JP - Tokyo City Keiba - Race 4

Thoroughbred

10 Runners

Unknown

Dirt

58.8K

VIEW

Verdict

SHONAN HARBOR (6) gets top billing in a 1m two-year-old contest built almost entirely around first-starters. The Hidemitsu Sakai yard provides the strongest statistical base: 4 wins from 13 debut runners, and an 8-from-21 trainer-sire record with Sinister Minister gives this colt a clear profile to respect. GRAND COMMANDER (1) is the main danger from barrier 1 with just 112lbs, and Yasumasa Kurita's debut figures of 1 win and 2 places from 4 starters keep him firmly in the mix, even with the trainer-sire record yet to produce a win. MONTANA MAGIC (3) has barrier 3 and 117lbs in his favour, though the Arai debut record and the full sibling's race record temper the confidence slightly. MAONO SHINING (2) rounds out the key chances from a soft draw, with Ryo Fujita's strong Ohi ranking and Kazuma Hashimoto's 50% debut place rate giving him a sound minor-money base.

Horse Stats

#/Silk	Horse#/Horse	Power Rating	High Speed	Win %	Top 3%	Win Prob	Odds
1	2nd Pick 1 Grand Commander Jockey: Minami Sugiyama Trainer: Yasumasa Kurita J: Minami Sugiyama T: Yasumasa Kurita	19	-	-	-	14%	13/2
2	2 Maono Shining Jockey: Ryo Fujita Trainer: Kazuma Hashimoto J: Ryo Fujita T: Kazuma Hashimoto	32	-	-	-	14%	13/2
3	3rd Pick 3 Montana Magic Jockey: Haruto Nakayama Trainer: Tomohiro Arai J: Haruto Nakayama T: Tomohiro Arai	36	-	-	-	14%	13/2
4	4 Seishin Dragon Jockey: Wada Joji Trainer: Kazumasa Sakamoto J: Wada Joji T: Kazumasa Sakamoto	35	-	-	-	14%	13/2
5	5 Innocent World Jockey: Keita Nishi Trainer: Masato Tanaka J: Keita Nishi T: Masato Tanaka	29	-	-	-	11%	17/2
6	1st Pick 6 Shonan Harbor Jockey: Masashige Honda Trainer: Hidemitsu Sakai J: Masashige Honda T: Hidemitsu Sakai	106	-	-	-	14%	13/2
7	7 Ruby Poseidon Jockey: Sho Yoshii Trainer: Shin Tachibana J: Sho Yoshii T: Shin Tachibana	18	-	-	-	11%	17/2
8	8 Rise Of Choice Jockey: Genki Fujimoto Trainer: Yuta Ebina J: Genki Fujimoto T: Yuta Ebina	19	-	-	-	11%	17/2
9	9 Fairy Believe Jockey: Hiroshi Chida Trainer: Hiroyuki Matsuura J: Hiroshi Chida T: Hiroyuki Matsuura	22	-	-	-	11%	17/2
10	10 Tony Bryan Jockey: Ryo Novata Trainer: Chiaki Hori J: Ryo Novata T: Chiaki Hori	45	-	-	-	11%	17/2

Upcoming Races

Horse Racing Basic Terms

Also Eligible

A horse that is entered but does not draw into the body of the field due to too many entries, and thus is not permitted to start unless there are enough scratches to shrink the field size.

Overlay

A horse going off at higher odds than his recent efforts show that he deserves.

Condition Book

A list of upcoming races issued by the racing secretary, where the conditions of races to be run over the next few weeks are written.