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10:30 AM

JP - Urawa - Race 12

Thoroughbred
12 Runners
9.9f
Unknown
Dirt
18.1K

All race stats and comments are provided by numberfire. Complex algorithms are used to calculate stats like the power rating. Numberfire picks are provided by horse racing experts that work with numberfire.

Verdict

O SHIN BOUQUET (4) sets the standard on recent winning form, returning from a three-month break after a dominant 3yo+ C3 win at Urawa where she beat Meisho Towani by five lengths as favourite. Her earlier third behind An Pato also reads well enough for this, and her Urawa record gives her a solid platform. GOLD KID (6) is the obvious danger after consecutive seconds here, beaten half a length by Rottura last time and a length and a half by Siva Shin two runs back. The query is the 27-start maiden record, but he is racing consistently. LUMINA VICTOR (3) is harder to price neatly: last at Funabashi was poor, yet the four-length 3yo+ C2C3 win here before that keeps him firmly in calculations. BEL ROUTE (1) has not been sharp enough lately, but his track-and-trip record makes him the next logical inclusion for the minors.
numberFire Picks
Horse Stats
#/SilkHorse#/HorsePower RatingHigh SpeedWin %Top 3%Win ProbOdds
4
O Shin Bouquet silk

Returns from a three-month break after a clear-cut 3yo+ C3 win at Urawa, beating Meisho Towani by five lengths as favourite. That followed a useful third behind An Pato when an outside chance in betting, so her latest preparation ended on a strong upward note. With two wins and one placing from six Urawa starts and a solid record with Shoya Hozono, she brings the cleanest winning profile.

1st Pick
4

O Shin Bouquet

Jockey: Shoya Hozono

Trainer: Satoshi Kokubo

J: Shoya Hozono

T: Satoshi Kokubo

70---35%15/8

Analysis

Returns from a three-month break after a clear-cut 3yo+ C3 win at Urawa, beating Meisho Towani by five lengths as favourite. That followed a useful third behind An Pato when an outside chance in betting, so her latest preparation ended on a strong upward note. With two wins and one placing from six Urawa starts and a solid record with Shoya Hozono, she brings the cleanest winning profile.

6
Gold Kid silk

Returns from a two-month freshening in genuine form, having run second at Urawa twice in succession, most recently beaten half a length by Rottura after being caught right on the line. Two back he was again run down late by Siva Shin. The 27-start maiden record is the obvious sticking point, but he races handy enough to give himself another proper winning chance if he converts the consistency.

2nd Pick
6

Gold Kid

Jockey: Yuki Furuoka

Trainer: Yoshikazu Kanuma

J: Yuki Furuoka

T: Yoshikazu Kanuma

92---27%11/4

Analysis

Returns from a two-month freshening in genuine form, having run second at Urawa twice in succession, most recently beaten half a length by Rottura after being caught right on the line. Two back he was again run down late by Siva Shin. The 27-start maiden record is the obvious sticking point, but he races handy enough to give himself another proper winning chance if he converts the consistency.

3
Lumina Victor silk

Was plain at Funabashi last start, finishing last in a 3yo+ C3 over 7 ½f and beaten over 17 lengths by B B Radon after settling rearward. The counter is strong: two back he won a 3yo+ C2C3 at Urawa by four lengths from Win Gladness when near the top of betting. That peak would take him a long way in this, but the latest failure makes him a rebound proposition rather than a risk-free choice.

3rd Pick
3

Lumina Victor

Jockey: Mai Fukuhara

Trainer: Yutaka Kawashima

J: Mai Fukuhara

T: Yutaka Kawashima

123---17%5/1

Analysis

Was plain at Funabashi last start, finishing last in a 3yo+ C3 over 7 ½f and beaten over 17 lengths by B B Radon after settling rearward. The counter is strong: two back he won a 3yo+ C2C3 at Urawa by four lengths from Win Gladness when near the top of betting. That peak would take him a long way in this, but the latest failure makes him a rebound proposition rather than a risk-free choice.

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