JP - Kawasaki - Race 1

Thoroughbred

9 Runners

Unknown

Dirt

12.0K

VIEW

Verdict

ZELE NODUS (7) sets the standard after consecutive Kanazawa placings, most recently second to Kaiser Leon in C2 grade when beaten a length and a half and well found in betting. Her 7f record, with one win and two placings from four starts at the distance, gives her the strongest proven profile and the class drop only strengthens the case. IMPARABLE (9) has the upside to make it a contest, having placed on debut at this track despite being beaten eight and a half lengths after working home from a long way back. The query is that 7f is new, but she was respected in an open market and returns with scope. LOVE MESSAGE (1) has been costly to trust as a 15-start maiden, yet her fourth behind Pure Chrome was an improvement on a tailed-off prior run and the weight relief helps her place claims. MACHIDANO CHIEKO (2) was safely held fifth behind Pure Chrome first-up, but second-up improvement from a low draw can bring her into the minor-money discussion.

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Horse Stats

#/Silk	Horse#/Horse	Power Rating	High Speed	Win %	Top 3%	Win Prob	Odds
7	Returns off a six-week let-up after going close at Kanazawa, where she led and was run down late by Kaiser Leon in C2 grade, beaten a length and a half as one of the better-fancied runners. That followed a third behind Transcenko in COND grade, and her distance record reads one win and two placings from four starts. The first look at this track is the small query, but her current form and class drop make her the one to beat. 1st Pick 7 Zele Nodus Jockey: Hiroto Ito Trainer: Shoichi Hirata J: Hiroto Ito T: Shoichi Hirata	211	-	-	-	36%	9/5
Analysis Returns off a six-week let-up after going close at Kanazawa, where she led and was run down late by Kaiser Leon in C2 grade, beaten a length and a half as one of the better-fancied runners. That followed a third behind Transcenko in COND grade, and her distance record reads one win and two placings from four starts. The first look at this track is the small query, but her current form and class drop make her the one to beat.
9	Returns from a six-month break after a debut third at this track, where she was beaten eight and a half lengths by Grand Mermaid but worked home from a long way back to fill a placing. She was near the top of an open market there, which adds substance to the run, and the ¥ yearling purchase profile also gives her interest. The 7f is new, but she has enough upside to be the main danger. 2nd Pick 9 Imparable Jockey: Haruhisa Sano Trainer: Hideo Kubo J: Haruhisa Sano T: Hideo Kubo	62	-	-	-	29%	5/2
Analysis Returns from a six-month break after a debut third at this track, where she was beaten eight and a half lengths by Grand Mermaid but worked home from a long way back to fill a placing. She was near the top of an open market there, which adds substance to the run, and the ¥ yearling purchase profile also gives her interest. The 7f is new, but she has enough upside to be the main danger.
1	Worked home better than the margin suggests when fourth at this track last start, although she was still beaten over 11 lengths behind Pure Chrome and went around at big odds. The start prior was much weaker, as she was tailed off after settling rearward. Weight relief and barrier one help her place prospects, but six 7f tries without a placing and a 15-start maiden record keep the winning case in check. 3rd Pick 1 Love Message Jockey: Yu Makoto Kato Trainer: H Sasaki J: Yu Makoto Kato T: H Sasaki	119	-	-	-	23%	7/2
Analysis Worked home better than the margin suggests when fourth at this track last start, although she was still beaten over 11 lengths behind Pure Chrome and went around at big odds. The start prior was much weaker, as she was tailed off after settling rearward. Weight relief and barrier one help her place prospects, but six 7f tries without a placing and a 15-start maiden record keep the winning case in check.

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Horse Racing Basic Terms

Trifecta

A wager picking the first, second and third horses in the exact order. A trifecta box means paying more to ensure the horses can finish in any order in the top three spots.

Handicap

A race where a handicapper has assigned weights to be carried by all runners on the basis of their past racing efforts.

Rabbit

Also known as a pacemaker; this is a horse with no expected chance of winning but is used to prompt a quick pace on the front end of the race to the benefit of a stablemate who is a closer.