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Resulted

GB - Kempton Park - Race 5

Thoroughbred
13 Runners
24f
Handicap Chase
Turf
Good to Soft (Soft in places)
206.0K

All race stats and comments are provided by numberfire. Complex algorithms are used to calculate stats like the power rating. Numberfire picks are provided by horse racing experts that work with numberfire.

Verdict

Low-mileage 6-y-o KDEUX SAINT FRAY has more to offer over fences and he makes plenty of appeal tackling 3m for the first time. Last year's winner Katate Dori has proved better than ever this season and can make a bold bid to defend his crown, while Hoe Joly Smoke looks a danger if first-time cheekpieces have the desired effect.
numberFire Picks
Horse Stats
#/SilkHorse#/HorsePower RatingHigh SpeedWin %Top 3%Win ProbOdds
12
Kdeux Saint Fray (Fr) silk

Left clear to win second chase start at Cheltenham in November and still looked ahead of his mark when runner-up at Aintree. Finished with running left when fourth in Timeform Novices' handicap chase on Trials Day last time and this lightly-raced 6-y-o remains open to improvement upped to 3m.

1st Pick
12

Kdeux Saint Fray (Fr)

Jockey: Sam Twiston-Davies

Trainer: Anthony Honeyball

J: Sam Twiston-Davies

T: Anthony Honeyball

100---17%

Analysis

Left clear to win second chase start at Cheltenham in November and still looked ahead of his mark when runner-up at Aintree. Finished with running left when fourth in Timeform Novices' handicap chase on Trials Day last time and this lightly-raced 6-y-o remains open to improvement upped to 3m.

7
Katate Dori (Fr) silk

Most progressive when winning this race in 2025 and looks at the top of his game this season, confirming promise of Coral Gold Cup sixth when just coming off second best at Cheltenham on New Year's Day. Excellent yard sure to have him primed for a repeat bid.

2nd Pick
7

Katate Dori (Fr)

Jockey: Dylan Johnston

Trainer: Sam Thomas

J: Dylan Johnston

T: Sam Thomas

99---19%

Analysis

Most progressive when winning this race in 2025 and looks at the top of his game this season, confirming promise of Coral Gold Cup sixth when just coming off second best at Cheltenham on New Year's Day. Excellent yard sure to have him primed for a repeat bid.

9
Hoe Joly Smoke silk

Won twice over this trip as a novice and dropped back to 2½m, found more off the bridle than has been the case when third in Paddy Power Gold Cup at Cheltenham in November. Not seen to same effect there last time but looks interesting now tried in first-time headgear on return to 3m.

3rd Pick
9

Hoe Joly Smoke

Jockey: Harry Skelton

Trainer: Dan Skelton

J: Harry Skelton

T: Dan Skelton

99---15%

Analysis

Won twice over this trip as a novice and dropped back to 2½m, found more off the bridle than has been the case when third in Paddy Power Gold Cup at Cheltenham in November. Not seen to same effect there last time but looks interesting now tried in first-time headgear on return to 3m.

Horse Racing Basic Terms

Stewards

The officials watching every race at a meet to enforce the rules.

Scratch

A horse is a scratch when injury or other necessity causes it to be withdrawn from the race.

Overlay

A horse going off at higher odds than his recent efforts show that he deserves.