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JP - Urawa - Race 6

Thoroughbred
12 Runners
4f
Unknown
Dirt
15.7K

All race stats and comments are provided by numberfire. Complex algorithms are used to calculate stats like the power rating. Numberfire picks are provided by horse racing experts that work with numberfire.

Verdict

OREIA (6) is the top selection despite plain recent figures, because those runs came in 3yo+ ALLOW grade at Niigata and she now returns to a more suitable C1C2 assignment at Urawa. She was only beaten four and a half lengths behind Party Girl last start and her two wins from four starts at this track and distance are a strong pointer. LUMINEUX FILLE (8) resumes from a four-month break with the best overall profile: 11 wins from 27 starts and a dominant seven-from-17 record over this Urawa 4f, though she did fail as favourite when fifth behind Iron Pitch before the spell. KICKS (1) is another first-up runner with genuine track-and-trip credentials and reunites with a winning rider, but her last two runs behind Siena Wave were only fair. ERI CROWN (12) is the race-fit danger after placings at her past two, most recently second to Queen's Happy, and she looks the safest of the place-oriented hopes.
numberFire Picks
Horse Stats
#/SilkHorse#/HorsePower RatingHigh SpeedWin %Top 3%Win ProbOdds
6
Oreia silk

Returns from a one-month freshening after an 11th in a 3yo+ ALLOW at Niigata, beaten four and a half lengths by Party Girl after settling back and failing to quicken. The previous Niigata run was heavier, but she now drops from 3yo+ ALLOW level and owns two wins from four starts at this track and distance. That local 4f record gives her a strong winning case despite recent figures.

1st Pick
6

Oreia

Jockey: Minami Sugiyama

Trainer: Hirohito Noguchi

J: Minami Sugiyama

T: Hirohito Noguchi

100---37%7/4

Analysis

Returns from a one-month freshening after an 11th in a 3yo+ ALLOW at Niigata, beaten four and a half lengths by Party Girl after settling back and failing to quicken. The previous Niigata run was heavier, but she now drops from 3yo+ ALLOW level and owns two wins from four starts at this track and distance. That local 4f record gives her a strong winning case despite recent figures.

8
Lumineux Fille silk

Returns from a four-month break after finishing fifth as favourite in a 3yo+ C1 here, beaten five lengths by Iron Pitch when she held position but did not finish it off. Her start prior was much stronger, second to A T Spica by a nose as an odds-on favourite. With seven wins from 17 at this track and distance and Mai Fukuhara back aboard, she remains a major winning player.

2nd Pick
8

Lumineux Fille

Jockey: Mai Fukuhara

Trainer: Kenichi Shigeta

J: Mai Fukuhara

T: Kenichi Shigeta

118---27%11/4

Analysis

Returns from a four-month break after finishing fifth as favourite in a 3yo+ C1 here, beaten five lengths by Iron Pitch when she held position but did not finish it off. Her start prior was much stronger, second to A T Spica by a nose as an odds-on favourite. With seven wins from 17 at this track and distance and Mai Fukuhara back aboard, she remains a major winning player.

1
Kicks silk

Returns from a lengthy spell, having finished sixth in a 3yo+ C1 over this course on good ground in January, beaten just over six lengths by Siena Wave after racing handy and producing only a moderate finish. She had been fourth behind the same winner as favourite the start prior and her two wins at this track and distance keep her firmly in the contest if she returns switched on.

3rd Pick
1

Kicks

Jockey: Kosei Akimoto

Trainer: Yoshikazu Kanuma

J: Kosei Akimoto

T: Yoshikazu Kanuma

94---17%5/1

Analysis

Returns from a lengthy spell, having finished sixth in a 3yo+ C1 over this course on good ground in January, beaten just over six lengths by Siena Wave after racing handy and producing only a moderate finish. She had been fourth behind the same winner as favourite the start prior and her two wins at this track and distance keep her firmly in the contest if she returns switched on.

Horse Racing Basic Terms

Lasix

A medication for the treatment of bleeding in horses that is legal in North America, but not all worldwide jurisdictions.

Filly

A female horse that is four years of age or under.

Sloppy

A wet racetrack condition, typically with a firm base and water settling on top.