JP - Urawa - Race 4

Thoroughbred

6 Runners

Unknown

Dirt

SOFT

50.7K

VIEW

Verdict

IVANKA (1) has the most compelling debut profile, coming from the Satoshi Kokubo stable, which has a strong Urawa record and a solid 23% strike rate with debut runners from the supplied sample. The Hokko Tarumae link also reads well through a 24% trainer-sire combination, so she deserves top billing. DEN DEN DENGURI (5) is the main danger on stable debut figures, with Hironori Unoki showing 5 wins from 11 first-starter runners and a sibling, Zagori, having won on debut over 4 ½f at Kawasaki. FISKARS (2) draws well and has a productive family behind her, including full sibling Silent Voice with 7 wins and half-sibling Syn Schiene with 7 wins, though the stable debut record is quieter. SHINANO D'AMOUR (3) is the more speculative winning chance, but her dam has thrown several winners and the trainer has placed with 3 of 5 debut runners, which keeps her in the discussion.

numberFire Picks

Horse Stats

#/Silk	Horse#/Horse	Power Rating	High Speed	Win %	Top 3%	Win Prob
1	Debuts from the Satoshi Kokubo stable and gets a positive set-up for an 4f first appearance from barrier 1 with 119lbs. The yard has 5 wins and 15 placings from 22 debut runners in the supplied sample, while the Hokko Tarumae cross has produced 30 wins from 125 starts for this trainer. With Ryo Novata booked and a half-sibling in Ganda already a Nakayama Dirt winner, she profiles as the one they have to beat. 1st Pick 1 Ivanka Jockey: Ryo Novata Trainer: Satoshi Kokubo J: Ryo Novata T: Satoshi Kokubo	52	-	-	-	84%
Analysis Debuts from the Satoshi Kokubo stable and gets a positive set-up for an 4f first appearance from barrier 1 with 119lbs. The yard has 5 wins and 15 placings from 22 debut runners in the supplied sample, while the Hokko Tarumae cross has produced 30 wins from 125 starts for this trainer. With Ryo Novata booked and a half-sibling in Ganda already a Nakayama Dirt winner, she profiles as the one they have to beat.
5	Comes to the races for Hironori Unoki, whose debut record is the standout element: 5 wins from 11 first-starter runners and 7 placings in the supplied sample. She is by Tanino Frankel out of Ina Loa, and her half-sibling Zagori won on debut over 4 ½f at Kawasaki, which aligns neatly with this 4f assignment. Barrier 5 is not as kind as some rivals, but the profile gives her genuine claims. 2nd Pick 5 Den Den Denguri Jockey: Akira Harita Trainer: Hironori Unoki J: Akira Harita T: Hironori Unoki	40	-	-	-	19%
Analysis Comes to the races for Hironori Unoki, whose debut record is the standout element: 5 wins from 11 first-starter runners and 7 placings in the supplied sample. She is by Tanino Frankel out of Ina Loa, and her half-sibling Zagori won on debut over 4 ½f at Kawasaki, which aligns neatly with this 4f assignment. Barrier 5 is not as kind as some rivals, but the profile gives her genuine claims.
2	Makes her first start for Yumiko Iriguchi and has a clean inside draw in barrier 2 with Shoya Hozono aboard. The immediate family gives her some substance, headed by full sibling Silent Voice with 7 wins and half-sibling Syn Schiene also a 7-time winner. Like A Bee placed on debut over 4 ½f at Kawasaki, which is a useful short-course pointer, but she shapes more as a place prospect than the top pick. 3rd Pick 2 Fiskars Jockey: Shoya Hozono Trainer: Yumiko Iriguchi J: Shoya Hozono T: Yumiko Iriguchi	24	-	-	-	10%
Analysis Makes her first start for Yumiko Iriguchi and has a clean inside draw in barrier 2 with Shoya Hozono aboard. The immediate family gives her some substance, headed by full sibling Silent Voice with 7 wins and half-sibling Syn Schiene also a 7-time winner. Like A Bee placed on debut over 4 ½f at Kawasaki, which is a useful short-course pointer, but she shapes more as a place prospect than the top pick.

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Horse Racing Basic Terms

Sloppy

A wet racetrack condition, typically with a firm base and water settling on top.

Bleeder

A horse that bleeds due to a ruptured blood vessel during a race or workout. The medication Lasix can fix this problem.

Workout

A workout is a timed sprint over varying distances prior to a race, meant to get a horse fit enough for competition.