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5:30 AM

JP - Tokyo City Keiba - Race 1

Thoroughbred
13 Runners
8f
Unknown
Dirt
9.5K

All race stats and comments are provided by numberfire. Complex algorithms are used to calculate stats like the power rating. Numberfire picks are provided by horse racing experts that work with numberfire.

Verdict

ROSEN NIGHTS (4) pushed forward and went on to record a determined win when resuming last start by 2 lengths over 6f at this track. Jumps in distance but should strip fitter and is lightly raced with upside so can go through her grades. WORLD FOUNTAIN (10) has improved with each start this time. Close second two back then flew the gates and led throughout to score by a neck last start at today's track and journey. Minami Sugiyama stays on. Can go on with it. IKENO GAL CHAN (3) progressed nicely last time out to finish just 0.6 lengths from the winner in third at this track and trip. Draws much lower so can run well. LOVELY YOSHINO (12) was unwanted in betting last start but performed beyond expectations when beaten a neck into second. Race fit so worth including.
numberFire Picks
Horse Stats
#/SilkHorse#/HorsePower RatingHigh SpeedWin %Top 3%Win ProbOdds
4
Rosen Nights silk

Second run back. Comes off a 36-day let-up. First-up after three years favourite, tracked the speed and boxed on steadily, won by 2 len at this track February 16 over 6f defeating The Goat with 119lbs at $1.60. Previously second-up 8th of 10 at Hanshin on September 18 2023 over 1m, 8 len behind Fleuraison carrying 115lbs at $29.60. Can win again.

1st Pick
4

Rosen Nights

Jockey: Takayuki Yano

Trainer: Terunobu Fujita

J: Takayuki Yano

T: Terunobu Fujita

203---13%7/1

Analysis

Second run back. Comes off a 36-day let-up. First-up after three years favourite, tracked the speed and boxed on steadily, won by 2 len at this track February 16 over 6f defeating The Goat with 119lbs at $1.60. Previously second-up 8th of 10 at Hanshin on September 18 2023 over 1m, 8 len behind Fleuraison carrying 115lbs at $29.60. Can win again.

10
World Fountain silk

Form hard to fault. Most recently favourite, won by a neck at this track March 10 over 1m defeating Lovely Yoshino carrying 117lbs at $3.80. The race before that sat on the pace when 2nd of 13 at this track on February 17 over 1m, 0.5 len behind God Mode carrying 117lbs at $4.70. Found his best form now. Take beating.

2nd Pick
10

World Fountain

Jockey: Minami Sugiyama

Trainer: Hiroyuki Inoue

J: Minami Sugiyama

T: Hiroyuki Inoue

121---25%3/1

Analysis

Form hard to fault. Most recently favourite, won by a neck at this track March 10 over 1m defeating Lovely Yoshino carrying 117lbs at $3.80. The race before that sat on the pace when 2nd of 13 at this track on February 17 over 1m, 0.5 len behind God Mode carrying 117lbs at $4.70. Found his best form now. Take beating.

3
Ikeno Gal Chan silk

At the latest run 3rd of 14 at this track on March 10 over 1m, 0.6 len behind World Fountain with 119lbs at $8.70. The start before that 5th of 13 at this track on February 18 over 1m, 4.5 len behind Grandite with 119lbs at $20.40. Winning prospects enhanced by the favourable barrier.

3rd Pick
3

Ikeno Gal Chan

Jockey: Shunsuke Ishikawa

Trainer: Naomitsu Okano

J: Shunsuke Ishikawa

T: Naomitsu Okano

94---39%8/5

Analysis

At the latest run 3rd of 14 at this track on March 10 over 1m, 0.6 len behind World Fountain with 119lbs at $8.70. The start before that 5th of 13 at this track on February 18 over 1m, 4.5 len behind Grandite with 119lbs at $20.40. Winning prospects enhanced by the favourable barrier.

Horse Racing Basic Terms

Minus Pool

A pari-mutuel pool – typically a show pool - where one horse is so heavily bet that after deductions there is not enough money left to cover the prescribed minimum on each bet.

Yielding

A rain-soaked turf condition often producing a slick or heavy course and slower finish times.

Sloppy

A wet racetrack condition, typically with a firm base and water settling on top.