JP - Mombetsu - Race 2

Thoroughbred

9 Runners

Unknown

Dirt

5.4K

VIEW

Verdict

VARADERO (7) has the most convincing recent profile after running second to Kaseno Eagle at this track, beaten a length, and that followed an eye-catching fifth when making ground from a difficult position. He is still searching for a win, but his 6f placings and latest effort give him the clearest winning case. MOUNTAIN TOP (4) is the immediate threat, having placed twice from five starts at this venue and finished second as favourite over 5f last time, the 6f record is the small query, though Yamato Ishikawa has placed on him at both rides. SASURAO (1) was run down late when second to Clay Phantom and has another minor-money profile if he repeats that effort. RYUNO PIRATES (6) has been well found in betting at his past two over 1 ¹/16m without finishing off, so the return to 6f is a plus.

numberFire Picks

Horse Stats

#/Silk	Horse#/Horse	Power Rating	High Speed	Win %	Top 3%	Win Prob
7	Went close when second to Kaseno Eagle at this track last start, beaten a length after working home evenly, and the market again gave him respect. His prior fifth to A Shin Surya had merit, making up many lengths in an eye-catching effort. He has placed at the trip and at this venue, and that combination of consistency and recent strength makes him the one to beat. 1st Pick 7 Varadero Jockey: Shoma Kanayama Trainer: Kuniaki Sasaki J: Shoma Kanayama T: Kuniaki Sasaki	137	-	-	-	50%
Analysis Went close when second to Kaseno Eagle at this track last start, beaten a length after working home evenly, and the market again gave him respect. His prior fifth to A Shin Surya had merit, making up many lengths in an eye-catching effort. He has placed at the trip and at this venue, and that combination of consistency and recent strength makes him the one to beat.
4	Closed into second behind Kura Endeavor over 5f at this track last start, beaten three lengths as favourite, and that followed a fourth to Sudare when he picked up nicely in the straight. The move to 6f asks a little more, with one unplaced try around the trip, but he has placed at both rides for Yamato Ishikawa and brings a strong winning chance. 2nd Pick 4 Mountain Top Jockey: Yamato Ishikawa Trainer: Noboru Yonekawa J: Yamato Ishikawa T: Noboru Yonekawa	162	-	-	-	25%
Analysis Closed into second behind Kura Endeavor over 5f at this track last start, beaten three lengths as favourite, and that followed a fourth to Sudare when he picked up nicely in the straight. The move to 6f asks a little more, with one unplaced try around the trip, but he has placed at both rides for Yamato Ishikawa and brings a strong winning chance.
1	Ran his best recent race when second to Clay Phantom at this track, beaten two lengths after looking the winner before being run down late. The start prior was also sound enough when fifth to Cosmo Ballast, beaten just over two lengths at generous odds after settling back. The 6f record remains thin, but he is race fit and drawn to hold a place in the minor-money discussion. 3rd Pick 1 Sasurao Jockey: Genta Ochiai Trainer: Masakazu Murakami J: Genta Ochiai T: Masakazu Murakami	144	-	-	-	10%
Analysis Ran his best recent race when second to Clay Phantom at this track, beaten two lengths after looking the winner before being run down late. The start prior was also sound enough when fifth to Cosmo Ballast, beaten just over two lengths at generous odds after settling back. The 6f record remains thin, but he is race fit and drawn to hold a place in the minor-money discussion.

Upcoming Races

Horse Racing Basic Terms

Mare

A female horse of five years or more.

Bolt

A sudden veering to the inside or outside rail, often caused by the horse spooking or shying from something.

Trifecta

A wager picking the first, second and third horses in the exact order. A trifecta box means paying more to ensure the horses can finish in any order in the top three spots.