JP - Tokyo City Keiba - Race 4

Thoroughbred

11 Runners

Unknown

Dirt

SOFT

58.1K

VIEW

Verdict

SALTUS (10) has the strongest debut profile, combining an American Pharoah pedigree with the Hidemitsu Sakai stable, which has produced 4 wins and 6 placings from 10 debut runners in the supplied sample. The wide barrier is the one reservation, but the half-brother Subrogate won the Listed Frank J. De Francis Memorial Dash S. and Takayuki Yano adds further confidence. NANALA (11) is the clear danger despite drawing wider again, with Daisuke Mashima's debut record reading 3 wins and 5 placings from 8, while the Sinister Minister pairing has a 26% win rate. PAWA POKE RICH (4) gets a more economical draw and the 115lbs impost, giving him a clean platform for Kazunobu Suda. VINTAGE ERROR (9) lacks the same family depth in the supplied profile, but Wada Joji and Masahiro Fukuda are a proven local combination and the stable's debut place rate keeps him in the mix.

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Horse Stats

#/Silk	Horse#/Horse	Power Rating	High Speed	Win %	Top 3%	Win Prob
10	Makes his debut with the strongest overall profile, being by American Pharoah from Goose Lemon Drop and a half-brother to Listed winner Subrogate. Hidemitsu Sakai's debut record in the supplied sample is excellent at 4 wins and 6 placings from 10, while Takayuki Yano is a leading rider at this venue. Barrier 10 is a query, but the stable, jockey and family strength make him the one to beat. 1st Pick 10 Saltus Jockey: Takayuki Yano Trainer: Hidemitsu Sakai J: Takayuki Yano T: Hidemitsu Sakai	103	-	-	-	56%
Analysis Makes his debut with the strongest overall profile, being by American Pharoah from Goose Lemon Drop and a half-brother to Listed winner Subrogate. Hidemitsu Sakai's debut record in the supplied sample is excellent at 4 wins and 6 placings from 10, while Takayuki Yano is a leading rider at this venue. Barrier 10 is a query, but the stable, jockey and family strength make him the one to beat.
11	Starts out for Daisuke Mashima, whose debut figures are notably strong at 3 wins and 5 placings from 8 runners in the supplied data. The Sinister Minister trainer-sire combination is also a plus, showing 6 wins and 12 placings from 23. Barrier 11 asks him to do things right early, but the stable profile and breeding give him a serious winning platform. 2nd Pick 11 Nanala Jockey: Ryo Fujita Trainer: Daisuke Mashima J: Ryo Fujita T: Daisuke Mashima	77	-	-	-	34%
Analysis Starts out for Daisuke Mashima, whose debut figures are notably strong at 3 wins and 5 placings from 8 runners in the supplied data. The Sinister Minister trainer-sire combination is also a plus, showing 6 wins and 12 placings from 23. Barrier 11 asks him to do things right early, but the stable profile and breeding give him a serious winning platform.
4	The light 115lbs impost is a positive starting point for this debutant, and barrier four gives Ono Shunt options without having to overcome an outside draw. Kazunobu Suda has placed with two of four debut runners in the supplied sample, which reads well for a first starter. By Bulldog Boss from Pawa Poke Rich, he brings enough profile strength to be treated as one of the main winning chances. 3rd Pick 4 Pawa Poke Rich Jockey: Ono Shunt Trainer: Kazunobu Suda J: Ono Shunt T: Kazunobu Suda	42	-	-	-	5%
Analysis The light 115lbs impost is a positive starting point for this debutant, and barrier four gives Ono Shunt options without having to overcome an outside draw. Kazunobu Suda has placed with two of four debut runners in the supplied sample, which reads well for a first starter. By Bulldog Boss from Pawa Poke Rich, he brings enough profile strength to be treated as one of the main winning chances.

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Horse Racing Basic Terms

Scratch

A horse is a scratch when injury or other necessity causes it to be withdrawn from the race.

Filly

A female horse that is four years of age or under.

Furlong

One furlong is an eighth of a mile.