JP - Tokyo City Keiba - Race 1

Thoroughbred

11 Runners

Unknown

Dirt

16.8K

VIEW

Verdict

CRIMSON BURST (8) brings the clearest winning profile after three wins and a second from his past four runs, including a 3yo A4 victory at Kanazawa and a solid second in 3yo A2 company last time. He was beaten as an odds-on favourite there, but his overall record around 1m is strong enough to keep him clearly on top. MEINER HOSEN (6) is harder to recommend on recent finishing positions, yet the drop from 3yo Maiden company, added race fitness and Takayuki Yano booking give him a better set-up than his last two runs suggest. ROYAL DREAM (2) has already won around this distance and his Nagoya 3yo+ COND success two starts back reads well for this. PITTAM NUNMUL (3) comes through the same Queen Anne race as several rivals and was the one who finished closest, so her place-heavy profile still has genuine each-way relevance.

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Horse Stats

#/Silk	Horse#/Horse	Power Rating	High Speed	Win %	Top 3%	Win Prob	Odds
8	Returns from a five-week let-up with the strongest recent profile in the field, having won three in a row before running second to Mo Mo Chrome in 3yo A2 grade at Kanazawa. He was beaten five lengths as odds-on favourite there, but his prior 3yo A4 win over Kyoei Art showed his will to compete. With two wins and a placing from five runs around 1m, he sets the standard. 1st Pick 8 Crimson Burst Jockey: Sho Yoshii Trainer: Shin Tachibana J: Sho Yoshii T: Shin Tachibana	125	-	-	-	15%	6/1
Analysis Returns from a five-week let-up with the strongest recent profile in the field, having won three in a row before running second to Mo Mo Chrome in 3yo A2 grade at Kanazawa. He was beaten five lengths as odds-on favourite there, but his prior 3yo A4 win over Kyoei Art showed his will to compete. With two wins and a placing from five runs around 1m, he sets the standard.
6	Returns from a two-month freshening after finishing 15th in a Chukyo 3yo Maiden, where he settled rearward and made no impression late. His previous Kokura run was also well below the mark, so the recent form is a genuine warning. Even so, he drops into a more suitable 3yo COND, is fitter third-up and gains Takayuki Yano, giving him a clear chance to improve sharply. 2nd Pick 6 Meiner Hosen Jockey: Takayuki Yano Trainer: Takemi Munakata J: Takayuki Yano T: Takemi Munakata	155	-	-	-	8%	13/1
Analysis Returns from a two-month freshening after finishing 15th in a Chukyo 3yo Maiden, where he settled rearward and made no impression late. His previous Kokura run was also well below the mark, so the recent form is a genuine warning. Even so, he drops into a more suitable 3yo COND, is fitter third-up and gains Takayuki Yano, giving him a clear chance to improve sharply.
2	Returns from a five-week let-up after working home into fourth at Nagoya, beaten eight and a half lengths by Sante Orange but finishing just behind the placegetters. The stronger reference is his 3yo+ COND win there two starts back, when he came from a difficult position to beat Noce by two lengths. With a 1m win already on the board, he has the right form to be a major player. 3rd Pick 2 Royal Dream Jockey: Ryo Fujita Trainer: Chiaki Hori J: Ryo Fujita T: Chiaki Hori	94	-	-	-	15%	6/1
Analysis Returns from a five-week let-up after working home into fourth at Nagoya, beaten eight and a half lengths by Sante Orange but finishing just behind the placegetters. The stronger reference is his 3yo+ COND win there two starts back, when he came from a difficult position to beat Noce by two lengths. With a 1m win already on the board, he has the right form to be a major player.

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Horse Racing Basic Terms

Bute

Shortened word for phenylbutazone, the common non-steroidal medication legal at most racetrack.

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Betting on a horse to finish in the first three spots, which pays out the same whether they win or run second or third.

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One furlong is an eighth of a mile.