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11:50 AM

JP - Tokyo City Keiba - Race 12

Thoroughbred
13 Runners
11.9f
Unknown
Dirt
48.5K

All race stats and comments are provided by numberfire. Complex algorithms are used to calculate stats like the power rating. Numberfire picks are provided by horse racing experts that work with numberfire.

Verdict

GREEK TREASURE (8) returns from a two-month let-up after winning a C1 at this track by just over a length, and that response from a plain sixth two back gives him the strongest recent profile. The new 1 ½m trip is the qualification, but he has a class-drop tag, the winning rider stays with him, and his latest win had enough authority to make him the one to beat. SAN DIEGO (13) is the immediate danger after sweeping home to beat Wurdig by just under two lengths at this venue, though he also tackles 1 ½m for the first time and had been well held at 1 ¼m the run prior. STRIKE NOIR (5) brings the most reliable staying evidence, with two wins and a placing from three starts at this track and distance, and arrives third-up after back-to-back wins. WURDIG (11) has strong place consistency, was runner-up to San Diego first-up, and his record at this venue keeps him firmly in the minor-money mix despite being untried at the trip.
numberFire Picks
Horse Stats
#/SilkHorse#/HorsePower RatingHigh SpeedWin %Top 3%Win ProbOdds
8
Greek Treasure silk

Returns from a two-month let-up after a decisive C1 win at this track, beating Hakuai Soleil by just over a length when well found in an open market. He had lacked a change of gears over 1m two back, but the latest effort showed a better staying shape. The first try around 1 ½m is the question, yet the class drop and winning rider returning make him the runner to beat.

1st Pick
8

Greek Treasure

Jockey: Masashige Honda

Trainer: Masato Tanaka

J: Masashige Honda

T: Masato Tanaka

112---17%5/1

Analysis

Returns from a two-month let-up after a decisive C1 win at this track, beating Hakuai Soleil by just over a length when well found in an open market. He had lacked a change of gears over 1m two back, but the latest effort showed a better staying shape. The first try around 1 ½m is the question, yet the class drop and winning rider returning make him the runner to beat.

13
San Diego silk

Produced a strong rebound at this track last start, coming from well back to beat Wurdig by just under two lengths with something in hand. The run before was plain, beaten over 13 lengths by Waxing Moon, so the consistency is not perfect. Still, he has two wins and a placing from five starts at this venue and the latest win gives him a genuine winning platform despite the new 1 ½m test.

2nd Pick
13

San Diego

Jockey: Keita Nishi

Trainer: Masahiro Uesugi

J: Keita Nishi

T: Masahiro Uesugi

109---13%7/1

Analysis

Produced a strong rebound at this track last start, coming from well back to beat Wurdig by just under two lengths with something in hand. The run before was plain, beaten over 13 lengths by Waxing Moon, so the consistency is not perfect. Still, he has two wins and a placing from five starts at this venue and the latest win gives him a genuine winning platform despite the new 1 ½m test.

5
Strike Noir silk

Has returned in excellent order, winning a C2 here by a length before driving hard late to score by a nose in a C1 as favourite. That makes him two from two this campaign, and his record around this track and distance is a major asset with two wins and a placing from three attempts. Third-up with Takayuki Yano aboard again, he has a strong, proven staying case.

3rd Pick
5

Strike Noir

Jockey: Takayuki Yano

Trainer: Takemi Munakata

J: Takayuki Yano

T: Takemi Munakata

135---35%15/8

Analysis

Has returned in excellent order, winning a C2 here by a length before driving hard late to score by a nose in a C1 as favourite. That makes him two from two this campaign, and his record around this track and distance is a major asset with two wins and a placing from three attempts. Third-up with Takayuki Yano aboard again, he has a strong, proven staying case.

Horse Racing Basic Terms

Lasix

A medication for the treatment of bleeding in horses that is legal in North America, but not all worldwide jurisdictions.

Rabbit

Also known as a pacemaker; this is a horse with no expected chance of winning but is used to prompt a quick pace on the front end of the race to the benefit of a stablemate who is a closer.

Bolt

A sudden veering to the inside or outside rail, often caused by the horse spooking or shying from something.