JP - Mombetsu - Race 3

Thoroughbred

12 Runners

Unknown

Dirt

4.3K

VIEW

Verdict

AZIZAM (11) sets the standard off a solid second at this track, beaten three lengths by Go Go Amy after being well found in betting, and that local placing gives her the clearest recent platform. She is still a maiden and has only one placing from four attempts around 5f, but the latest run was a sharp enough return to make her the one to beat. MEISHO KARAKUSA (3) brings the more reliable overall profile, with two wins and five placings from eleven starts at this track and distance, and recent seconds and thirds keep him right in the argument. CHOGOLISA (6) is the closing danger after hitting the line well for fourth behind Angel Roll, with a proven track-and-distance win in the book. OTHELLO (7) lacks the same winning edge, but his recent second and fourth at this venue, plus a steady placing profile over the past year, make him a genuine minor-placing hope with some upside if the main pair leave a gap.

numberFire Picks

Horse Stats

#/Silk	Horse#/Horse	Power Rating	High Speed	Win %	Top 3%	Win Prob
11	Produced the right lead-up when second behind Go Go Amy at this track, beaten three lengths after travelling well to the turn and starting near the top of betting. Her Sapporo Dirt Mdn run two back was plain, but she has now shown she handles this venue and has placed at the distance. Shoma Kanayama stays aboard after that local placing, and she has the strongest recent winning case. 1st Pick 11 Azizam Jockey: Shoma Kanayama Trainer: Yoshimi Yanagizawa J: Shoma Kanayama T: Yoshimi Yanagizawa	58	-	-	-	67%
Analysis Produced the right lead-up when second behind Go Go Amy at this track, beaten three lengths after travelling well to the turn and starting near the top of betting. Her Sapporo Dirt Mdn run two back was plain, but she has now shown she handles this venue and has placed at the distance. Shoma Kanayama stays aboard after that local placing, and she has the strongest recent winning case.
3	Continues to race consistently, finishing third behind Domremy La Pucelle at this track last start after working home from midfield, beaten just over two lengths as favourite. He had been second to Tiffany Sienne the run prior, beaten half a length as a short odds-on favourite. With two wins and five placings from eleven starts at this track and distance, he is a major winning threat. 2nd Pick 3 Meisho Karakusa Jockey: Watanabe Trainer: Junji Tanaka J: Watanabe T: Junji Tanaka	158	-	-	-	39%
Analysis Continues to race consistently, finishing third behind Domremy La Pucelle at this track last start after working home from midfield, beaten just over two lengths as favourite. He had been second to Tiffany Sienne the run prior, beaten half a length as a short odds-on favourite. With two wins and five placings from eleven starts at this track and distance, he is a major winning threat.
6	Caught the eye last start when fourth behind Angel Roll at this track, beaten just over three lengths after settling rearward and charging home. She had also made ground from well back when fifth to Desert Eagle two starts ago, albeit beaten just over nine lengths. A previous win at this track and distance and the return of Genta Ochiai make her a strong winning chance. 3rd Pick 6 Chogolisa Jockey: Genta Ochiai Trainer: Hiroyuki Oguni J: Genta Ochiai T: Hiroyuki Oguni	125	-	-	-	4%
Analysis Caught the eye last start when fourth behind Angel Roll at this track, beaten just over three lengths after settling rearward and charging home. She had also made ground from well back when fifth to Desert Eagle two starts ago, albeit beaten just over nine lengths. A previous win at this track and distance and the return of Genta Ochiai make her a strong winning chance.

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Horse Racing Basic Terms

Bullet

A bullet, or bullet workout, is a workout that was clocked as the best time for a certain distance on a given day.

Silks

The colorful jacket and cap worn by a jockey which features the design of the owner.

Overlay

A horse going off at higher odds than his recent efforts show that he deserves.