JP - Funabashi - Race 7

Thoroughbred

11 Runners

Unknown

Dirt

GOOD

14.5K

VIEW

Verdict

SMILE FREYJA (1) brings the most reliable current profile after going under by only a neck behind Initiate at this track last start, and her record at the track and distance gives her a strong base to convert that form. The weight relief and return of a winning rider strengthen the case. TERUKEN YUMITO KEN (8) is the obvious danger after resuming with a seven-length win over Taisei Global at this venue, with two wins and one placing from four attempts at this track and distance. DERMA RUDRA (4) is highly consistent and has been placed at his past five, including a length-and-a-half third behind Goodman, so he is hard to dismiss despite being more reliable than brilliant. FLUORITE (5) resumes after a dominant five-length win over Initiate and has won two of three at this track and distance, though her first-up task asks her to reproduce that peak straight away.

numberFire Picks

Horse Stats

#/Silk	Horse#/Horse	Power Rating	High Speed	Win %	Top 3%	Win Prob	Odds
1	Returns from a five-week let-up after going very close in a COND at this track, finishing second to Initiate and beaten a neck at generous odds. That followed a sixth here when she picked up nicely, so her last-start lift looks genuine. She is already proven at this track and distance and gets weight relief, giving her the right profile to take this out. 1st Pick 1 Smile Freyja Jockey: Daisho Yamamoto Trainer: Takeshi Hasegawa J: Daisho Yamamoto T: Takeshi Hasegawa	108	-	-	-	19%	9/2
Analysis Returns from a five-week let-up after going very close in a COND at this track, finishing second to Initiate and beaten a neck at generous odds. That followed a sixth here when she picked up nicely, so her last-start lift looks genuine. She is already proven at this track and distance and gets weight relief, giving her the right profile to take this out.
8	Returns from a five-week let-up after a commanding first-up win in a COND at this track, leading and beating Taisei Global by seven lengths as odds-on favourite. That was a sharp response to a below-par run before the break, and her record now reads two wins and one placing from four at this track and distance. She has the form strength to go close again. 2nd Pick 8 Teruken Yumito Ken Jockey: Junichi Jitsukawa Trainer: Takahiro Inamasu J: Junichi Jitsukawa T: Takahiro Inamasu	149	-	-	-	20%	4/1
Analysis Returns from a five-week let-up after a commanding first-up win in a COND at this track, leading and beating Taisei Global by seven lengths as odds-on favourite. That was a sharp response to a below-par run before the break, and her record now reads two wins and one placing from four at this track and distance. She has the form strength to go close again.
4	Returns off a five-week freshening in excellent consistent form, having run third in a C2 at this track last start when beaten a length and a half by Goodman. He was also third here as favourite two back, and his overall profile is strong: two wins and six placings from nine at this track and distance. This looks the right race for him to press again. 3rd Pick 4 Derma Rudra Jockey: Eiki Nishimura Trainer: Noboru Sakamoto J: Eiki Nishimura T: Noboru Sakamoto	115	-	-	-	15%	6/1
Analysis Returns off a five-week freshening in excellent consistent form, having run third in a C2 at this track last start when beaten a length and a half by Goodman. He was also third here as favourite two back, and his overall profile is strong: two wins and six placings from nine at this track and distance. This looks the right race for him to press again.

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Horse Racing Basic Terms

Overlay

A horse going off at higher odds than his recent efforts show that he deserves.

Allowance Race

A race with non-claiming conditions set by the racing secretary. They are meant to be a step down from stakes racing.

Objection

Claim of foul lodged by a jockey for perceived dangerous or illegal riding by a rival.