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5:25 AM

Japan - Kyoto RC - Race 9

Thoroughbred
9 Runners
8.9f
OPEN
Turf
220.0K

All race stats and comments are provided by numberfire. Complex algorithms are used to calculate stats like the power rating. Numberfire picks are provided by horse racing experts that work with numberfire.

Verdict

BREAK GIRL (8) gets the nod off the most reliable looking profile, having converted heavy support into a Hanshin Mdn win over 1m and earlier run second at Kokura when sent out odds-on. She has already placed at around this distance and the Christophe Lemaire combination is one from one, giving her the strongest look. Love the upside. DEMIAN (3) brings a strong recent rating despite finishing ninth at Tokyo behind Agordino, as he was only beaten five and a half lengths and his debut win over Desert Spirit showed a sharp enough turn of foot. He is well placed to rebound. MIRANDA SMILE (5) was strong through the line winning on debut at Hanshin and looks the next danger, although she has not raced at around 1 ?m before. REIGN IN THE SKY (9) won at this track on debut after quickening impressively, and that immediate course-and-trip profile keeps her firmly in the winning mix if she takes the expected step forward.
numberFire Picks
Horse Stats
#/SilkHorse#/HorsePower RatingHigh SpeedWin %Top 3%Win ProbOdds
8
Break Girl silk

Returns off a six-week freshening after breaking through in a Hanshin Mdn over 1m, digging in to beat Ray Queen by half a length after being backed into very short odds-on territory. She had been second at Kokura the run prior and has already placed at around this distance. The rise into black-type company is the test, but her race fitness, recent ratings and Lemaire link make her the one to beat.

1st Pick
8

Break Girl

Jockey: Christophe Lemaire

Trainer: Koshiro Take

J: Christophe Lemaire

T: Koshiro Take

185---14%13/2

Analysis

Returns off a six-week freshening after breaking through in a Hanshin Mdn over 1m, digging in to beat Ray Queen by half a length after being backed into very short odds-on territory. She had been second at Kokura the run prior and has already placed at around this distance. The rise into black-type company is the test, but her race fitness, recent ratings and Lemaire link make her the one to beat.

3
Demian silk

Resumed in stronger company at Tokyo over 1m and finished ninth behind Agordino, beaten five and a half lengths after settling rearward. That was below his winning debut, where he worked into the race smoothly and beat Desert Spirit by just over a length. The 1m is untried, but his exposed form still gives him a strong platform to bounce back second-up.

2nd Pick
3

Demian

Jockey: Keita Tosaki

Trainer: M Saito

J: Keita Tosaki

T: M Saito

143---12%8/1

Analysis

Resumed in stronger company at Tokyo over 1m and finished ninth behind Agordino, beaten five and a half lengths after settling rearward. That was below his winning debut, where he worked into the race smoothly and beat Desert Spirit by just over a length. The 1m is untried, but his exposed form still gives him a strong platform to bounce back second-up.

5
Miranda Smile silk

Returns off a five-week freshening after a composed Hanshin debut win over 1m, where she was near the top of betting and beat Jolly Epicure by just over a length. The way she was strong through the line points to further improvement, though she has not yet raced at around 1m. With the winning rider back, she rates as a genuine danger for the placings and beyond.

3rd Pick
5

Miranda Smile

Jockey: Mirai Iwata

Trainer: Ryo Terashima

J: Mirai Iwata

T: Ryo Terashima

136---17%5/1

Analysis

Returns off a five-week freshening after a composed Hanshin debut win over 1m, where she was near the top of betting and beat Jolly Epicure by just over a length. The way she was strong through the line points to further improvement, though she has not yet raced at around 1m. With the winning rider back, she rates as a genuine danger for the placings and beyond.

Horse Racing Basic Terms

Filly

A female horse that is four years of age or under.

Synthetic Surface

A racing surface comprised of silica sand and fibers, such as recycled carpet or spandex. The mixture is then sealed with wax.

Objection

Claim of foul lodged by a jockey for perceived dangerous or illegal riding by a rival.