JP - Tokyo City Keiba - Race 3

Thoroughbred

8 Runners

Unknown

Dirt

57.8K

VIEW

Verdict

PIERRE MESSIAH (2) appeals as the one to beat on debut, getting barrier 2 and 112lbs for Naoyuki Matoba, whose stable sits fourth for wins at this track and has a fair first-starter profile with 2 wins and 5 placings from 13. The Smart Falcon filly also has a workable trainer-sire record behind her. IIDE TWILIGHT (3) is the main danger, helped by Takayuki Yano taking the ride and a Takakazu Saso debut record of 2 wins and 5 placings from 6 starters. SOUND ATTRAIT (5) has a solid Keiyuki Suzuki debut base, while KEN WIND (1) draws the inside and profiles as a place hope for Chiaki Hori, with Keita Nishi bringing useful local experience.

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Horse Stats

#/Silk	Horse#/Horse	Power Rating	High Speed	Win %	Top 3%	Win Prob	Odds
2	Makes her debut with a strong set-up, drawing barrier 2 and carrying just 112lbs. The Naoyuki Matoba stable has 2 wins and 5 placings from 13 debut runners, and its Smart Falcon pairing has also produced regular placings. With the stable ranked fourth for wins at this track, this filly brings the most appealing profile and looks the one to beat. 1st Pick 2 Pierre Messiah Jockey: Kizawa Sho Trainer: Naoyuki Matoba J: Kizawa Sho T: Naoyuki Matoba	42	-	-	-	39%	13/8
Analysis Makes her debut with a strong set-up, drawing barrier 2 and carrying just 112lbs. The Naoyuki Matoba stable has 2 wins and 5 placings from 13 debut runners, and its Smart Falcon pairing has also produced regular placings. With the stable ranked fourth for wins at this track, this filly brings the most appealing profile and looks the one to beat.
3	Comes to the races for a stable with an excellent debut record, Takakazu Saso having 2 wins and 5 placings from 6 first starters. Takayuki Yano, the leading rider at this track, is a major booking, and the family has produced winners through Libertad, Body Double and Mr Bobby. She has enough in her profile to be a serious winning chance first time out. 2nd Pick 3 Iide Twilight Jockey: Takayuki Yano Trainer: Takakazu Saso J: Takayuki Yano T: Takakazu Saso	55	-	-	-	27%	11/4
Analysis Comes to the races for a stable with an excellent debut record, Takakazu Saso having 2 wins and 5 placings from 6 first starters. Takayuki Yano, the leading rider at this track, is a major booking, and the family has produced winners through Libertad, Body Double and Mr Bobby. She has enough in her profile to be a serious winning chance first time out.
5	Debuts for Keiyuki Suzuki, who has 2 wins and 4 placings from 9 debut runners, so there is a respectable stable pattern behind this Shanghai Bobby colt. The dam has left Yasaka Liberte, a city winner, and Yasaka Lien was fifth on debut over 1m at this track. Barrier 5 and 121lbs are fair enough, placing him among the better place chances. 3rd Pick 5 Sound Attrait Jockey: Ryuji Tatsushiro Trainer: Keiyuki Suzuki J: Ryuji Tatsushiro T: Keiyuki Suzuki	32	-	-	-	20%	4/1
Analysis Debuts for Keiyuki Suzuki, who has 2 wins and 4 placings from 9 debut runners, so there is a respectable stable pattern behind this Shanghai Bobby colt. The dam has left Yasaka Liberte, a city winner, and Yasaka Lien was fifth on debut over 1m at this track. Barrier 5 and 121lbs are fair enough, placing him among the better place chances.

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Horse Racing Basic Terms

Trifecta

A wager picking the first, second and third horses in the exact order. A trifecta box means paying more to ensure the horses can finish in any order in the top three spots.

Across the Board

Refers to betting on a horse to finish first, second, and third to cover any of those scenarios happening during a race

Main Track Only

A horse entered for main track only (MTO) is one hoping the weather forecast or track conditions will move the race off the turf course and onto the main track. They are scratched the morning of the race if the conditions stay dry.