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7:35 AM

JP - Urawa - Race 7

Thoroughbred
13 Runners
7f
Unknown
Dirt
24.2K

All race stats and comments are provided by numberfire. Complex algorithms are used to calculate stats like the power rating. Numberfire picks are provided by horse racing experts that work with numberfire.

Verdict

EGAL (3) is the horse with the clearest winning profile after putting two Urawa wins together, first scoring by five lengths then backing it up with a two-length success over Terrentius. That gives her the strongest recent form, although the distance query in the profile keeps the race from being completely closed. UKIYONO MESSIAH (8) comes next after finding plenty to win by a nose here at generous odds, and her broader place record gives her substance if she repeats that level. TAKAICHI SHOHEI (2) has yet to miss a place in four starts and was beaten just under a length by Golden Comanche after starting short odds-on favourite, so he remains a serious danger despite that defeat. BEAR TOOTH (10) resumes with a reliable place pattern rather than a winning one, having placed five times from eleven starts without winning, and must stretch from recent 6f form to be the upset hope.
numberFire Picks
Horse Stats
#/SilkHorse#/HorsePower RatingHigh SpeedWin %Top 3%Win ProbOdds
3
Egal silk

Returns from a six-week freshening in winning form, having scored by two lengths over Terrentius at Urawa after also beating Seiun Azur by five lengths the start prior. Those consecutive local wins are hard to ignore, and she has two wins from six starts at this track and distance. The distance query is noted, but current form gives her a strong winning case.

1st Pick
3

Egal

Jockey: Ryo Novata

Trainer: Shinobu Hasegawa

J: Ryo Novata

T: Shinobu Hasegawa

143---37%7/4

Analysis

Returns from a six-week freshening in winning form, having scored by two lengths over Terrentius at Urawa after also beating Seiun Azur by five lengths the start prior. Those consecutive local wins are hard to ignore, and she has two wins from six starts at this track and distance. The distance query is noted, but current form gives her a strong winning case.

8
Ukiyono Messiah silk

Returns from a six-week freshening after a narrow but determined Urawa win, holding on by a nose over M T Raika at generous odds. She had been close enough but unable to quicken over 4f before that, so the return to this trip clearly helped. With one win from two starts at the distance and a solid overall place record, she is a genuine winning hope again.

2nd Pick
8

Ukiyono Messiah

Jockey: Yoichiro Muro

Trainer: Naoto Mizukami

J: Yoichiro Muro

T: Naoto Mizukami

144---27%11/4

Analysis

Returns from a six-week freshening after a narrow but determined Urawa win, holding on by a nose over M T Raika at generous odds. She had been close enough but unable to quicken over 4f before that, so the return to this trip clearly helped. With one win from two starts at the distance and a solid overall place record, she is a genuine winning hope again.

2
Takaichi Shohei silk

Returns from a six-week freshening after being pipped by Golden Comanche at Urawa, beaten just under a length as the short odds-on favourite. He had won here the start prior, beating Eternal Fizz by a length and a half, and has placed in all four career starts. With barrier 2 and a proven Urawa record, he is entitled to take plenty of beating again.

3rd Pick
2

Takaichi Shohei

Jockey: Koshi Yoshidome

Trainer: Kazuma Yabuguchi

J: Koshi Yoshidome

T: Kazuma Yabuguchi

128---17%5/1

Analysis

Returns from a six-week freshening after being pipped by Golden Comanche at Urawa, beaten just under a length as the short odds-on favourite. He had won here the start prior, beating Eternal Fizz by a length and a half, and has placed in all four career starts. With barrier 2 and a proven Urawa record, he is entitled to take plenty of beating again.

Horse Racing Basic Terms

Claiming Race

A race in which horses are entered for a certain price, or claiming tag, which is also their sales price. An owner can claim any horse entered for the tag before the race begins, and owns them as soon as the gates open.

Underlay

A horse that is going off at lower odds than it deserves based on performance.

Sloppy

A wet racetrack condition, typically with a firm base and water settling on top.