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5:30 AM

JP - Tokyo City Keiba - Race 1

Thoroughbred
13 Runners
8f
Unknown
Dirt
GOOD
9.6K

All race stats and comments are provided by numberfire. Complex algorithms are used to calculate stats like the power rating. Numberfire picks are provided by horse racing experts that work with numberfire.

Verdict

LOVELY YOSHINO (1) raced on the speed last start and battled on well but found one better over 1m at this track. Can improve enough to win this. NONSTOP GIRL (12) is putting together some solid results. Finished third at this track two starts back then landed the prize by a head as public elect last time out over 1m at this track. Wada Joji scored on her last time and retains the mount. Finds a suitable race and can play a major role. SUN SHIP (9) was well fancied last start over 1 ?m at this track when second, beaten 5 lengths. Can bounce back over this journey. KIBARU STAR (6) ran a better race last start, finishing 3 lengths away in fourth over 1m at this track. Better than recent efforts suggest.
numberFire Picks
Horse Stats
#/SilkHorse#/HorsePower RatingHigh SpeedWin %Top 3%Win ProbOdds
1
Lovely Yoshino silk

At the latest run set the pace for much of the race 2nd of 11 at this track on April 28 over 1m, head behind Nonstop Girl carrying 123lbs at $3.30. The start before that crossed from a wide gate to settle just off the pace but gave ground when 6th of 14 at this track on April 15 over 1m, 7 len behind Sun Ship with 123lbs at $5.20. Draws well and is a strong winning chance.

1st Pick
1

Lovely Yoshino

Jockey: Ryota Sugawara

Trainer: Tomohiro Arai

J: Ryota Sugawara

T: Tomohiro Arai

123---23%7/2

Analysis

At the latest run set the pace for much of the race 2nd of 11 at this track on April 28 over 1m, head behind Nonstop Girl carrying 123lbs at $3.30. The start before that crossed from a wide gate to settle just off the pace but gave ground when 6th of 14 at this track on April 15 over 1m, 7 len behind Sun Ship with 123lbs at $5.20. Draws well and is a strong winning chance.

12
Nonstop Girl silk

Form hard to fault. At the latest run favourite, tracked the speed and boxed on steadily, won by a head at this track April 28 over 1m defeating Lovely Yoshino carrying 119lbs at $2.90. The start before that made some head-way from midfield, 3rd of 14 at this track on April 15 over 1m, 2.25 len behind Sun Ship carrying 119lbs at $20.60. Can get the job done again.

2nd Pick
12

Nonstop Girl

Jockey: Wada Joji

Trainer: Kazuo Watanabe

J: Wada Joji

T: Kazuo Watanabe

118---17%5/1

Analysis

Form hard to fault. At the latest run favourite, tracked the speed and boxed on steadily, won by a head at this track April 28 over 1m defeating Lovely Yoshino carrying 119lbs at $2.90. The start before that made some head-way from midfield, 3rd of 14 at this track on April 15 over 1m, 2.25 len behind Sun Ship carrying 119lbs at $20.60. Can get the job done again.

9
Sun Ship silk

Third-up today and won third-up in the past. First-up won by 1.3 len at this track April 15 over 1m defeating I Am Ibushigin carrying 123lbs at $10.80. Second-up tracked the speed and boxed on steadily 2nd of 14 at this track on April 30 over 1m, 5 len behind Greater Hope with 123lbs at $2.50. One of the main contenders.

3rd Pick
9

Sun Ship

Jockey: Ryo Fujita

Trainer: Keiji Nakamichi

J: Ryo Fujita

T: Keiji Nakamichi

152---23%7/2

Analysis

Third-up today and won third-up in the past. First-up won by 1.3 len at this track April 15 over 1m defeating I Am Ibushigin carrying 123lbs at $10.80. Second-up tracked the speed and boxed on steadily 2nd of 14 at this track on April 30 over 1m, 5 len behind Greater Hope with 123lbs at $2.50. One of the main contenders.

Horse Racing Basic Terms

Exacta

A bet selecting the first and second horses in a race in the correct order. An exacta box refers to paying a little more to ensure they can finish in either order.

Claiming Race

A race in which horses are entered for a certain price, or claiming tag, which is also their sales price. An owner can claim any horse entered for the tag before the race begins, and owns them as soon as the gates open.

Turf Course

A racetrack made of grass.