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9:30 AM

JP - Kawasaki - Race 8

Thoroughbred
11 Runners
7f
Unknown
Dirt
14.4K

All race stats and comments are provided by numberfire. Complex algorithms are used to calculate stats like the power rating. Numberfire picks are provided by horse racing experts that work with numberfire.

Verdict

VIP JESSE (4) is the one to beat after three straight wins, the latest a C2 success at this track where she beat Mokomoko by two and a half lengths as a well-supported favourite. Her record at this track and distance is a major asset, and her partnership with Naoki Machida has been highly effective. VUELO OSCURAS (2) brings the sharper overall strike-rate, with three wins and one placing from four starts, and he was again heavily backed when beating Onna Yume Raku last time. MARMALADE SKY (5) is still chasing a first win but her third to Dantalion at this venue was a clear step back in the right direction, especially after starting at generous odds. AMRTA (1) has to rebound from a flat fifth, yet her 7f record and recent consistency keep her firmly in the place and each-way mix.
numberFire Picks
Horse Stats
#/SilkHorse#/HorsePower RatingHigh SpeedWin %Top 3%Win ProbOdds
4
Vip Jesse silk

Returns from a five-week let-up at the top of her game, making it three straight wins when taking a C2 at this track by two and a half lengths from Mokomoko as a well-supported favourite. She had beaten the same runner the start before and owns three wins from eight at this track and distance. With Naoki Machida back aboard, she sets the standard.

1st Pick
4

Vip Jesse

Jockey: Naoki Machida

Trainer: Juichi Tajima

J: Naoki Machida

T: Juichi Tajima

189---37%7/4

Analysis

Returns from a five-week let-up at the top of her game, making it three straight wins when taking a C2 at this track by two and a half lengths from Mokomoko as a well-supported favourite. She had beaten the same runner the start before and owns three wins from eight at this track and distance. With Naoki Machida back aboard, she sets the standard.

2
Vuelo Oscuras silk

Returns from a five-week let-up in excellent form, having won a COND at this track by a neck after being heavily supported into very short odds-on territory. He had been second to Choco Latte in the same grade the start before and has not missed a place in four career runs. Proven at the distance and likely to take catching again.

2nd Pick
2

Vuelo Oscuras

Jockey: Ryo Novata

Trainer: Yoshihisa Suzuki

J: Ryo Novata

T: Yoshihisa Suzuki

131---27%11/4

Analysis

Returns from a five-week let-up in excellent form, having won a COND at this track by a neck after being heavily supported into very short odds-on territory. He had been second to Choco Latte in the same grade the start before and has not missed a place in four career runs. Proven at the distance and likely to take catching again.

5
Marmalade Sky silk

Returns from a five-week let-up after a solid third at this track behind Dantalion, beaten just over three lengths at generous odds after being run down late. That was a much stronger result than her tenth in a Mdn at Hakodate Dirt, where she failed to finish off after tracking the speed. Still a maiden, but that latest placing keeps her in the winning discussion.

3rd Pick
5

Marmalade Sky

Jockey: Keita Nishi

Trainer: Hiromi Yamazaki

J: Keita Nishi

T: Hiromi Yamazaki

59---20%4/1

Analysis

Returns from a five-week let-up after a solid third at this track behind Dantalion, beaten just over three lengths at generous odds after being run down late. That was a much stronger result than her tenth in a Mdn at Hakodate Dirt, where she failed to finish off after tracking the speed. Still a maiden, but that latest placing keeps her in the winning discussion.

Horse Racing Basic Terms

Bleeder

A horse that bleeds due to a ruptured blood vessel during a race or workout. The medication Lasix can fix this problem.

Condition Book

A list of upcoming races issued by the racing secretary, where the conditions of races to be run over the next few weeks are written.

Mare

A female horse of five years or more.