JP - Urawa - Race 4

Thoroughbred

11 Runners

7.5f

Unknown

Dirt

12.0K

VIEW

R10

R11

Verdict

M V P CALL (6) gets the nod off a class drop after finishing fourth in COND company at this venue, and that is the key piece of context around a form line that reads better than the margin alone. She is still searching for a first win, but this looks a more suitable assignment and she has been kept race fit. TAKAICHI NADAL (2) brings the cleanest recent form, having beaten Kyoei Cerezo by half a length at this track after a narrow C2C3 second, with a strong track-and-distance profile to match. AN PATO (11) resumes with genuine claims on the strength of a win over Guandao two runs back and a sound fourth as favourite before the break, though his 7 ½f record keeps the assessment measured. AU SOLEIL (8) has not been far from the right form line in recent COND runs, has placed three times from 13 starts overall and beat M V P Call at this track a couple of months ago, so he has enough substance to be treated as a live danger despite still being a maiden.

numberFire Picks

Horse Stats

#/Silk	Horse#/Horse	Power Rating	High Speed	Win %	Top 3%	Win Prob	Odds
6	Drops into a more suitable C2 assignment after finishing fourth in COND company at this track, a run that carries more relevance than the beaten margin in this line-up. The start prior was a clear miss, and she is still chasing her first win, but the class relief is important and she has been kept up to the mark. This sets up as her chance to turn consistent experience into a breakthrough result. 1st Pick 6 M V P Call Jockey: Haruto Nakayama Trainer: Morio Kawamura J: Haruto Nakayama T: Morio Kawamura	62	-	-	-	2%	50/1
Analysis Drops into a more suitable C2 assignment after finishing fourth in COND company at this track, a run that carries more relevance than the beaten margin in this line-up. The start prior was a clear miss, and she is still chasing her first win, but the class relief is important and she has been kept up to the mark. This sets up as her chance to turn consistent experience into a breakthrough result.
2	Arrives in strong form after scoring at this track last start, beating Kyoei Cerezo by half a length when well found in betting. That followed a close C2C3 second to Air Shallow, when she was beaten just under a length, so the current level is easy to trust. With two wins and one placing from four starts at this track and distance, she has the right profile to take plenty of beating again. 2nd Pick 2 Takaichi Nadal Jockey: Koshi Yoshidome Trainer: Kazuma Yabuguchi J: Koshi Yoshidome T: Kazuma Yabuguchi	214	-	-	-	37%	7/4
Analysis Arrives in strong form after scoring at this track last start, beating Kyoei Cerezo by half a length when well found in betting. That followed a close C2C3 second to Air Shallow, when she was beaten just under a length, so the current level is easy to trust. With two wins and one placing from four starts at this track and distance, she has the right profile to take plenty of beating again.
11	Back from a four-month break with strong overall credentials for this field. He was fourth at this track when last seen, beaten three lengths as a well-supported favourite, after winning here from Guandao the start prior. The 7 ½f record is the one caution, with no wins or placings from 13 attempts, but two wins and two placings from ten runs at this venue keep him firmly in the winning mix. 3rd Pick 11 An Pato Jockey: Mai Fukuhara Trainer: Yutaka Kawashima J: Mai Fukuhara T: Yutaka Kawashima	78	-	-	-	27%	11/4
Analysis Back from a four-month break with strong overall credentials for this field. He was fourth at this track when last seen, beaten three lengths as a well-supported favourite, after winning here from Guandao the start prior. The 7 ½f record is the one caution, with no wins or placings from 13 attempts, but two wins and two placings from ten runs at this venue keep him firmly in the winning mix.

Upcoming Races

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A rider built much like a jockey but is employed for exercising and working out horses in the morning.

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A horse that is going off at lower odds than it deserves based on performance.