JP - Kawasaki - Race 12

Thoroughbred

12 Runners

Unknown

Dirt

14.6K

VIEW

R10

R11

R12

Verdict

SADDLE (5) was in a different class last time with a dominant all-the-way win by 5 lengths at this track over 7f. Sure to take some stopping again. PARTY GIRL (3) is in a purple patch of form with her third straight win coming last time out over 7f at this track. Ryo Novata aboard again and should be in the finish. BEST TSUKKI (6) finished 8 lengths away in seventh last time out over 4 ½f at this track after being in contention on the bend two-and-a-half weeks ago. Steps up in journey today. Has good early speed so should take up a forward position. One of the main contenders. TAKENO ROYAL (9) turned in another moderate effort last start when 9 lengths from the winner in eighth over 7f at this track. No surprise to see her in the mix.

numberFire Picks

Horse Stats

#/Silk	Horse#/Horse	Power Rating	High Speed	Win %	Top 3%	Win Prob	Odds
5	Form hard to fault. Most recently favourite, scored a big 5 len win at this track December 18 over 7f defeating Mondo carrying 123lbs at $1.30. The race before that raced on the pace when 2nd of 12 at this track on November 19 over 7f, 0.8 len behind Dandelion carrying 123lbs at $6. Hard to beat again. 1st Pick 5 Saddle Jockey: Naoki Machida Trainer: Shoichi Hirata J: Naoki Machida T: Shoichi Hirata	167	-	-	-	35%	15/8
Analysis Form hard to fault. Most recently favourite, scored a big 5 len win at this track December 18 over 7f defeating Mondo carrying 123lbs at $1.30. The race before that raced on the pace when 2nd of 12 at this track on November 19 over 7f, 0.8 len behind Dandelion carrying 123lbs at $6. Hard to beat again.
3	On a three run winning streak. Most recently favourite, won by 2.5 len at this track December 15 over 7f defeating Siena Best with 119lbs at $1.60. Before that favourite, won by 3 len at this track November 19 over 7f defeating Roll The Bones carrying 119lbs at $2.20. Drawn to enjoy a cosy run from an inside barrier. 2nd Pick 3 Party Girl Jockey: Ryo Novata Trainer: Yoshihisa Suzuki J: Ryo Novata T: Yoshihisa Suzuki	145	-	-	-	31%	9/4
Analysis On a three run winning streak. Most recently favourite, won by 2.5 len at this track December 15 over 7f defeating Siena Best with 119lbs at $1.60. Before that favourite, won by 3 len at this track November 19 over 7f defeating Roll The Bones carrying 119lbs at $2.20. Drawn to enjoy a cosy run from an inside barrier.
6	Most recently raced behind the speed prior to fading 7th of 12 at this track on December 15 over 4 ½f, 8 len behind Kannon Animo carrying 123lbs at $5.40. The run before that held ground to the line 2nd of 10 at this track on November 21 over 4 ½f, neck behind Silver Lip with 123lbs at $2.40. Deserves another chance. 3rd Pick 6 Best Tsukki Jockey: Takafumi Hattori Trainer: Yuya Yamazaki J: Takafumi Hattori T: Yuya Yamazaki	119	-	-	-	17%	5/1
Analysis Most recently raced behind the speed prior to fading 7th of 12 at this track on December 15 over 4 ½f, 8 len behind Kannon Animo carrying 123lbs at $5.40. The run before that held ground to the line 2nd of 10 at this track on November 21 over 4 ½f, neck behind Silver Lip with 123lbs at $2.40. Deserves another chance.

Upcoming Races

Horse Racing Basic Terms

Rabbit

Also known as a pacemaker; this is a horse with no expected chance of winning but is used to prompt a quick pace on the front end of the race to the benefit of a stablemate who is a closer.

Firm

A dry turf course, equal to a ‘fast’ dirt track.

Sloppy

A wet racetrack condition, typically with a firm base and water settling on top.