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2:00 AM

JP - Tokyo City Keiba - Race 1

Thoroughbred
12 Runners
8f
Unknown
Dirt
17.1K

All race stats and comments are provided by numberfire. Complex algorithms are used to calculate stats like the power rating. Numberfire picks are provided by horse racing experts that work with numberfire.

Verdict

SMART SIERRA (6) has switched yards since finishing third two months ago over 1 ¹/16m at Nagoya. Expecting a seamless transition. ROYAL TALE (10) is a seven-start maiden who resumed from a spell last start and was beaten 6 lengths when fourth over 7f at this track. Can come on from that run and looks a serious contender. POSITANO (11) eleven-start maiden who could only manage to finish eighth at her latest appearance over 1m at this track after she gave away a big start. Looks to be in the right race to play a big role. SILFRA (12) failed to figure again last time over 1m at this track, beaten 14 lengths into ninth. One of the better hopes.
numberFire Picks
Horse Stats
#/SilkHorse#/HorsePower RatingHigh SpeedWin %Top 3%Win ProbOdds
6
Smart Sierra silk

Racing well recently. Returns from a 61-day let-up. Last start 3rd of 12 at Nagoya on October 31 over 1 ¹/16m, 3.5 len behind Piranha Kiss with 121lbs at $5.30. Before that ran on from midfield and won by a neck at Nagoya October 16 over 7 ½f defeating A Shin Gaudi carrying 121lbs at $5.40. One of the prime contenders in a suitable contest.

1st Pick
6

Smart Sierra

Jockey: Ryo Novata

Trainer: Hiroyuki Matsuura

J: Ryo Novata

T: Hiroyuki Matsuura

123---40%6/4

Analysis

Racing well recently. Returns from a 61-day let-up. Last start 3rd of 12 at Nagoya on October 31 over 1 ¹/16m, 3.5 len behind Piranha Kiss with 121lbs at $5.30. Before that ran on from midfield and won by a neck at Nagoya October 16 over 7 ½f defeating A Shin Gaudi carrying 121lbs at $5.40. One of the prime contenders in a suitable contest.

10
Royal Tale silk

Second-up. First-up after three months 4th of 13 at this track on December 5 over 7f, 6 len behind Rising Shot carrying 123lbs at $6. Previously second-up 10th of 16 at Hanshin Dirt on April 12 over 1m, 20 len behind Academia with 126lbs at $71.60. Among the leading chances.

2nd Pick
10

Royal Tale

Jockey: Takayuki Yano

Trainer: Masahiro Fukuda

J: Takayuki Yano

T: Masahiro Fukuda

172---25%3/1

Analysis

Second-up. First-up after three months 4th of 13 at this track on December 5 over 7f, 6 len behind Rising Shot carrying 123lbs at $6. Previously second-up 10th of 16 at Hanshin Dirt on April 12 over 1m, 20 len behind Academia with 126lbs at $71.60. Among the leading chances.

11
Positano silk

Most recently 8th of 13 at this track on December 5 over 1m, 14 len behind Believe And Run carrying 119lbs at $345. Before that 11th of 14 at this track on November 12 over 6f, 11 len behind Koigoromo with 117lbs at $23.50. Will be charging home late.

3rd Pick
11

Positano

Jockey: Hisayoshi Higashihara

Trainer: Yoshihiro Sawa

J: Hisayoshi Higashihara

T: Yoshihiro Sawa

69---8%13/1

Analysis

Most recently 8th of 13 at this track on December 5 over 1m, 14 len behind Believe And Run carrying 119lbs at $345. Before that 11th of 14 at this track on November 12 over 6f, 11 len behind Koigoromo with 117lbs at $23.50. Will be charging home late.

Horse Racing Basic Terms

Also Eligible

A horse that is entered but does not draw into the body of the field due to too many entries, and thus is not permitted to start unless there are enough scratches to shrink the field size.

Fractions

The times recorded during the race; with timing starting just past the gate or when the gates open, then parroted for the quarter, half, three-quarters etc. Used as an indication of ability and speed.

Bobble/Stumble

A slip or a duck from a horse trying to leave the starting gates, often caused by the surface giving way under the feet. This can range from a mild misstep to a stumble down to their knees.