JP - Tokyo City Keiba - Race 1

Thoroughbred

11 Runners

Unknown

Dirt

9.8K

VIEW

Verdict

BEIDEN FLASH (5) is the clear starting point despite being beaten as a short odds-on favourite at his past two. He was only beaten two and a half lengths by Philippine over 1m at Ohi last start and still has a strong overall profile, with two wins and two places from five starts and proven track-and-distance form. BLANTON ARROW (10) brings the winning form, having scored by half a length over this track and distance before this, and his previous second to Jikon reads well enough for a repeat showing, although barrier 10 is the obvious complication. IKENO GAL CHAN (1) has the best recent consistency of the quartet, with consecutive Ohi thirds and a recent margin edge over Beiden Flash, but her low win strike-rate tempers the enthusiasm. FINE DAY (2) is the lighter-weighted place option after working home from big odds last start, though she still has to turn honest efforts into a sharper result.

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Horse Stats

#/Silk	Horse#/Horse	Power Rating	High Speed	Win %	Top 3%	Win Prob	Odds
5	Led and was sound rather than decisive when fourth over 1m at Ohi last start, beaten two and a half lengths by Philippine as a short odds-on favourite. He had been third to the same winner the start prior after tracking into the straight and fighting on. The market has missed twice, but he is third-up, has two wins and two places from five starts, and remains the runner with the strongest winning platform. 1st Pick 5 Beiden Flash Jockey: Tsubasa Sasagawa Trainer: Masahiro Fukuda J: Tsubasa Sasagawa T: Masahiro Fukuda	173	-	-	-	37%	7/4
Analysis Led and was sound rather than decisive when fourth over 1m at Ohi last start, beaten two and a half lengths by Philippine as a short odds-on favourite. He had been third to the same winner the start prior after tracking into the straight and fighting on. The market has missed twice, but he is third-up, has two wins and two places from five starts, and remains the runner with the strongest winning platform.
10	Arrives off the right form line after making up plenty of ground to win over 1m at Ohi, scoring by half a length from Minnano Bummo as an outside chance in the betting. That followed a second here behind Jikon, beaten two and a half lengths, so the pattern is clearly improving. Barrier 10 is the main query, but 117lbs and current form make him a serious threat again. 2nd Pick 10 Blanton Arrow Jockey: Yu Takahashi Trainer: Kazunobu Suda J: Yu Takahashi T: Kazunobu Suda	97	-	-	-	27%	11/4
Analysis Arrives off the right form line after making up plenty of ground to win over 1m at Ohi, scoring by half a length from Minnano Bummo as an outside chance in the betting. That followed a second here behind Jikon, beaten two and a half lengths, so the pattern is clearly improving. Barrier 10 is the main query, but 117lbs and current form make him a serious threat again.
1	Has strung together honest Ohi form, finishing third over 1m two weeks ago when beaten two lengths by Philippine after working home evenly. She had also been third here the start prior, beaten just over four lengths by Justin Long, and the inside barrier helps a mare with a deep 1m record here. The win strike-rate is modest, but she beat Beiden Flash recently and profiles as a genuine winning chance. 3rd Pick 1 Ikeno Gal Chan Jockey: Shunsuke Ishikawa Trainer: Naomitsu Okano J: Shunsuke Ishikawa T: Naomitsu Okano	114	-	-	-	20%	4/1
Analysis Has strung together honest Ohi form, finishing third over 1m two weeks ago when beaten two lengths by Philippine after working home evenly. She had also been third here the start prior, beaten just over four lengths by Justin Long, and the inside barrier helps a mare with a deep 1m record here. The win strike-rate is modest, but she beat Beiden Flash recently and profiles as a genuine winning chance.

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Horse Racing Basic Terms

Bute

Shortened word for phenylbutazone, the common non-steroidal medication legal at most racetrack.

Claiming Race

A race in which horses are entered for a certain price, or claiming tag, which is also their sales price. An owner can claim any horse entered for the tag before the race begins, and owns them as soon as the gates open.

Rabbit

Also known as a pacemaker; this is a horse with no expected chance of winning but is used to prompt a quick pace on the front end of the race to the benefit of a stablemate who is a closer.