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10:05 AM

JP - Kawasaki - Race 9

Thoroughbred
10 Runners
7f
Unknown
Dirt
14.4K

All race stats and comments are provided by numberfire. Complex algorithms are used to calculate stats like the power rating. Numberfire picks are provided by horse racing experts that work with numberfire.

Verdict

ROUGE FILIA (7) sets the standard after missing by a nose as favourite in a Mdn over 6f at Sapporo, and her previous third at Niigata was another close, solid piece of form. She has not raced at around 7f before, but her consistency, class profile and recent ratings make her the one they have to beat. FOR MY DEAR (6) has been finishing better than her margins suggest, running on from well back at her past two starts at this track, and the class drop gives her a genuine platform. LIVE BAFFY (3) is the established local danger, with two wins and three placings from six starts at this track and distance and a strong record with Takayuki Yano. GUANBARE (9) was third at long odds at this venue last start and can run into the minor money again, though her overall winning strike rate keeps her more in the place lane.
numberFire Picks
Horse Stats
#/SilkHorse#/HorsePower RatingHigh SpeedWin %Top 3%Win ProbOdds
7
Rouge Filia silk

Returns from five weeks off after going within a nose of winning a Mdn over 6f at Sapporo, finishing strongly as favourite behind Meisho Tenjin. That followed a close third at Niigata, so her form has real substance for a lightly raced filly. The 7f is new, but she brings the sharpest recent profile and the class drop gives her the right race to break through.

1st Pick
7

Rouge Filia

Jockey: Ryo Novata

Trainer: Junichi Yoshihashi

J: Ryo Novata

T: Junichi Yoshihashi

232---39%13/8

Analysis

Returns from five weeks off after going within a nose of winning a Mdn over 6f at Sapporo, finishing strongly as favourite behind Meisho Tenjin. That followed a close third at Niigata, so her form has real substance for a lightly raced filly. The 7f is new, but she brings the sharpest recent profile and the class drop gives her the right race to break through.

6
For My Dear silk

Returns from five weeks off after a closing fifth at this track in COND grade, beaten six and a half lengths by Crystal Tower after having plenty to do. She produced a similar eye-catching effort when fifth behind Hiroki two runs back, and now gets class relief with only 115lbs. The 7f record is modest, but her recent finishing work gives her a live chance if within range.

2nd Pick
6

For My Dear

Jockey: Yu Makoto Kato

Trainer: Hiroaki Kawazu

J: Yu Makoto Kato

T: Hiroaki Kawazu

98---29%5/2

Analysis

Returns from five weeks off after a closing fifth at this track in COND grade, beaten six and a half lengths by Crystal Tower after having plenty to do. She produced a similar eye-catching effort when fifth behind Hiroki two runs back, and now gets class relief with only 115lbs. The 7f record is modest, but her recent finishing work gives her a live chance if within range.

3
Live Baffy silk

Returns from five weeks off after a fair fourth at this track, beaten a length and a half as a well-supported favourite behind Ari Happy. He had been strong to the line for third at this venue the run prior, and his two wins and three placings from six starts at this track and distance are a major asset. With Takayuki Yano also having a perfect place record on him, he is a genuine winning threat.

3rd Pick
3

Live Baffy

Jockey: Takayuki Yano

Trainer: Kenichi Takatsuki

J: Takayuki Yano

T: Kenichi Takatsuki

155---17%5/1

Analysis

Returns from five weeks off after a fair fourth at this track, beaten a length and a half as a well-supported favourite behind Ari Happy. He had been strong to the line for third at this venue the run prior, and his two wins and three placings from six starts at this track and distance are a major asset. With Takayuki Yano also having a perfect place record on him, he is a genuine winning threat.

Horse Racing Basic Terms

Bolt

A sudden veering to the inside or outside rail, often caused by the horse spooking or shying from something.

Show Wager

Betting on a horse to finish in the first three spots, which pays out the same whether they win or run second or third.

Turf Course

A racetrack made of grass.