JP - Mombetsu - Race 6

Thoroughbred

12 Runners

Unknown

Dirt

4.3K

VIEW

Verdict

STEEL AMBER (11) gets the nod on the strength of a faultless place record and a strong 5f profile, with two wins and three placings from five starts at this track and distance. His latest third over 6f was sound rather than dominant, but the return to his winning distance looks a clear positive. RAVEN KNIGHT (4) is the main danger after missing by only a neck last start and his two wins and six placings from eleven attempts at this track and trip make him highly reliable. MAX ISLE (3) is unbeaten in two starts, both at this track, and has done everything asked so far, though this is a deeper test than her C4 wins. YAMANIN ARIES (5) was beaten as odds-on favourite last time, but her overall consistency and strong jockey-horse record keep her in the place and each-way mix.

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Horse Stats

#/Silk	Horse#/Horse	Power Rating	High Speed	Win %	Top 3%	Win Prob	Odds
11	Comes through a solid third to Queen's Monaka over 6f at this track, beaten five and a half lengths after being asked to sustain a long effort. He had won the start prior over this course and distance, beating Wright Flyer, and his five runs at this track and trip have produced two wins and three placings. Back to 5f, he sets the standard. 1st Pick 11 Steel Amber Jockey: Masaaki Kuwamura Trainer: Hideki Kakugawa J: Masaaki Kuwamura T: Hideki Kakugawa	165	-	-	-	9%	11/1
Analysis Comes through a solid third to Queen's Monaka over 6f at this track, beaten five and a half lengths after being asked to sustain a long effort. He had won the start prior over this course and distance, beating Wright Flyer, and his five runs at this track and trip have produced two wins and three placings. Back to 5f, he sets the standard.
4	Went very close when second to Aiga Ippai at this track last start, beaten a neck after working home evenly. He had also placed behind Katsuno Twelve the run prior and his record at this track and distance is a genuine strength, with two wins and six placings from eleven attempts. Consistent enough to be right in the winning discussion again. 2nd Pick 4 Raven Knight Jockey: Shinya Matsui Trainer: Noboru Yonekawa J: Shinya Matsui T: Noboru Yonekawa	145	-	-	-	13%	7/1
Analysis Went very close when second to Aiga Ippai at this track last start, beaten a neck after working home evenly. He had also placed behind Katsuno Twelve the run prior and his record at this track and distance is a genuine strength, with two wins and six placings from eleven attempts. Consistent enough to be right in the winning discussion again.
3	Has made the perfect start to her career, winning both runs at this track in C4 company and looking professional each time. She led, kicked clear and beat Jack Rouge by a length and a half last start after winning on debut from Sekitei Vivi. This is a sterner C3 assignment, but she is unbeaten at the distance and has the profile to keep progressing. 3rd Pick 3 Max Isle Jockey: Fuma Ono Trainer: Fuyuki Igarashi J: Fuma Ono T: Fuyuki Igarashi	120	-	-	-	23%	7/2
Analysis Has made the perfect start to her career, winning both runs at this track in C4 company and looking professional each time. She led, kicked clear and beat Jack Rouge by a length and a half last start after winning on debut from Sekitei Vivi. This is a sterner C3 assignment, but she is unbeaten at the distance and has the profile to keep progressing.

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