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5:50 AM

JP - Tokyo City Keiba - Race 1

Thoroughbred
15 Runners
8.9f
Unknown
Dirt
9.3K

All race stats and comments are provided by numberfire. Complex algorithms are used to calculate stats like the power rating. Numberfire picks are provided by horse racing experts that work with numberfire.

Verdict

KEIRYU O (2) returns from a break of nine months. Consistent performer last prep whose most recent appearance resulted in a third over 7f at this track. Expected to bring the good form from last campaign to this contest. TOP DIA (4) turned in a much better effort last start when beaten only one length into second at this track over 1m. Should be poised just off the lead. Will give a great sight. CALTHA PALUSTRIS (9) disappointed last start when out of the placings over 1m at this track, beaten 7 lengths. Won't find this as tough so he is perfectly placed to make amends. JUSTIN LONG (11) is a 10-start maiden who finished fifth, beaten 8 lengths, when resuming from a spell last start over 1 ½m at this track. Bold showing expected with added fitness this time.
numberFire Picks
Horse Stats
#/SilkHorse#/HorsePower RatingHigh SpeedWin %Top 3%Win ProbOdds
2
Keiryu O silk

Entire back from a spell of nine months. Has placed previously first up from a break. Finished off last campaign third of 14 at this track October 22 over 7f, 5.5 len behind Creed with 123lbs at $5.30. When resuming last campaign second of 13 at this track April 14 2025 over 6f, 5 len behind Crispino carrying 123lbs at $7.10. Sure to be ready to run well.

1st Pick
2

Keiryu O

Jockey: Ryo Fujita

Trainer: Kenji Tsukioka

J: Ryo Fujita

T: Kenji Tsukioka

65---34%2/1

Analysis

Entire back from a spell of nine months. Has placed previously first up from a break. Finished off last campaign third of 14 at this track October 22 over 7f, 5.5 len behind Creed with 123lbs at $5.30. When resuming last campaign second of 13 at this track April 14 2025 over 6f, 5 len behind Crispino carrying 123lbs at $7.10. Sure to be ready to run well.

4
Top Dia silk

Last start made ground from midfield, 2nd of 10 at this track on June 30 over 1m, 1.0 len behind Pompelmo carrying 123lbs at $3.30. The run before that sat behind the speed prior to fading 7th of 12 at this track on June 8 over 1m, 9 len behind Samba Flavor carrying 123lbs at $3.70. Making headway. Likely to measure up again.

2nd Pick
4

Top Dia

Jockey: Keita Nishi

Trainer: Kazuma Hashimoto

J: Keita Nishi

T: Kazuma Hashimoto

182---23%7/2

Analysis

Last start made ground from midfield, 2nd of 10 at this track on June 30 over 1m, 1.0 len behind Pompelmo carrying 123lbs at $3.30. The run before that sat behind the speed prior to fading 7th of 12 at this track on June 8 over 1m, 9 len behind Samba Flavor carrying 123lbs at $3.70. Making headway. Likely to measure up again.

9
Caltha Palustris silk

Most recently 5th of 14 at this track on July 1 over 1m, 7 len behind Bee Trinity carrying 121lbs at $5.80. The race before that 5th of 10 at this track on June 9 over 1m, 2.25 len behind Revive Maillard carrying 121lbs at $25. Can turn things around.

3rd Pick
9

Caltha Palustris

Jockey: Haruto Nakayama

Trainer: Kazumasa Sakamoto

J: Haruto Nakayama

T: Kazumasa Sakamoto

115---19%9/2

Analysis

Most recently 5th of 14 at this track on July 1 over 1m, 7 len behind Bee Trinity carrying 121lbs at $5.80. The race before that 5th of 10 at this track on June 9 over 1m, 2.25 len behind Revive Maillard carrying 121lbs at $25. Can turn things around.

Horse Racing Basic Terms

Claiming Race

A race in which horses are entered for a certain price, or claiming tag, which is also their sales price. An owner can claim any horse entered for the tag before the race begins, and owns them as soon as the gates open.

Dead Heat

Two or more horses finishing so close at the wire, that they were unable to be separated on a photo finish and deemed to have tied.

Scratch

A horse is a scratch when injury or other necessity causes it to be withdrawn from the race.