JP - Urawa - Race 11

Thoroughbred

11 Runners

Unknown

Dirt

91.1K

VIEW

R10

R11

Verdict

JUWELIER (4) is the horse to beat with the strongest set-up among the main chances. Her two recent ALLOW runs over longer trips were only fair, but she has four wins and two placings from eleven starts around 7f, drops in grade and has a winning rider back aboard. BEE KONG (1) brings the most competitive recent sprint form, having been fourth at Sapporo before an eighth when unable to finish off, and the class drop gives him a clear chance to rebound. STANLEY TESORO (10) has the deeper venue profile, with two wins from three starts at this track and a last-start third at Kawasaki that reads well enough to make him a major danger, especially with Tsubasa Sasagawa back on. TOSEN THUNDER (6) is more a place-focused hope, as his fourth at this venue two runs ago was sound, but the step back to 7f asks him to overturn a modest record at the trip.

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Horse Stats

#/Silk	Horse#/Horse	Power Rating	High Speed	Win %	Top 3%	Win Prob	Odds
4	Drops back to a much more suitable 7f after a fair seventh in ALLOW company over 1m at Nakayama Dirt, where she was unwanted in the market and beaten five and a half lengths. Her previous ALLOW run at Kokura Dirt was also below her best, but the class drop, strong distance record and winning rider returning make this a far more suitable assignment. She looks the runner to beat. 1st Pick 4 Juwelier Jockey: Kyosuke Kokubun Trainer: H Nakao J: Kyosuke Kokubun T: H Nakao	82	-	-	-	13%	7/1
Analysis Drops back to a much more suitable 7f after a fair seventh in ALLOW company over 1m at Nakayama Dirt, where she was unwanted in the market and beaten five and a half lengths. Her previous ALLOW run at Kokura Dirt was also below her best, but the class drop, strong distance record and winning rider returning make this a far more suitable assignment. She looks the runner to beat.
1	Returns from a two-month freshening after finishing eighth in an ALLOW over 6f at Sapporo, beaten just over six lengths after travelling handy enough but failing to run it out. His fourth to Asu Miru at the same venue before that was much better, and he brings solid 12-month form into a class drop. From barrier one, he has the profile to bounce back strongly. 2nd Pick 1 Bee Kong Jockey: Haruto Nakayama Trainer: Hitoshi Kotegawa J: Haruto Nakayama T: Hitoshi Kotegawa	88	-	-	-	27%	11/4
Analysis Returns from a two-month freshening after finishing eighth in an ALLOW over 6f at Sapporo, beaten just over six lengths after travelling handy enough but failing to run it out. His fourth to Asu Miru at the same venue before that was much better, and he brings solid 12-month form into a class drop. From barrier one, he has the profile to bounce back strongly.
10	Returns from a six-week freshening after a sound third at Kawasaki over 1m, beaten three lengths by Arms Reign when near the top of betting. His previous Morioka run was plain, but his record at this track is a major plus, with two wins from three starts, and Tsubasa Sasagawa is unbeaten on him from two rides. Barrier 10 is the only niggle, the winning case remains strong. 3rd Pick 10 Stanley Tesoro Jockey: Tsubasa Sasagawa Trainer: Satoshi Kokubo J: Tsubasa Sasagawa T: Satoshi Kokubo	262	-	-	-	35%	15/8
Analysis Returns from a six-week freshening after a sound third at Kawasaki over 1m, beaten three lengths by Arms Reign when near the top of betting. His previous Morioka run was plain, but his record at this track is a major plus, with two wins from three starts, and Tsubasa Sasagawa is unbeaten on him from two rides. Barrier 10 is the only niggle, the winning case remains strong.

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Horse Racing Basic Terms

Exacta

A bet selecting the first and second horses in a race in the correct order. An exacta box refers to paying a little more to ensure they can finish in either order.

Fast

A dry dirt track that is typically an ideal racing surface.

Also Eligible

A horse that is entered but does not draw into the body of the field due to too many entries, and thus is not permitted to start unless there are enough scratches to shrink the field size.