JP - Tokyo City Keiba - Race 5

Thoroughbred

16 Runners

Unknown

Dirt

SOFT

17.5K

VIEW

Verdict

TALKING THE GOD (3) impressed when successful as favourite on debut over 6f at this track three-and-a-half weeks ago. Has plenty of upside and can win again. SWEET BOMB (11) finished 7 lengths adrift in sixth last time at this track after being prominent at the turn in a disappointing performance. Well placed and there is no reason she cannot find winning ways. KETEN BEAT (4) finished 13th two runs back then improved last start but found a couple better over 6f at this track, beaten 5.5 lengths after being in the firing line on the bend. Has his share of ability. Hard to beat in this suitable race. DORE VENUS (10) scored two back at this track but was below her best last time when tenth over 6f at this track. Looks well placed so expect a better run this time.

numberFire Picks

Horse Stats

#/Silk	Horse#/Horse	Power Rating	High Speed	Win %	Top 3%	Win Prob	Odds
3	Claiming his maiden victory on debut, favourite, won by 9 len at this track June 8 over 6f defeating Look Her Tears carrying 123lbs at $1.40. Drawn perfectly and he is a top chance. 1st Pick 3 Talking The God Jockey: Tsubasa Sasagawa Trainer: Satoshi Fukunaga J: Tsubasa Sasagawa T: Satoshi Fukunaga	168	-	-	-	62%	8/13
Analysis Claiming his maiden victory on debut, favourite, won by 9 len at this track June 8 over 6f defeating Look Her Tears carrying 123lbs at $1.40. Drawn perfectly and he is a top chance.
11	Last start couldn't go on with it, 6th of 14 at this track on June 11 over 6f, 7 len behind Star Ruby Pierce with 119lbs at $4.60. Before that crossed from a wide gate to settle just off the pace but gave ground when 5th of 15 at this track on May 22 over 6f, 6 len behind Riko Talos with 119lbs at $8.70. Capable of a better run. 2nd Pick 11 Sweet Bomb Jockey: Sho Yoshii Trainer: Naoyuki Matoba J: Sho Yoshii T: Naoyuki Matoba	129	-	-	-	16%	11/2
Analysis Last start couldn't go on with it, 6th of 14 at this track on June 11 over 6f, 7 len behind Star Ruby Pierce with 119lbs at $4.60. Before that crossed from a wide gate to settle just off the pace but gave ground when 5th of 15 at this track on May 22 over 6f, 6 len behind Riko Talos with 119lbs at $8.70. Capable of a better run.
4	At the latest run crossed from a wide gate to lead but couldn't hold on when 3rd of 13 at this track on June 10 over 6f, 5.5 len behind Porta Romana carrying 123lbs at $16.40. The start before that 13th of 16 at this track on May 21 over 6f, 13 len behind Stamen carrying 123lbs at $6.80. An inside alley is a big advantage. Winning prospects. 3rd Pick 4 Keten Beat Jockey: Yuki Eriguchi Trainer: Masahiro Uesugi J: Yuki Eriguchi T: Masahiro Uesugi	71	-	-	-	14%	13/2
Analysis At the latest run crossed from a wide gate to lead but couldn't hold on when 3rd of 13 at this track on June 10 over 6f, 5.5 len behind Porta Romana carrying 123lbs at $16.40. The start before that 13th of 16 at this track on May 21 over 6f, 13 len behind Stamen carrying 123lbs at $6.80. An inside alley is a big advantage. Winning prospects.

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Horse Racing Basic Terms

Show Wager

Betting on a horse to finish in the first three spots, which pays out the same whether they win or run second or third.

Underlay

A horse that is going off at lower odds than it deserves based on performance.

Bolt

A sudden veering to the inside or outside rail, often caused by the horse spooking or shying from something.