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8:00 AM

JP - Kawasaki - Race 5

Thoroughbred
12 Runners
7.5f
Unknown
Dirt
60.0K

All race stats and comments are provided by numberfire. Complex algorithms are used to calculate stats like the power rating. Numberfire picks are provided by horse racing experts that work with numberfire.

Verdict

GOLD MONACO (3) sets the standard after winning both starts at this track, most recently putting seven lengths on Cendrillon after being heavily backed into very short odds-on territory. She has already shown she can control a race and quicken, and the unbeaten profile gives her the strongest winning case. ALLEGRO VIVACE (4) is the immediate danger, having bounced sharply from a fair debut fourth to win by six lengths as a prohibitive odds-on favourite. SEI LEGER (9) brings a different form spike, improving from an unwanted debut fourth over 4 ½f to win by a long way next time. That margin demands respect, though this is a deeper test of the strength behind it. DOKOFUKUKAZE (1) also arrives off a six-length win at this venue and did it by making strong late ground, so she has a genuine place profile with winning upside if she repeats that authority.
numberFire Picks
Horse Stats
#/SilkHorse#/HorsePower RatingHigh SpeedWin %Top 3%Win ProbOdds
3
Gold Monaco silk

Returns from a five-week let-up, unbeaten in two starts and dominant both times at this track. She was backed into very short odds-on territory last start and won by seven lengths from Cendrillon after travelling right there and putting the race away quickly. Her debut win over Vuela Grande also had plenty in hand, and with race fitness third-up she brings the cleanest winning profile in the race.

1st Pick
3

Gold Monaco

Jockey: Yuki Furuoka

Trainer: Hiroyuki Takahashi

J: Yuki Furuoka

T: Hiroyuki Takahashi

146---20%4/1

Analysis

Returns from a five-week let-up, unbeaten in two starts and dominant both times at this track. She was backed into very short odds-on territory last start and won by seven lengths from Cendrillon after travelling right there and putting the race away quickly. Her debut win over Vuela Grande also had plenty in hand, and with race fitness third-up she brings the cleanest winning profile in the race.

4
Allegro Vivace silk

Back from a two-month break, produced a dominant six-length win at this track last start after holding a clear margin throughout as a prohibitive odds-on favourite. That answered the query from debut, when she was sent out favourite but could only manage fourth behind Duomo Amore. The latest performance is strong enough to make her a major winning chance if reproduced.

2nd Pick
4

Allegro Vivace

Jockey: Masashige Honda

Trainer: Katsuyoshi Uchida

J: Masashige Honda

T: Katsuyoshi Uchida

112---19%9/2

Analysis

Back from a two-month break, produced a dominant six-length win at this track last start after holding a clear margin throughout as a prohibitive odds-on favourite. That answered the query from debut, when she was sent out favourite but could only manage fourth behind Duomo Amore. The latest performance is strong enough to make her a major winning chance if reproduced.

9
Sei Leger silk

Returns from a five-week let-up after a wide-margin win at this track, beating Time Of River by a long way when near the top of betting. That was a sharp progression from debut over 4 ½f, where she was unwanted in the market but charged home late for fourth behind Snow Jewel. The latest win gives her strong claims, although she now has to confirm that big margin against better exposed rivals.

3rd Pick
9

Sei Leger

Jockey: Keita Nishi

Trainer: Shoichi Hirata

J: Keita Nishi

T: Shoichi Hirata

108---10%10/1

Analysis

Returns from a five-week let-up after a wide-margin win at this track, beating Time Of River by a long way when near the top of betting. That was a sharp progression from debut over 4 ½f, where she was unwanted in the market but charged home late for fourth behind Snow Jewel. The latest win gives her strong claims, although she now has to confirm that big margin against better exposed rivals.

Horse Racing Basic Terms

Track Bias

The term used to identify which parts of the track or running styles are producing more winners.

Fast

A dry dirt track that is typically an ideal racing surface.

Dead Heat

Two or more horses finishing so close at the wire, that they were unable to be separated on a photo finish and deemed to have tied.