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5:30 AM

JP - Tokyo City Keiba - Race 1

Thoroughbred
14 Runners
8f
Unknown
Dirt
9.5K

All race stats and comments are provided by numberfire. Complex algorithms are used to calculate stats like the power rating. Numberfire picks are provided by horse racing experts that work with numberfire.

Verdict

ROSEN NIGHTS (6) has had two runs back from a spell and went down fighting last start over the same trip to this last start at this track. Rates well and down in the weights is worth including. CELTIC HEART'S (5) doesn't win out of turn, scoring just once from 15 starts. Again tasted defeat last start when fifth over 6f at this track, beaten 9 lengths. Best figures measure up nicely. Can turn things around. LOVELY YOSHINO (11) wasn't far away last time at big odds, finishing second over 1m at this track. Definite danger again. NONSTOP GIRL (10) missed the placings two runs back then improved last start but found one better over 1m at this track, beaten 4 lengths. This looks a good race for her so another forward showing looks likely.
numberFire Picks
Horse Stats
#/SilkHorse#/HorsePower RatingHigh SpeedWin %Top 3%Win ProbOdds
6
Rosen Nights silk

Third-up today and placed third-up in the past. First-up favourite, tracked the speed and boxed on steadily, won by 2 len at this track February 16 over 6f defeating The Goat with 119lbs at $1.60. Second run from a spell 3rd of 13 at this track on March 24 over 1m, 1.3 len behind World Fountain carrying 119lbs at $1.20. Strong winning hope.

1st Pick
6

Rosen Nights

Jockey: Nishi Yuya

Trainer: Terunobu Fujita

J: Nishi Yuya

T: Terunobu Fujita

186---50%1/1

Analysis

Third-up today and placed third-up in the past. First-up favourite, tracked the speed and boxed on steadily, won by 2 len at this track February 16 over 6f defeating The Goat with 119lbs at $1.60. Second run from a spell 3rd of 13 at this track on March 24 over 1m, 1.3 len behind World Fountain carrying 119lbs at $1.20. Strong winning hope.

5
Celtic Heart's silk

Third-up today and won third-up previously. First-up made ground from midfield, 2nd of 15 at this track on March 9 over 6f, 2 len behind State Of Rock carrying 123lbs at $9.10. Second run from a spell 5th of 14 at this track on March 24 over 6f, 9 len behind Mihata Tatenashi with 123lbs at $12.20. Can improve. Top chance if at his best.

2nd Pick
5

Celtic Heart's

Jockey: Sho Yoshii

Trainer: Keiji Nakamichi

J: Sho Yoshii

T: Keiji Nakamichi

78---13%7/1

Analysis

Third-up today and won third-up previously. First-up made ground from midfield, 2nd of 15 at this track on March 9 over 6f, 2 len behind State Of Rock carrying 123lbs at $9.10. Second run from a spell 5th of 14 at this track on March 24 over 6f, 9 len behind Mihata Tatenashi with 123lbs at $12.20. Can improve. Top chance if at his best.

11
Lovely Yoshino silk

Recent form sound. Last start raced on the pace when 2nd of 13 at this track on March 24 over 1m, neck behind World Fountain carrying 123lbs at $29.80. Before that tried to lead throughout but was claimed late 2nd of 14 at this track on March 10 over 1m, neck behind World Fountain with 123lbs at $43.60. Knocking on the door.

3rd Pick
11

Lovely Yoshino

Jockey: Ryota Sugawara

Trainer: Tomohiro Arai

J: Ryota Sugawara

T: Tomohiro Arai

102---10%9/1

Analysis

Recent form sound. Last start raced on the pace when 2nd of 13 at this track on March 24 over 1m, neck behind World Fountain carrying 123lbs at $29.80. Before that tried to lead throughout but was claimed late 2nd of 14 at this track on March 10 over 1m, neck behind World Fountain with 123lbs at $43.60. Knocking on the door.

Horse Racing Basic Terms

Allowance Race

A race with non-claiming conditions set by the racing secretary. They are meant to be a step down from stakes racing.

Fast

A dry dirt track that is typically an ideal racing surface.

Tack

The equipment the horse wears, including saddle and bridle. A jockey typically has their own racing saddle, placed on each horse they ride just before the race.