JP - Kawasaki - Race 11

Thoroughbred

12 Runners

4.5f

Unknown

Dirt

60.0K

VIEW

R10

R11

R12

Verdict

RAVOMI (2) is the one to beat after putting away Buffalo Rise by two and a half lengths in a B2 at this track last start, and the strength of that win is backed by five wins and nine places from 18 starts at this track and distance. She was also third in B2B3 grade the run prior, so her current form profile is the cleanest in the race. PRAELUDE (11) brings the strongest track-and-distance depth, with three wins and three places from seven attempts, and his fair first-up eighth at Ohi should have him ready to sharpen second-up. FREEDOM (4) has to rebound from a plain Ohi run, but her one win and three places from five starts at this track and distance keep her firmly in the contest. BUFFALO RISE (6) was no match for Ravomi when odds-on first-up, yet his record with Naoki Machida gives him a sound platform to run into the money again.

numberFire Picks

Horse Stats

#/Silk	Horse#/Horse	Power Rating	High Speed	Win %	Top 3%	Win Prob	Odds
2	Back after five weeks, brings the right profile after winning a B2 at this track by two and a half lengths from Buffalo Rise, travelling behind the speed before finishing strongly. She had also placed in B2B3 grade here, is proven at this track and distance with five wins and nine places from 18 attempts, and gets weight relief. That makes her the clear winning benchmark. 1st Pick 2 Ravomi Jockey: Takuto Iketani Trainer: Takayuki Hayashi J: Takuto Iketani T: Takayuki Hayashi	119	-	-	-	35%	15/8
Analysis Back after five weeks, brings the right profile after winning a B2 at this track by two and a half lengths from Buffalo Rise, travelling behind the speed before finishing strongly. She had also placed in B2B3 grade here, is proven at this track and distance with five wins and nine places from 18 attempts, and gets weight relief. That makes her the clear winning benchmark.
11	Back after six weeks, strips fitter second-up after working home fairly for eighth at Ohi, beaten six and a half lengths behind Tintoretto. His prior fourth at this track was stronger, charging home to miss by a length and a half, and three wins and three placings from seven starts at this track and distance give him real substance. He rates a serious winning threat. 2nd Pick 11 Praelude Jockey: Francisco Goncalves Trainer: Terunobu Fujita J: Francisco Goncalves T: Terunobu Fujita	132	-	-	-	27%	11/4
Analysis Back after six weeks, strips fitter second-up after working home fairly for eighth at Ohi, beaten six and a half lengths behind Tintoretto. His prior fourth at this track was stronger, charging home to miss by a length and a half, and three wins and three placings from seven starts at this track and distance give him real substance. He rates a serious winning threat.
4	Back after six weeks, has to put a plain Ohi tenth behind her after lacking the dash to be competitive behind Tintoretto. Her Funabashi fourth two back was sounder, beaten three lengths after racing handy, and she is far better suited back at a track and distance where she has one win and three placings from five starts. A genuine chance if she finds that sharper form. 3rd Pick 4 Freedom Jockey: Ryuji Tatsushiro Trainer: Takemi Munakata J: Ryuji Tatsushiro T: Takemi Munakata	115	-	-	-	17%	5/1
Analysis Back after six weeks, has to put a plain Ohi tenth behind her after lacking the dash to be competitive behind Tintoretto. Her Funabashi fourth two back was sounder, beaten three lengths after racing handy, and she is far better suited back at a track and distance where she has one win and three placings from five starts. A genuine chance if she finds that sharper form.

Upcoming Races

Horse Racing Basic Terms

Show Wager

Betting on a horse to finish in the first three spots, which pays out the same whether they win or run second or third.

Exacta

A bet selecting the first and second horses in a race in the correct order. An exacta box refers to paying a little more to ensure they can finish in either order.

Morning Line

An approximation of expected odds in a race, quoted before actual odds are determined.