JP - Tokyo City Keiba - Race 1

Thoroughbred

9 Runners

Unknown

Dirt

GOOD

9.5K

VIEW

Verdict

JOLLY HARMONY (4) didn't fire over 6f at this track last time out when in the market. That followed a good second the run prior. Well placed here and there is no reason why she cannot find winning ways. GOLD TALISMAN (7) took advantage of the good draw and led for much of the way last start before being run down in the straight, finishing sixth and beaten 6 lengths over 7f at this circuit. Should be tough to rein in. SEVEN GO (8) missed the placings two runs back then got a long way back last start when 7 lengths away in eighth over 7f at this venue. Likely improver with strong top-three prospects. KIBARU STAR (5) finished third at this course two runs back but didn't measure up last time over 1m here, finishing 17 lengths back in 12th. Finds a nice race and can atone.

numberFire Picks

Horse Stats

#/Silk	Horse#/Horse	Power Rating	High Speed	Win %	Top 3%	Win Prob	Odds
4	Most recently 6th of 11 at this track on April 16 over 6f, 8 len behind S K Eagle carrying 119lbs at $4.10. Before that held ground to the line 2nd of 14 at this track on March 26 over 6f, 0.8 len behind Precious Top with 119lbs at $20.20. Worth another chance. 1st Pick 4 Jolly Harmony Jockey: Takami Riku Trainer: Naoyuki Matoba J: Takami Riku T: Naoyuki Matoba	168	-	-	-	39%	8/5
Analysis Most recently 6th of 11 at this track on April 16 over 6f, 8 len behind S K Eagle carrying 119lbs at $4.10. Before that held ground to the line 2nd of 14 at this track on March 26 over 6f, 0.8 len behind Precious Top with 119lbs at $20.20. Worth another chance.
7	Last start led to the turn then faded 6th of 13 at this track on April 17 over 7f, 6 len behind Station with 119lbs at $9.80. The run before that led but faded 3rd of 13 at this track on March 26 over 7f, 3 len behind Beiden Flash with 112lbs at $8.70. Can bounce back after a modest effort last time. 2nd Pick 7 Gold Talisman Jockey: Non Runner Trainer: Hiroyuki Inoue J: Non Runner T: Hiroyuki Inoue	73	-	-	-	25%	Scratched
Analysis Last start led to the turn then faded 6th of 13 at this track on April 17 over 7f, 6 len behind Station with 119lbs at $9.80. The run before that led but faded 3rd of 13 at this track on March 26 over 7f, 3 len behind Beiden Flash with 112lbs at $8.70. Can bounce back after a modest effort last time.
8	Last start 8th of 11 at this track on April 16 over 7f, 7 len behind Porte D'italie carrying 123lbs at $13.70. The race before that 6th of 13 at this track on February 19 over 1m, 6 len behind Golden Oja carrying 123lbs at $15. Will be hard to hold out. 3rd Pick 8 Seven Go Jockey: Kenji Okamura Trainer: Kazuma Hashimoto J: Kenji Okamura T: Kazuma Hashimoto	103	-	-	-	25%	3/1
Analysis Last start 8th of 11 at this track on April 16 over 7f, 7 len behind Porte D'italie carrying 123lbs at $13.70. The race before that 6th of 13 at this track on February 19 over 1m, 6 len behind Golden Oja carrying 123lbs at $15. Will be hard to hold out.

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Horse Racing Basic Terms

Bullet

A bullet, or bullet workout, is a workout that was clocked as the best time for a certain distance on a given day.

Underlay

A horse that is going off at lower odds than it deserves based on performance.

Track Bias

The term used to identify which parts of the track or running styles are producing more winners.