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5:30 AM

JP - Tokyo City Keiba - Race 1

Thoroughbred
12 Runners
8f
Unknown
Dirt
12.2K

All race stats and comments are provided by numberfire. Complex algorithms are used to calculate stats like the power rating. Numberfire picks are provided by horse racing experts that work with numberfire.

Verdict

THALBERG (1) is a seven-start maiden who is well and truly overdue, finishing third at this track over 1m last time out after being in contention on the bend. Suitably placed so anticipating another big run. TOKUSHI TIGRE (12) was well fancied last start over 6f at this track when third, beaten 7 lengths. Can make amends over the extra ground. SHARK WARNING (6) saluted at this track two runs ago. Fair effort last time out when second over 1m at this track, beaten 1.5 lengths. Haruto Nakayama is a key engagement. Nicely placed to return to winning form. NOAH SANSAN (8) was prominent at the turn and finished second last start over 1m at this track, beaten 2.5 lengths. Has a good record at this course and distance, including three wins. Placed to advantage and can take this out.
numberFire Picks
Horse Stats
#/SilkHorse#/HorsePower RatingHigh SpeedWin %Top 3%Win ProbOdds
1
Thalberg silk

Most recently rolled along in front before being edged out 3rd of 14 at this track on November 10 over 1m, 2 len behind Vlastari carrying 117lbs at $3.30. The race before that 6th of 8 at Hanshin on September 15 over 1m, 5 len behind Ever Groove carrying 121lbs at $54.80. An inside alley is a big advantage. Winning prospects.

1st Pick
1

Thalberg

Jockey: Yu Takahashi

Trainer: Kazuo Watanabe

J: Yu Takahashi

T: Kazuo Watanabe

117---29%5/2

Analysis

Most recently rolled along in front before being edged out 3rd of 14 at this track on November 10 over 1m, 2 len behind Vlastari carrying 117lbs at $3.30. The race before that 6th of 8 at Hanshin on September 15 over 1m, 5 len behind Ever Groove carrying 121lbs at $54.80. An inside alley is a big advantage. Winning prospects.

12
Tokushi Tigre silk

Third-up today. Resuming ran on from midfield and won by 2 len at this track October 20 over 6f defeating Arazi Niece carrying 123lbs at $1.80. Second-up made some head-way from midfield, 3rd of 13 at this track on November 10 over 6f, 7 len behind Harlem Shuffle with 123lbs at $2.50. Ready to find peak form.

2nd Pick
12

Tokushi Tigre

Jockey: Takayuki Yano

Trainer: Keiji Nakamichi

J: Takayuki Yano

T: Keiji Nakamichi

118---23%7/2

Analysis

Third-up today. Resuming ran on from midfield and won by 2 len at this track October 20 over 6f defeating Arazi Niece carrying 123lbs at $1.80. Second-up made some head-way from midfield, 3rd of 13 at this track on November 10 over 6f, 7 len behind Harlem Shuffle with 123lbs at $2.50. Ready to find peak form.

6
Shark Warning silk

Recent form sound. Most recently 2nd of 14 at this track on November 10 over 1m, 1.5 len behind Vlastari carrying 123lbs at $7.60. Before that ran on from midfield and won by 1.3 len at this track October 22 over 1m defeating Noah Sansan carrying 117lbs at $3.40. Major player on recent form.

3rd Pick
6

Shark Warning

Jockey: Haruto Nakayama

Trainer: Takakazu Saso

J: Haruto Nakayama

T: Takakazu Saso

153---19%9/2

Analysis

Recent form sound. Most recently 2nd of 14 at this track on November 10 over 1m, 1.5 len behind Vlastari carrying 123lbs at $7.60. Before that ran on from midfield and won by 1.3 len at this track October 22 over 1m defeating Noah Sansan carrying 117lbs at $3.40. Major player on recent form.

Horse Racing Basic Terms

Exercise Rider

A rider built much like a jockey but is employed for exercising and working out horses in the morning.

Track Bias

The term used to identify which parts of the track or running styles are producing more winners.

Maiden Race

A race exclusively for horses who have not previously won.