JP - Tokyo City Keiba - Race 1

Thoroughbred

12 Runners

Unknown

Dirt

9.6K

VIEW

Verdict

GOL DUKE (7) is the top pick on the strength of his latest run, when he was well back before closing with purpose for sixth, beaten just under four lengths by Henny Iris at this track. He has been safely held in recent starts overall, and the 1m record is the reservation, but this is a winnable assignment if he reproduces that closing effort. TOKYO BASARA (5) brings the most reliable recent form, having run second to Bettina before a third behind Jikon, and she also holds a recent line over Gol Duke and La Vraie Beaute. LA VRAIE BEAUTE (11) was fair rather than brilliant first-up when fifth to Jikon, yet that was a clear return run after a plain finish to the previous campaign and she can be fitter second-up. AITOKA KOITOKA (4) has not delivered on market expectations lately, including when odds-on two back, but her recent-year profile and C3 placement keep her in the mix as a realistic place-to-win chance.

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Horse Stats

#/Silk	Horse#/Horse	Power Rating	High Speed	Win %	Top 3%	Win Prob	Odds
7	Closed off with purpose from well back when sixth to Henny Iris at this track last start, beaten just under four lengths after being unwanted in the market. That was a much more encouraging finish than his ninth to Bettina, and the class drop gives him his chance. The 1m record is the one concern, but his latest closing section reads well for this race and he can take the next step. 1st Pick 7 Gol Duke Jockey: Yuki Eriguchi Trainer: Nobuhiro Onodera J: Yuki Eriguchi T: Nobuhiro Onodera	65	-	-	-	13%	7/1
Analysis Closed off with purpose from well back when sixth to Henny Iris at this track last start, beaten just under four lengths after being unwanted in the market. That was a much more encouraging finish than his ninth to Bettina, and the class drop gives him his chance. The 1m record is the one concern, but his latest closing section reads well for this race and he can take the next step.
5	Has put together two solid efforts at this track, finishing second to Bettina by half a length before running third behind Jikon when beaten four lengths. She was unwanted in the market last start but travelled handy and worked home evenly, which gives the effort substance. The win column remains the obvious query, yet her recent form is among the strongest in this field. 2nd Pick 5 Tokyo Basara Jockey: Minami Sugiyama Trainer: Yoriaki Murakami J: Minami Sugiyama T: Yoriaki Murakami	115	-	-	-	19%	9/2
Analysis Has put together two solid efforts at this track, finishing second to Bettina by half a length before running third behind Jikon when beaten four lengths. She was unwanted in the market last start but travelled handy and worked home evenly, which gives the effort substance. The win column remains the obvious query, yet her recent form is among the strongest in this field.
11	Resumed with a fair fifth behind Jikon at this track, beaten four and a half lengths at big odds, and should have taken benefit from that first-up outing. Her final run before the spell was a weak second-last behind Sun Ship, so she still has to prove the improvement is real. Even so, this class drop and second-up profile give her a genuine chance to press the main hopes. 3rd Pick 11 La Vraie Beaute Jockey: Takami Riku Trainer: Hideyo Yoneda J: Takami Riku T: Hideyo Yoneda	85	-	-	-	17%	5/1
Analysis Resumed with a fair fifth behind Jikon at this track, beaten four and a half lengths at big odds, and should have taken benefit from that first-up outing. Her final run before the spell was a weak second-last behind Sun Ship, so she still has to prove the improvement is real. Even so, this class drop and second-up profile give her a genuine chance to press the main hopes.

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Horse Racing Basic Terms

Across the Board

Refers to betting on a horse to finish first, second, and third to cover any of those scenarios happening during a race

State-Bred

A horse bred in a particular state and thus eligible to race in restricted state-bred races. These can be anything from maiden races to stakes events.

Maiden Race

A race exclusively for horses who have not previously won.