JP - Tokyo City Keiba - Race 1

Thoroughbred

8 Runners

Unknown

Dirt

SOFT

17.0K

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Verdict

KAFUJI LAGUIOLE (8) gets top nod after finishing second to North Breath at this track, coming from big odds and making strong late ground. The 1m is new, but he's fourth-up, has placed here, and recently turned the tables on Ciao Glad, showcasing more upside than most. CIAO GLAD (7) poses a serious threat after his third in the same race and an improved run from sixth behind Mikki Parasol previously, his maiden record tempers confidence, yet his last effort keeps him in the mix. DERMA RAUSU (4) was disappointing as an odds-on favorite but has a strong previous fourth behind Mikki Parasol and should be fitter third-up. NOBLE FORTE (3) needs to bounce back from a dismal eighth but his debut third at around 1m and ongoing market respect keep him in contention for a place or potential upset.

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Horse Stats

#/Silk	Horse#/Horse	Power Rating	High Speed	Win %	Top 3%	Win Prob
8	Closed strongly for second behind North Breath at this track last start, beaten six lengths after starting at big odds, and that is the strongest recent piece of form in this field. He had been safely held behind Mikki Parasol two back, but now reaches the fourth run of the campaign and has already turned the tables on Ciao Glad. The new 1m trip is a query, yet his latest finish makes him the horse to beat. 1st Pick 8 Kafuji Laguiole Jockey: Masaki Segawa Trainer: Hiroyuki Matsuura J: Masaki Segawa T: Hiroyuki Matsuura	112	-	-	-	17%
Analysis Closed strongly for second behind North Breath at this track last start, beaten six lengths after starting at big odds, and that is the strongest recent piece of form in this field. He had been safely held behind Mikki Parasol two back, but now reaches the fourth run of the campaign and has already turned the tables on Ciao Glad. The new 1m trip is a query, yet his latest finish makes him the horse to beat.
7	Worked home evenly for third behind North Breath at this track last start, beaten just over six lengths after starting at generous odds. That was a better result than his previous sixth behind Mikki Parasol, and the recent head-to-head line with Kafuji Laguiole keeps him well placed among the main chances. The first 1m run is a question, but his latest effort gives him a genuine winning case. 2nd Pick 7 Ciao Glad Jockey: Nishi Yuya Trainer: Kazuma Hashimoto J: Nishi Yuya T: Kazuma Hashimoto	100	-	-	-	12%
Analysis Worked home evenly for third behind North Breath at this track last start, beaten just over six lengths after starting at generous odds. That was a better result than his previous sixth behind Mikki Parasol, and the recent head-to-head line with Kafuji Laguiole keeps him well placed among the main chances. The first 1m run is a question, but his latest effort gives him a genuine winning case.
4	Finished fourth as the odds-on favourite at this track last start, beaten eight and a half lengths by North Breath and only fair to the line. The run prior was sounder when fourth behind Mikki Parasol, beaten just under five lengths after settling rearward. He is fitter third-up, but the first try around 1m is the main query and he shapes as a solid place chance. 3rd Pick 4 Derma Rausu Jockey: Yoichi Ando Trainer: Terunobu Fujita J: Yoichi Ando T: Terunobu Fujita	182	-	-	-	39%
Analysis Finished fourth as the odds-on favourite at this track last start, beaten eight and a half lengths by North Breath and only fair to the line. The run prior was sounder when fourth behind Mikki Parasol, beaten just under five lengths after settling rearward. He is fitter third-up, but the first try around 1m is the main query and he shapes as a solid place chance.

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Horse Racing Basic Terms

State-Bred

A horse bred in a particular state and thus eligible to race in restricted state-bred races. These can be anything from maiden races to stakes events.

Dead Heat

Two or more horses finishing so close at the wire, that they were unable to be separated on a photo finish and deemed to have tied.

Bobble/Stumble

A slip or a duck from a horse trying to leave the starting gates, often caused by the surface giving way under the feet. This can range from a mild misstep to a stumble down to their knees.