey: Zac Lloyd Trainer: Matthew Smith J: Zac Lloyd T: Matthew Smith	165	-	-	-	84%
Analysis Recent form sound. Most recently favourite, raced right near the speed and boxed on, won by 2.25 len in a Bm78 at Rosehill on August 29 over 1 ¼m defeating Anthracite carrying 128lbs at $1.35. The run before that favourite, tracked the speed and boxed on steadily, won by 5 len in a Bm72 at Canterbury on August 5 over 1 ³/16m defeating Forbidden Riff carrying 128lbs at $1.26. Exciting gelding who looks ready for this tough assignment.
2	Racing well recently. At the latest run won by 1.75 len in the LR City Tatt's Club Cup at Randwick on September 5 over 1 ½m defeating Fernao with 127lbs at $3. The start before that set the pace for much of the race 2nd of 8 in the G3 Premier's Cup at Randwick on August 22 over 1 ¼m, slow going 0.6 len behind Boniface with 117lbs at $3.60. In career best form and hard to hold out in this vein of form. 2nd Pick 2 So You Are Jockey: Non Runner Trainer: Bjorn Baker J: Non Runner T: Bjorn Baker	182	-	-	-	1%	Scratched
Analysis Racing well recently. At the latest run won by 1.75 len in the LR City Tatt's Club Cup at Randwick on September 5 over 1 ½m defeating Fernao with 127lbs at $3. The start before that set the pace for much of the race 2nd of 8 in the G3 Premier's Cup at Randwick on August 22 over 1 ¼m, slow going 0.6 len behind Boniface with 117lbs at $3.60. In career best form and hard to hold out in this vein of form.
3	Second run back. First-up after three months 4th of 7 in the LR Wyong Gold Cup on September 4 over 1 5/16m, 0.9 len behind Matusalem with 119lbs at $4.40. Previously second-up 4th of 16 in a Bm78 at Gosford on May 9 over 1 5/16m, 1.0 len behind Monopolistic carrying 132lbs at $9.50. Caught the eye first up and this track and trip suits. 3rd Pick 3 Bella Montagna Jockey: Regan Bayliss Trainer: Gai Waterhouse & Adrian Bott J: Regan Bayliss T: Gai Waterhouse & Adrian Bott	145	-	-	-	19%
Analysis Second run back. First-up after three months 4th of 7 in the LR Wyong Gold Cup on September 4 over 1 5/16m, 0.9 len behind Matusalem with 119lbs at $4.40. Previously second-up 4th of 16 in a Bm78 at Gosford on May 9 over 1 5/16m, 1.0 len behind Monopolistic carrying 132lbs at $9.50. Caught the eye first up and this track and trip suits.

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Horse Racing Basic Terms

Bobble/Stumble

A slip or a duck from a horse trying to leave the starting gates, often caused by the surface giving way under the feet. This can range from a mild misstep to a stumble down to their knees.

Filly

A female horse that is four years of age or under.

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A list of upcoming races issued by the racing secretary, where the conditions of races to be run over the next few weeks are written.