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4:50 AM

JP - Urawa - Race 4

Thoroughbred
10 Runners
4f
Unknown
Dirt
21.5K

All race stats and comments are provided by numberfire. Complex algorithms are used to calculate stats like the power rating. Numberfire picks are provided by horse racing experts that work with numberfire.

Verdict

FORTITUDE (4) raced on the speed and kept going to score by 2 lengths last time out over 4 ½f at Kawasaki. Finds a suitable race and can take this out. BITTER MELON (6) ran below expectations when fresh from a spell at Kawasaki over 4 ½f last time, finishing sixth and beaten 4 lengths after being prominent at the turn. Ryo Novata gets the best out of this three-year-old filly. Finds a nice race and can atone. SARA MISCHIEF (3) is resuming from a spell of five-and-a-half months and having her first run for the Takashi Mizuno yard. Was in the placings when first-up from a spell last campaign at Monbetsu over 5 ½f. Well-placed and is among the chances. LIGHTNESS (2) was beaten 4.5 lengths into fourth over 7f at this track five-and-a-half weeks ago. Has her share of ability and is a top-three prospect.
numberFire Picks
Horse Stats
#/SilkHorse#/HorsePower RatingHigh SpeedWin %Top 3%Win ProbOdds
4
Fortitude silk

Form hard to fault. Returns from a 50-day let-up. At the latest run won by 2 len at Kawasaki March 5 over 4 ½f defeating Grand Freude with 117lbs at $8.10. The start before that sat on the speed and boxed on steadily 3rd of 10 at this track on February 26 over 4f, 0.6 len behind Tunas carrying 121lbs at $1.60. Hard to beat again.

1st Pick
4

Fortitude

Jockey: Haruto Nakayama

Trainer: Takashi Mizuno

J: Haruto Nakayama

T: Takashi Mizuno

161---37%7/4

Analysis

Form hard to fault. Returns from a 50-day let-up. At the latest run won by 2 len at Kawasaki March 5 over 4 ½f defeating Grand Freude with 117lbs at $8.10. The start before that sat on the speed and boxed on steadily 3rd of 10 at this track on February 26 over 4f, 0.6 len behind Tunas carrying 121lbs at $1.60. Hard to beat again.

6
Bitter Melon silk

Second-up. First-up after three months tracked the speed and boxed on steadily 6th of 12 at Kawasaki on April 6 over 4 ½f, 4 len behind Bargello with 117lbs at $3.50. Previously second-up 5th of 8 at Monbetsu on July 1 over 6f, 13 len behind Quetzal Azul carrying 121lbs at $11.20. Even fitter and is an excellent winning chance.

2nd Pick
6

Bitter Melon

Jockey: Ryo Novata

Trainer: Satoshi Koda

J: Ryo Novata

T: Satoshi Koda

117---29%5/2

Analysis

Second-up. First-up after three months tracked the speed and boxed on steadily 6th of 12 at Kawasaki on April 6 over 4 ½f, 4 len behind Bargello with 117lbs at $3.50. Previously second-up 5th of 8 at Monbetsu on July 1 over 6f, 13 len behind Quetzal Azul carrying 121lbs at $11.20. Even fitter and is an excellent winning chance.

3
Sara Mischief silk

Racing first-up today. Finished off last preparation tenth of 12 at Monbetsu November 13 over 1 ¹/16m, 18 len behind Star Of Feather with 121lbs at $9.50. On debut second of 7 at Monbetsu August 6 over 5 ½f, 3 len behind Takeno Roule with 121lbs at $9.60. Form shown last campaign makes for good reading.

3rd Pick
3

Sara Mischief

Jockey: Mai Fukuhara

Trainer: Takashi Mizuno

J: Mai Fukuhara

T: Takashi Mizuno

82---13%7/1

Analysis

Racing first-up today. Finished off last preparation tenth of 12 at Monbetsu November 13 over 1 ¹/16m, 18 len behind Star Of Feather with 121lbs at $9.50. On debut second of 7 at Monbetsu August 6 over 5 ½f, 3 len behind Takeno Roule with 121lbs at $9.60. Form shown last campaign makes for good reading.

Horse Racing Basic Terms

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A dry turf course, equal to a ‘fast’ dirt track.