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8:10 PM

GB - Kempton Park - Race 7

Thoroughbred
7 Runners
6f
Handicap
Synthetic
Standard / Slow
11.0K

All race stats and comments are provided by numberfire. Complex algorithms are used to calculate stats like the power rating. Numberfire picks are provided by horse racing experts that work with numberfire.

Verdict

JESSE LUC has shaped encouragingly on both starts since returning from a 4-month break and is very much of interest now back on his last winning mark. Tyger Bay ran a cracker in the Timeform Sprint Series Final at Chelmsford and warrants obvious respect back down in grade, whilst Invincible Speed remains favourably treated on old form following his recent Lingfield success.
numberFire Picks
Horse Stats
#/SilkHorse#/HorsePower RatingHigh SpeedWin %Top 3%Win ProbOdds
6
Jesse Luc silk

Had fantastic 2025, winning 6 times, and has shaped well both starts back from a 4-month break, fifth in 11-runner handicap at Southwell (6.1f) on latest after refusing to settle. Has to be taken seriously.

1st Pick
6

Jesse Luc

Jockey: Callum Shepherd

Trainer: Mike Murphy

J: Callum Shepherd

T: Mike Murphy

100---8%12/1

Analysis

Had fantastic 2025, winning 6 times, and has shaped well both starts back from a 4-month break, fifth in 11-runner handicap at Southwell (6.1f) on latest after refusing to settle. Has to be taken seriously.

1
Tyger Bay silk

Five-time C&D winner who ran a cracker in a deep race for the grade when second of 14 at Chelmsford (14/1) in December. Has to be respected back in less exacting company.

2nd Pick
1

Tyger Bay

Jockey: Jack Gilligan

Trainer: Conrad Allen

J: Jack Gilligan

T: Conrad Allen

98---17%5/1

Analysis

Five-time C&D winner who ran a cracker in a deep race for the grade when second of 14 at Chelmsford (14/1) in December. Has to be respected back in less exacting company.

4
Invincible Speed (Ire) silk

Showed the benefit of a recent outing to record a first success since the previous spring at Lingfield (5/2) in January. Nudged up 3 lb but remains favourably treated on old form.

3rd Pick
4

Invincible Speed (Ire)

Jockey: Billy Loughnane

Trainer: Mark Loughnane

J: Billy Loughnane

T: Mark Loughnane

95---23%7/2

Analysis

Showed the benefit of a recent outing to record a first success since the previous spring at Lingfield (5/2) in January. Nudged up 3 lb but remains favourably treated on old form.

Horse Racing Basic Terms

Stewards

The officials watching every race at a meet to enforce the rules.

Bleeder

A horse that bleeds due to a ruptured blood vessel during a race or workout. The medication Lasix can fix this problem.

Bobble/Stumble

A slip or a duck from a horse trying to leave the starting gates, often caused by the surface giving way under the feet. This can range from a mild misstep to a stumble down to their knees.