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6:30 AM

JP - Kawasaki - Race 2

Thoroughbred
14 Runners
7.5f
Unknown
Dirt
20.7K

All race stats and comments are provided by numberfire. Complex algorithms are used to calculate stats like the power rating. Numberfire picks are provided by horse racing experts that work with numberfire.

Verdict

CERRADO (6) was well beaten in better company two back then tackled an easier race last time when a 5 length winner over 7f at this track. Rates highly and should feature again. ZIEGFELD (12) travelled in a rearwards position then picked up fairly well in the straight and finished 5.5 lengths away in fourth last time out over 6f at Funabashi a week-and-a-half ago. Tackles a longer journey this time. Sure to run well. CINNAMON POP (1) ran a bold race over this journey last time, leading for much of the way before fading out of it late to finish 1.1 lengths away in fourth at Urawa. Will push forward and is among the chances. ASIA PATEK (14) progressed nicely last time out to finish just 1.5 lengths from the winner in second over 7f at this track. Nicely placed to take this out.
numberFire Picks
Horse Stats
#/SilkHorse#/HorsePower RatingHigh SpeedWin %Top 3%Win ProbOdds
6
Cerrado silk

Most recently favourite, scored a big 5 len win at this track June 19 over 7f defeating Bajigaku Misora carrying 119lbs at $1.40. The race before that 12th of 16 at Tokyo Dirt on April 26 over 1 5/16m, 15 len behind Dakara Festive with 117lbs at $154.60. Watch for her dropping on these late.

1st Pick
6

Cerrado

Jockey: Ryo Novata

Trainer: Satoshi Koda

J: Ryo Novata

T: Satoshi Koda

150---39%13/8

Analysis

Most recently favourite, scored a big 5 len win at this track June 19 over 7f defeating Bajigaku Misora carrying 119lbs at $1.40. The race before that 12th of 16 at Tokyo Dirt on April 26 over 1 5/16m, 15 len behind Dakara Festive with 117lbs at $154.60. Watch for her dropping on these late.

12
Ziegfeld silk

Recent form sound. At the latest run 4th of 9 at Funabashi on June 30 over 6f, 5.5 len behind Masano Taiyo with 123lbs at $6.10. Before that 4th of 11 at Funabashi on June 2 over 6f, 0.9 len behind Bellus Ballade with 123lbs at $18.20. Capable of a better run.

2nd Pick
12

Ziegfeld

Jockey: Tsubasa Sasagawa

Trainer: Yuta Sato

J: Tsubasa Sasagawa

T: Yuta Sato

142---23%7/2

Analysis

Recent form sound. At the latest run 4th of 9 at Funabashi on June 30 over 6f, 5.5 len behind Masano Taiyo with 123lbs at $6.10. Before that 4th of 11 at Funabashi on June 2 over 6f, 0.9 len behind Bellus Ballade with 123lbs at $18.20. Capable of a better run.

1
Cinnamon Pop silk

Racing well recently. Most recently 4th of 11 at Urawa on June 23 over 7 ½f, 1.1 len behind Ken Blenheim with 119lbs at $10.90. The run before that 4th of 12 at Urawa on May 27 over 7f, 2.5 len behind Irodorino Kaori carrying 119lbs at $15. Excellent winning chance with the help of an inside gate.

3rd Pick
1

Cinnamon Pop

Jockey: Shoya Hozono

Trainer: Tsukasa Kaibazawa

J: Shoya Hozono

T: Tsukasa Kaibazawa

96---10%10/1

Analysis

Racing well recently. Most recently 4th of 11 at Urawa on June 23 over 7 ½f, 1.1 len behind Ken Blenheim with 119lbs at $10.90. The run before that 4th of 12 at Urawa on May 27 over 7f, 2.5 len behind Irodorino Kaori carrying 119lbs at $15. Excellent winning chance with the help of an inside gate.

Horse Racing Basic Terms

Apprentice

A new jockey who has not ridden a certain number of winners in a specified time period.

Exacta

A bet selecting the first and second horses in a race in the correct order. An exacta box refers to paying a little more to ensure they can finish in either order.

Bobble/Stumble

A slip or a duck from a horse trying to leave the starting gates, often caused by the surface giving way under the feet. This can range from a mild misstep to a stumble down to their knees.