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10:40 AM

JP - Kawasaki - Race 10

Thoroughbred
14 Runners
9.9f
Unknown
Dirt
18.0K

All race stats and comments are provided by numberfire. Complex algorithms are used to calculate stats like the power rating. Numberfire picks are provided by horse racing experts that work with numberfire.

Verdict

GOLD KID (8) has the most dependable recent profile, with placings at his past three and a narrow second to Rottura two runs ago showing he is close to breaking through. He is still a maiden, but five placings from ten tries at the distance and a strong record with Yuki Furuoka give him the right credentials. MISTRA (9) brings the strongest overall winning record and was doing his best work late when fourth behind Crow Song at this track, also finishing ahead of Tavanestan in that race. TAVANESTAN (1) has been costly as favourite at his past two, yet he is a track-and-trip winner, draws well and gets his winning rider back, so he has clear scope to rebound. YUTO THE INNOCENT (12) comes through 7f COND form and was second to Dona Solare last time, the 1 ¼m is new, but third-up fitness and the class drop keep him in the winning discussion.
numberFire Picks
Horse Stats
#/SilkHorse#/HorsePower RatingHigh SpeedWin %Top 3%Win ProbOdds
8
Gold Kid silk

Kept his consistent run going when third to Beach Girl at Urawa, beaten four and a half lengths after being prominent without threatening the winner. He was pipped by Rottura two starts ago and continues to hold his form around this distance, with five placings from ten tries and an excellent place record for this jockey. Still chasing a first win, but his reliability gives him the best platform to break through.

1st Pick
8

Gold Kid

Jockey: Yuki Furuoka

Trainer: Yoshikazu Kanuma

J: Yuki Furuoka

T: Yoshikazu Kanuma

71---31%9/4

Analysis

Kept his consistent run going when third to Beach Girl at Urawa, beaten four and a half lengths after being prominent without threatening the winner. He was pipped by Rottura two starts ago and continues to hold his form around this distance, with five placings from ten tries and an excellent place record for this jockey. Still chasing a first win, but his reliability gives him the best platform to break through.

9
Mistra silk

Returns from a five-week let-up in good order after making up solid ground for fourth behind Crow Song in a C2C3 at this track, beaten just over three lengths. That run had him finishing ahead of Tavanestan, reversing their earlier meeting. His record at the track and trip is more place-heavy than winning, but third-up fitness, class relief and a proven rider partnership make him a genuine winning threat.

2nd Pick
9

Mistra

Jockey: Takuto Iketani

Trainer: Rokuro Murata

J: Takuto Iketani

T: Rokuro Murata

77---25%3/1

Analysis

Returns from a five-week let-up in good order after making up solid ground for fourth behind Crow Song in a C2C3 at this track, beaten just over three lengths. That run had him finishing ahead of Tavanestan, reversing their earlier meeting. His record at the track and trip is more place-heavy than winning, but third-up fitness, class relief and a proven rider partnership make him a genuine winning threat.

1
Tavanestan silk

Returns from a five-week let-up after finishing fifth in a C2C3 over 1 ¼m at this track, beaten just under six lengths as favourite after being overrun late. He had also been short odds-on when fourth to Sandy Beach the start prior, so the finishing strength is the query. Still, he is a track-and-trip winner, drops in class and gets his winning rider back, which keeps him high among the main chances.

3rd Pick
1

Tavanestan

Jockey: Wada Joji

Trainer: Shoichi Hirata

J: Wada Joji

T: Shoichi Hirata

115---17%5/1

Analysis

Returns from a five-week let-up after finishing fifth in a C2C3 over 1 ¼m at this track, beaten just under six lengths as favourite after being overrun late. He had also been short odds-on when fourth to Sandy Beach the start prior, so the finishing strength is the query. Still, he is a track-and-trip winner, drops in class and gets his winning rider back, which keeps him high among the main chances.

Horse Racing Basic Terms

Also Eligible

A horse that is entered but does not draw into the body of the field due to too many entries, and thus is not permitted to start unless there are enough scratches to shrink the field size.

Mare

A female horse of five years or more.

Bute

Shortened word for phenylbutazone, the common non-steroidal medication legal at most racetrack.