JP - Urawa - Race 4

Thoroughbred

13 Runners

Unknown

Dirt

GOOD

12.1K

VIEW

Verdict

G T SWAT (1) is the clear form horse on exposed Urawa evidence, having won his past two starts here by six lengths and five lengths as a very short odds-on favourite. The six-month break is the only real reservation, but three wins from three at the track and a perfect record with Tsubasa Sasagawa read very strongly. PEPTIDE SPARKLE (5) looks the next most reliable winning option after improving into third here at long odds, and her repeated track-and-distance placings give her a genuine platform. MEISHO SEOTO (3) is harder to trust off two plain runs, including a seventh behind Charina, yet the class drop and return of a winning rider keep her in the mix if she rebounds. REBAT (4) has been safely held at Kawasaki and Funabashi, but his Urawa 7f record and broader consistency make him a legitimate place-to-win hope rather than a throw-in.

numberFire Picks

Horse Stats

#/Silk	Horse#/Horse	Power Rating	High Speed	Win %	Top 3%	Win Prob	Odds
1	Returns from a six-month break after putting two dominant Urawa wins together, most recently beating Rhein Artemis by six lengths as a prohibitive odds-on favourite. The start prior was another fast-track win here by five lengths over Hakushin Dance, and he has three wins from three at this course. He can roll forward from barrier one, and if he returns near last campaign's level he sets the standard. 1st Pick 1 G T Swat Jockey: Tsubasa Sasagawa Trainer: Satoshi Kokubo J: Tsubasa Sasagawa T: Satoshi Kokubo	123	-	-	-	35%	15/8
Analysis Returns from a six-month break after putting two dominant Urawa wins together, most recently beating Rhein Artemis by six lengths as a prohibitive odds-on favourite. The start prior was another fast-track win here by five lengths over Hakushin Dance, and he has three wins from three at this course. He can roll forward from barrier one, and if he returns near last campaign's level he sets the standard.
5	Back after two months, she improved into third at Urawa behind Ravi's Dream, beaten five lengths at long odds while working home evenly. That was a much better return than her seventh behind Fire Star, when she was well found in betting but made no impression. With one win and four placings from eight starts overall, she has enough consistency to be a major player again. 2nd Pick 5 Peptide Sparkle Jockey: Shoya Hozono Trainer: Hirohito Noguchi J: Shoya Hozono T: Hirohito Noguchi	95	-	-	-	27%	11/4
Analysis Back after two months, she improved into third at Urawa behind Ravi's Dream, beaten five lengths at long odds while working home evenly. That was a much better return than her seventh behind Fire Star, when she was well found in betting but made no impression. With one win and four placings from eight starts overall, she has enough consistency to be a major player again.
3	Back after two months, she needs to turn around a plain seventh behind Charina at Urawa, where she was in the right spot but offered little and was beaten nine and a half lengths. Her 4f run prior was no better, finishing last behind Paina. The positive case rests on a class drop, race fitness and a jockey who has won on her before, but she must lift sharply to justify support. 3rd Pick 3 Meisho Seoto Jockey: Akio Mikoshi Trainer: Takashi Noguchi J: Akio Mikoshi T: Takashi Noguchi	58	-	-	-	17%	5/1
Analysis Back after two months, she needs to turn around a plain seventh behind Charina at Urawa, where she was in the right spot but offered little and was beaten nine and a half lengths. Her 4f run prior was no better, finishing last behind Paina. The positive case rests on a class drop, race fitness and a jockey who has won on her before, but she must lift sharply to justify support.

Upcoming Races

Horse Racing Basic Terms

Yielding

A rain-soaked turf condition often producing a slick or heavy course and slower finish times.

Bug

An apprentice jockey.

Firm

A dry turf course, equal to a ‘fast’ dirt track.