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6:30 AM

JP - Urawa - Race 5

Thoroughbred
12 Runners
4f
Unknown
Dirt
SOFT
13.3K

All race stats and comments are provided by numberfire. Complex algorithms are used to calculate stats like the power rating. Numberfire picks are provided by horse racing experts that work with numberfire.

Verdict

POISON CAESAR (7) is the clear benchmark after opening this campaign with two Urawa wins, the latest by four lengths as a prohibitive odds-on favourite after beating Britten. He has now won three from five overall and the exposed recent form is the strongest in the race. MAHNE FLOTTANT (10) is the main danger on consistency, having been beaten a neck two back and two lengths last start, with a strong record over this Urawa 4f. KOTORINO UTAU UTA (11) has winning form from Kawasaki and was third behind Poison Caesar here, so she is honest but needs to turn that margin around. WINE WINE RED (8) resumes from a long break, which is the obvious reservation, yet he signed off with consecutive Kawasaki wins and has enough back-form to be a genuine place threat if returning in similar order.
numberFire Picks
Horse Stats
#/SilkHorse#/HorsePower RatingHigh SpeedWin %Top 3%Win ProbOdds
7
Poison Caesar silk

Returns from a six-week let-up in commanding form, having won both runs this campaign at Urawa. He beat Britten by four lengths last start as a prohibitive odds-on favourite, following a three-length 3yo+ C3 win here when he travelled well and finished right over the top. Three wins from five starts is a strong profile, and his perfect record at both the track and distance makes him the one they have to beat.

1st Pick
7

Poison Caesar

Jockey: Yuki Yamanaka

Trainer: Kenichi Shigeta

J: Yuki Yamanaka

T: Kenichi Shigeta

222---37%7/4

Analysis

Returns from a six-week let-up in commanding form, having won both runs this campaign at Urawa. He beat Britten by four lengths last start as a prohibitive odds-on favourite, following a three-length 3yo+ C3 win here when he travelled well and finished right over the top. Three wins from five starts is a strong profile, and his perfect record at both the track and distance makes him the one they have to beat.

10
Mahne Flottant silk

Returns from a six-week let-up with a very reliable Urawa 4f profile. She was third behind Queen's Happy last start in a 3yo+ C2, beaten two lengths after being run down late, and had been beaten only a neck as odds-on favourite the start before. Six wins and four places from 16 starts at this track and distance is the strongest specialist record in the race, making her a major winning chance again.

2nd Pick
10

Mahne Flottant

Jockey: Retsu Oikawa

Trainer: Shinji Kobayashi

J: Retsu Oikawa

T: Shinji Kobayashi

95---27%11/4

Analysis

Returns from a six-week let-up with a very reliable Urawa 4f profile. She was third behind Queen's Happy last start in a 3yo+ C2, beaten two lengths after being run down late, and had been beaten only a neck as odds-on favourite the start before. Six wins and four places from 16 starts at this track and distance is the strongest specialist record in the race, making her a major winning chance again.

11
Kotorino Utau Uta silk

Returns from a six-week let-up after finishing third to Poison Caesar at Urawa, beaten five lengths when well found in an open market. She had won a 3yo+ C3 at Kawasaki before that, beating Le Rire by two and a half lengths as favourite after making full use of her early speed. Her recent 12-month record is strong, and while the last-start margin to Poison Caesar is a hurdle, she remains a genuine danger.

3rd Pick
11

Kotorino Utau Uta

Jockey: Yujiro Tanabata

Trainer: Takashi Mizuno

J: Yujiro Tanabata

T: Takashi Mizuno

72---17%5/1

Analysis

Returns from a six-week let-up after finishing third to Poison Caesar at Urawa, beaten five lengths when well found in an open market. She had won a 3yo+ C3 at Kawasaki before that, beating Le Rire by two and a half lengths as favourite after making full use of her early speed. Her recent 12-month record is strong, and while the last-start margin to Poison Caesar is a hurdle, she remains a genuine danger.

Horse Racing Basic Terms

Bute

Shortened word for phenylbutazone, the common non-steroidal medication legal at most racetrack.

Synthetic Surface

A racing surface comprised of silica sand and fibers, such as recycled carpet or spandex. The mixture is then sealed with wax.

Show Wager

Betting on a horse to finish in the first three spots, which pays out the same whether they win or run second or third.