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5:30 AM

JP - Tokyo City Keiba - Race 1

Thoroughbred
14 Runners
8f
Unknown
Dirt
9.6K

All race stats and comments are provided by numberfire. Complex algorithms are used to calculate stats like the power rating. Numberfire picks are provided by horse racing experts that work with numberfire.

Verdict

CORN TOPS (14) earns top billing after a decisive last-start win at this track, working home over the top to beat Aitoka Koitoka by just under two lengths. The wide draw is the obvious complication, but she has already won at this track and distance and brings the strongest recent winning form. LAVATERA JANE (11) turned her form around sharply when second to Black Red at long odds, and that line has extra merit with African Beat behind her. She remains a maiden after 27 starts, so the winning case is not without a reservation. AFRICAN BEAT (10) has been around the mark, beaten a neck two back and then just over two lengths last start when picking up nicely. His overall place consistency keeps him right in the contest. LOVELY YOSHINO (6) resumes after a consistent winter campaign, with a track-and-distance win in the book and enough recent-season placing form to make him a genuine danger fresh.
numberFire Picks
Horse Stats
#/SilkHorse#/HorsePower RatingHigh SpeedWin %Top 3%Win ProbOdds
14
Corn Tops silk

Comes off the strongest last-start result in the field, charging over the top to beat Aitoka Koitoka by just under two lengths at this track. The wide barrier asks some sort of question, but she is a proven track-and-distance winner and has already beaten Lavatera Jane in recent racing. With winning form and the right rider back aboard, she sets the standard.

1st Pick
14

Corn Tops

Jockey: Shunsuke Ishikawa

Trainer: Hiroyuki Matsuura

J: Shunsuke Ishikawa

T: Hiroyuki Matsuura

93---29%5/2

Analysis

Comes off the strongest last-start result in the field, charging over the top to beat Aitoka Koitoka by just under two lengths at this track. The wide barrier asks some sort of question, but she is a proven track-and-distance winner and has already beaten Lavatera Jane in recent racing. With winning form and the right rider back aboard, she sets the standard.

11
Lavatera Jane silk

Lifted sharply last start when second to Black Red over 7f at this track, beaten a length at long odds and working home evenly. That also saw her finish ahead of African Beat, which strengthens the line for this field. The 27-start maiden record prevents a full declaration, but her latest run was good enough to make her a major player.

2nd Pick
11

Lavatera Jane

Jockey: Francisco Goncalves

Trainer: Makoto Ichimura

J: Francisco Goncalves

T: Makoto Ichimura

66---23%7/2

Analysis

Lifted sharply last start when second to Black Red over 7f at this track, beaten a length at long odds and working home evenly. That also saw her finish ahead of African Beat, which strengthens the line for this field. The 27-start maiden record prevents a full declaration, but her latest run was good enough to make her a major player.

10
African Beat silk

Picked up nicely when fourth to Black Red over 7f at this track last start, beaten just over two lengths after being near the top of betting. Two back he was even stronger, second to Philippine and beaten a neck after finishing off well. He has two wins and four placings from 21 starts around 1m, so this looks a suitable chance to convert.

3rd Pick
10

African Beat

Jockey: Genki Fujimoto

Trainer: Hiroyuki Inoue

J: Genki Fujimoto

T: Hiroyuki Inoue

100---17%5/1

Analysis

Picked up nicely when fourth to Black Red over 7f at this track last start, beaten just over two lengths after being near the top of betting. Two back he was even stronger, second to Philippine and beaten a neck after finishing off well. He has two wins and four placings from 21 starts around 1m, so this looks a suitable chance to convert.

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