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8:10 AM

JP - Tokyo City Keiba - Race 11

Thoroughbred
16 Runners
7f
Unknown
Dirt
55.8K

All race stats and comments are provided by numberfire. Complex algorithms are used to calculate stats like the power rating. Numberfire picks are provided by horse racing experts that work with numberfire.

Verdict

MIKKI CHALLENGE (16) resumes from a spell of nine weeks and is having his first outing under new trainer Naoyuki Matoba. Finished 11th at Tokyo over 7f at the opening run last time in work. Winning chance. ALLES GUT (10) showed good early muster and fought on to finish second last start over 1m at this track. Meeting a deeper field this time but he is good enough to play a major role. PRESTO STELLA (14) was going well before a spell with two straight minor placings. Proven first-up performer back from a break of four months. Has a solid record at this journey with seven wins from 19 starts and is expected to run well. SORENA (6) was beaten for early speed and didn't come into contention when a disappointing tenth over 1 ¹/16m at Funabashi most recently. Finds a nice race and can bounce back.
numberFire Picks
Horse Stats
#/SilkHorse#/HorsePower RatingHigh SpeedWin %Top 3%Win ProbOdds
16
Mikki Challenge silk

Back from a spell. Only had one start last campaign second last of 12 at Tokyo on October 25 over 7f, 4.5 len behind Win Twilight carrying 128lbs at $119.20. When resuming last campaign 4th of 10 at Kokura on July 5 over 6f, 1.5 len behind Meisho Peace carrying 128lbs at $20.70. Should be right in the finish.

1st Pick
16

Mikki Challenge

Jockey: Sho Yoshii

Trainer: Naoyuki Matoba

J: Sho Yoshii

T: Naoyuki Matoba

308---29%5/2

Analysis

Back from a spell. Only had one start last campaign second last of 12 at Tokyo on October 25 over 7f, 4.5 len behind Win Twilight carrying 128lbs at $119.20. When resuming last campaign 4th of 10 at Kokura on July 5 over 6f, 1.5 len behind Meisho Peace carrying 128lbs at $20.70. Should be right in the finish.

10
Alles Gut silk

Third-up today and won third-up previously. Resuming second last of 16 at Tokyo Dirt on October 12 over 6 ½f, 14 len behind Mars Odyssey carrying 126lbs at $116.60. Second-up sat on the speed and boxed on steadily 2nd of 14 at this track on December 1 over 1m, 5 len behind Nihondaira carrying 123lbs at $6.10. Profiles nicely. Top chance.

2nd Pick
10

Alles Gut

Jockey: Norifumi Mikamoto

Trainer: Kenji Tsukioka

J: Norifumi Mikamoto

T: Kenji Tsukioka

142---25%3/1

Analysis

Third-up today and won third-up previously. Resuming second last of 16 at Tokyo Dirt on October 12 over 6 ½f, 14 len behind Mars Odyssey carrying 126lbs at $116.60. Second-up sat on the speed and boxed on steadily 2nd of 14 at this track on December 1 over 1m, 5 len behind Nihondaira carrying 123lbs at $6.10. Profiles nicely. Top chance.

14
Presto Stella silk

Has won previously first-up and resumes here after a break of four months. Finished off last campaign third of 7 at this track September 2 over 7f, 2 len behind Asia Jennifer carrying 123lbs at $7.90. When resuming last campaign tenth of 16 at this track February 20 over 7f, 5 len behind Sai And Ko with 126lbs at $31.20. Expecting a bright start to the campaign.

3rd Pick
14

Presto Stella

Jockey: Kota Motohashi

Trainer: Hiroshi Takami

J: Kota Motohashi

T: Hiroshi Takami

45---17%5/1

Analysis

Has won previously first-up and resumes here after a break of four months. Finished off last campaign third of 7 at this track September 2 over 7f, 2 len behind Asia Jennifer carrying 123lbs at $7.90. When resuming last campaign tenth of 16 at this track February 20 over 7f, 5 len behind Sai And Ko with 126lbs at $31.20. Expecting a bright start to the campaign.

Horse Racing Basic Terms

Bobble/Stumble

A slip or a duck from a horse trying to leave the starting gates, often caused by the surface giving way under the feet. This can range from a mild misstep to a stumble down to their knees.

Fast

A dry dirt track that is typically an ideal racing surface.

Dead Heat

Two or more horses finishing so close at the wire, that they were unable to be separated on a photo finish and deemed to have tied.