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7:40 PM

GB - Kempton Park - Race 8

Thoroughbred
12 Runners
6f
Handicap
Synthetic
16.5K

All race stats and comments are provided by numberfire. Complex algorithms are used to calculate stats like the power rating. Numberfire picks are provided by horse racing experts that work with numberfire.

Verdict

FIFTY NIFTY shaped better than the bare result on his second start for Mick Appleby latest and looks ready to capitalise on a much-reduced mark. Buccabay is another that has become attractively handicapped and did well under the circumstances to make the frame at Southwell last time, so makes the shortlist, with course-specialist Carbine Harvester and in-form Valley ofthe Kings also shortlisted.
numberFire Picks
Horse Stats
#/SilkHorse#/HorsePower RatingHigh SpeedWin %Top 3%Win ProbOdds
7
Fifty Nifty (Ire) silk

Not long with this yard and shaped well when sixth of 11 in handicap (9/2) at Newcastle (7.1f) 15 days ago, doing too much too soon. Makes polytrack debut. Cheekpieces back on. On a very handy mark and has to be taken seriously back at 6f.

1st Pick
7

Fifty Nifty (Ire)

Jockey: Hector Crouch

Trainer: Michael Appleby

J: Hector Crouch

T: Michael Appleby

100---12%8/1

Analysis

Not long with this yard and shaped well when sixth of 11 in handicap (9/2) at Newcastle (7.1f) 15 days ago, doing too much too soon. Makes polytrack debut. Cheekpieces back on. On a very handy mark and has to be taken seriously back at 6f.

9
Buccabay (Ire) silk

Didn't really kick on following a winning reappearance at Windsor (6f) in May but more signs of life when fourth of 14 in handicap (16/1) at Southwell (6.1f) 13 days ago, faring best of those held up. Looks competitive on form.

2nd Pick
9

Buccabay (Ire)

Jockey: Edward Greatrex

Trainer: Eve Johnson Houghton

J: Edward Greatrex

T: Eve Johnson Houghton

99---8%12/1

Analysis

Didn't really kick on following a winning reappearance at Windsor (6f) in May but more signs of life when fourth of 14 in handicap (16/1) at Southwell (6.1f) 13 days ago, faring best of those held up. Looks competitive on form.

1
Carbine Harvester (Fr) silk

All 4 wins gained on the AW, latest of them over C&D in April. Right back to form returned to a synthetic surface when a career-best third in a C&D handicap 4 weeks ago and looks set to go well again.

3rd Pick
1

Carbine Harvester (Fr)

Jockey: Cieren Fallon

Trainer: William Haggas

J: Cieren Fallon

T: William Haggas

95---20%4/1

Analysis

All 4 wins gained on the AW, latest of them over C&D in April. Right back to form returned to a synthetic surface when a career-best third in a C&D handicap 4 weeks ago and looks set to go well again.

Horse Racing Basic Terms

Morning Line

An approximation of expected odds in a race, quoted before actual odds are determined.

Overlay

A horse going off at higher odds than his recent efforts show that he deserves.

Underlay

A horse that is going off at lower odds than it deserves based on performance.