JP - Tokyo RC - Race 12

Thoroughbred

18 Runners

11.9f

OPEN

Turf

6155.8K

VIEW

R10

R11

R12

Verdict

Sticking with the exciting colt MASQUERADE BALL (15) who looks right on target for this. Won the lead-up, the Tenno Sho, fresh and looks suited by the extra trip now. Leading rider stays aboard and will be hard to hold out late. DANON DECILE (14) wasn't seen at his best in the Juddmonte International Stakes at York but has a good record this level, unbeaten at the trip and won only try course and distance. Given another chance. CALANDAGAN (8) has enjoyed a let-up since winning when resuming over 1 ¼m in the G1 Champion Stakes at Ascot, scoring by 2.25 lengths. Great record this level, loves the trip and expected to be in the finish. CROIX DU NORD (2) was well off best in the Arc in France last time but won there the start prior. Unbeaten this circuit and drawn to give a huge sight on speed. JUSTIN PALACE (1) finished fifth in this last year. Well schooled this level and although yet to win at the trip is drawn for a soft run and worth including.

numberFire Picks

Horse Stats

#/Silk	Horse#/Horse	Power Rating	High Speed	Win %	Top 3%	Win Prob	Odds
15	Second-up. First-up after five months favourite, won by 0.8 len at this track G1 Tenno Sho (Autumn) November 2 over 1 ¼m defeating Museum Mile with 123lbs at $2.70. Previously second-up came from midfield, 2nd of 18 at this track in the G1 Tokyo Yushun (Japanese Derby) on June 1 over 1 ½m, 0.8 len behind Croix Du Nord with 126lbs at $6.80. Too strong fresh in the lead-up and looks the one to beat again. 1st Pick 15 Masquerade Ball Jockey: Christophe Lemaire Trainer: T Tezuka J: Christophe Lemaire T: T Tezuka	171	-	-	-	31%	9/4
Analysis Second-up. First-up after five months favourite, won by 0.8 len at this track G1 Tenno Sho (Autumn) November 2 over 1 ¼m defeating Museum Mile with 123lbs at $2.70. Previously second-up came from midfield, 2nd of 18 at this track in the G1 Tokyo Yushun (Japanese Derby) on June 1 over 1 ½m, 0.8 len behind Croix Du Nord with 126lbs at $6.80. Too strong fresh in the lead-up and looks the one to beat again.
14	Back from a spell. Only had one start last preparation second last in a small field at York in the G1 Juddmonte International Stakes on August 20 over 1 5/16m, 9 len behind Ombudsman carrying 134lbs at $4.50. Won previous preparation first up won by 1.3 len at Meydan G1 Dubai Sheema Classic April 5 over 1 ½m defeating Calandagan carrying 126lbs at $11. Not at his best in the UK last time but is a Grade 1 winner this course and distance and unbeaten at the trip. Bold performance expected. 2nd Pick 14 Danon Decile Jockey: Keita Tosaki Trainer: Shogo Yasuda J: Keita Tosaki T: Shogo Yasuda	82	-	-	-	20%	4/1
Analysis Back from a spell. Only had one start last preparation second last in a small field at York in the G1 Juddmonte International Stakes on August 20 over 1 5/16m, 9 len behind Ombudsman carrying 134lbs at $4.50. Won previous preparation first up won by 1.3 len at Meydan G1 Dubai Sheema Classic April 5 over 1 ½m defeating Calandagan carrying 126lbs at $11. Not at his best in the UK last time but is a Grade 1 winner this course and distance and unbeaten at the trip. Bold performance expected.
8	Second run back. Comes off a 43-day let-up. First-up after three months won by 2.25 len at Ascot G1 Champion Stakes October 18 over 1 ¼m defeating Ombudsman with 133lbs at $2.90. Previously second-up 2nd of 7 at Epsom Downs in the G1 Coronation Cup on June 6 over 1 ½m, 0.5 len behind Jan Brueghel with 128lbs at $1.60. Grade 1 winner at Ascot last time and has an exceptional record this level. Loves the trip and expected to measure up. 3rd Pick 8 Calandagan Jockey: Mickael Barzalona Trainer: Francis-Henri Graffard J: Mickael Barzalona T: Francis-Henri Graffard	282	-	-	-	20%	4/1
Analysis Second run back. Comes off a 43-day let-up. First-up after three months won by 2.25 len at Ascot G1 Champion Stakes October 18 over 1 ¼m defeating Ombudsman with 133lbs at $2.90. Previously second-up 2nd of 7 at Epsom Downs in the G1 Coronation Cup on June 6 over 1 ½m, 0.5 len behind Jan Brueghel with 128lbs at $1.60. Grade 1 winner at Ascot last time and has an exceptional record this level. Loves the trip and expected to measure up.

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Horse Racing Basic Terms

Bug

An apprentice jockey.

State-Bred

A horse bred in a particular state and thus eligible to race in restricted state-bred races. These can be anything from maiden races to stakes events.

Allowance Race

A race with non-claiming conditions set by the racing secretary. They are meant to be a step down from stakes racing.