JP - Mombetsu - Race 4

Thoroughbred

12 Runners

Unknown

Dirt

4.3K

VIEW

Verdict

AQUANAUT (5) is the top pick despite an uneven recent page, with the latest fifth behind Angel Roll at this track a more competitive run than the tailed-off COND effort over 6f the start before. She was unwanted in betting last time but was close enough on the bend before finishing fairly, and the recent line through Daimei Easter gives her the right profile to improve into this. SILVER KOMKOM (10) brings the cleanest last-start placing, having finished third behind Kitano Rose, beaten just under three lengths, and her record at this track and distance gives that run substance. DAIMEI EASTER (12) is the seasoned danger, with a strong 12-month profile and a third two back behind Ficus Lyrata that reads well for this grade, though she has to turn around the latest Aquanaut meeting. YAMATONO KAZE (3) has been safely held at his past two, but he is a track-and-trip winner and the return of a winning rider keeps him in the minor winning mix if he rebounds.

numberFire Picks

Horse Stats

#/Silk	Horse#/Horse	Power Rating	High Speed	Win %	Top 3%	Win Prob
5	Produced a much more competitive effort when fifth behind Angel Roll at this track, beaten just over four lengths after looming into the race but proving only fair late. The start prior was a complete forgive-free failure in a COND over 6f, but this sets up better and she beat Daimei Easter in the latest meeting. With Yamato Ishikawa aboard, she gets her chance to convert the stronger recent profile. 1st Pick 5 Aquanaut Jockey: Yamato Ishikawa Trainer: Daisuke Akita J: Yamato Ishikawa T: Daisuke Akita	118	-	-	-	40%
Analysis Produced a much more competitive effort when fifth behind Angel Roll at this track, beaten just over four lengths after looming into the race but proving only fair late. The start prior was a complete forgive-free failure in a COND over 6f, but this sets up better and she beat Daimei Easter in the latest meeting. With Yamato Ishikawa aboard, she gets her chance to convert the stronger recent profile.
10	Gave a bold sight when third behind Kitano Rose at this track, beaten just under three lengths after being run down late. That was a clear lift on the previous seventh behind Queen's Park, and her two wins at this track and distance are important in this company. The wide barrier asks her to be professional early, but that last-start placing makes her a major winning player. 2nd Pick 10 Silver Komkom Jockey: Takafumi Hattori Trainer: Masahiro Saito J: Takafumi Hattori T: Masahiro Saito	78	-	-	-	7%
Analysis Gave a bold sight when third behind Kitano Rose at this track, beaten just under three lengths after being run down late. That was a clear lift on the previous seventh behind Queen's Park, and her two wins at this track and distance are important in this company. The wide barrier asks her to be professional early, but that last-start placing makes her a major winning player.
12	Worked home fairly from well back when sixth behind Angel Roll, beaten just over five lengths, which was sound without being decisive. The better pointer is her third to Ficus Lyrata two back, when she finished hard to miss by just over a length. With two wins and six placings from 29 starts at this track and distance, she has the right base to be a genuine danger. 3rd Pick 12 Daimei Easter Jockey: Yuki Miyauchi Trainer: Tamakazu Okajima J: Yuki Miyauchi T: Tamakazu Okajima	121	-	-	-	9%
Analysis Worked home fairly from well back when sixth behind Angel Roll, beaten just over five lengths, which was sound without being decisive. The better pointer is her third to Ficus Lyrata two back, when she finished hard to miss by just over a length. With two wins and six placings from 29 starts at this track and distance, she has the right base to be a genuine danger.

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Horse Racing Basic Terms

Handicap

A race where a handicapper has assigned weights to be carried by all runners on the basis of their past racing efforts.

Claiming Race

A race in which horses are entered for a certain price, or claiming tag, which is also their sales price. An owner can claim any horse entered for the tag before the race begins, and owns them as soon as the gates open.

Colt

A male horse that is four years of age or under.