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9:20 AM

JP - Tokyo City Keiba - Race 8

Thoroughbred
10 Runners
6f
Unknown
Dirt
34.1K

All race stats and comments are provided by numberfire. Complex algorithms are used to calculate stats like the power rating. Numberfire picks are provided by horse racing experts that work with numberfire.

Verdict

FESTIVE LUDI (1) made a strong late bid but just failed to pick up the winner when first-up as favourite last start over 6f at this track. Sure to derive great benefit from that run. Has raced seven times here and has never missed the frame. Stepping up a level this time but on his best form he is capable of testing his rivals. SATONO LILIUM (3) is a progressive three-year-old filly who resumes from a break of four-and-a-half months, her last appearance being a win over 6f at this track. Has never been out of the placings first up from two tries. Has a very good record here with three wins from five starts. Should be in the finish. NISHINO SECRET (10) returns after a spell of three-and-a-half months. Started the last campaign impressively when in the placings over 6f at this track. Sure to make his presence felt. RYU ONE KA NOA (8) defied a lack of market support last start, scoring by a head over 6f at this track. Has good early toe so he should be handy in the run. Can feature in the finish.
numberFire Picks
Horse Stats
#/SilkHorse#/HorsePower RatingHigh SpeedWin %Top 3%Win ProbOdds
1
Festive Ludi silk

Second run back. First-up after four months 2nd of 8 at this track on November 12 over 6f, head behind Ryu One Ka Noa carrying 123lbs at $1.30. Previously second-up 11th of 16 at Fukushima Dirt on November 17 2024 over 5 ¾f, 9 len behind Bright Lupinus with 126lbs at $132.80. Strong winning chance.

1st Pick
1

Festive Ludi

Jockey: Masashige Honda

Trainer: Chiaki Hori

J: Masashige Honda

T: Chiaki Hori

165---48%11/10

Analysis

Second run back. First-up after four months 2nd of 8 at this track on November 12 over 6f, head behind Ryu One Ka Noa carrying 123lbs at $1.30. Previously second-up 11th of 16 at Fukushima Dirt on November 17 2024 over 5 ¾f, 9 len behind Bright Lupinus with 126lbs at $132.80. Strong winning chance.

3
Satono Lilium silk

Filly returning from a spell and has won previously when first up. Finished off last preparation won by 2 len this track July 17 over 6f defeating Kitasan Yuja carrying 121lbs at $2.50. Previous preparation first-up favourite, to post a big 9 len win. This track June 10 over 6f defeating Ikuno Eight Nine with 119lbs at $2.20. Has plenty of scope for improvement this time in work.

2nd Pick
3

Satono Lilium

Jockey: Wada Joji

Trainer: Hidemitsu Sakai

J: Wada Joji

T: Hidemitsu Sakai

145---31%9/4

Analysis

Filly returning from a spell and has won previously when first up. Finished off last preparation won by 2 len this track July 17 over 6f defeating Kitasan Yuja carrying 121lbs at $2.50. Previous preparation first-up favourite, to post a big 9 len win. This track June 10 over 6f defeating Ikuno Eight Nine with 119lbs at $2.20. Has plenty of scope for improvement this time in work.

10
Nishino Secret silk

Entire returning from a spell and has won previously when first up. Finished off last campaign by 2 len this track August 14 over 6f defeating Magic Of Love with 123lbs at $6. When resuming last campaign second of 11 at this track July 4 over 6f, 2 len behind Amphora carrying 123lbs at $6.20. Could prove too smart for these.

3rd Pick
10

Nishino Secret

Jockey: Ryuji Tatsushiro

Trainer: Makoto Ichimura

J: Ryuji Tatsushiro

T: Makoto Ichimura

74---12%15/2

Analysis

Entire returning from a spell and has won previously when first up. Finished off last campaign by 2 len this track August 14 over 6f defeating Magic Of Love with 123lbs at $6. When resuming last campaign second of 11 at this track July 4 over 6f, 2 len behind Amphora carrying 123lbs at $6.20. Could prove too smart for these.

Horse Racing Basic Terms

Across the Board

Refers to betting on a horse to finish first, second, and third to cover any of those scenarios happening during a race

Handicap

A race where a handicapper has assigned weights to be carried by all runners on the basis of their past racing efforts.

Stakes Race

Stakes Races are known as better class races, with higher purses and often accompanies by trophies.