JP - Tokyo City Keiba - Race 3

Thoroughbred

10 Runners

Unknown

Dirt

58.1K

VIEW

Verdict

PRIMA GRANDEUR (1) gets the nod on debut with the inside barrier, 119lbs and a strong local platform through Daisuke Mashima and Tsubasa Sasagawa. The stable has won with 3 of its past 8 debut runners and the Drefong cross has already produced a win and two placings from two starts, while half sibling Nine Esquire won 10 races. MY LIFE (3) has an equally appealing set-up from barrier 3 for Katsunori Arayama and Takayuki Yano, with the trainer-sire combination showing 32 wins from 123 starters and the stable placing with 75% of recent debutants. ON ZANGER (2) draws neatly and comes from a Satoshi Fukunaga yard with a 50% debut strike rate from 12 runners, supported by a dam line that has produced winners such as Poison Rouge and T Trap. BELLAGIO STARS (9) has the wider draw to manage, but the Henny Hughes and Masahiro Fukuda pairing reads well, with that trainer-sire combination placing at 53%.

numberFire Picks

Horse Stats

#/Silk	Horse#/Horse	Power Rating	High Speed	Win %	Top 3%	Win Prob	Odds
1	Makes her first race appearance from barrier 1 and has the right stable and rider profile for a debut performance. Daisuke Mashima has won with 3 of 8 recent debut runners, while the Drefong pairing has produced a win and two placings from two starters. With Tsubasa Sasagawa aboard and half sibling Nine Esquire a 10-time winner, she brings the strongest overall starting point. 1st Pick 1 Prima Grandeur Jockey: Tsubasa Sasagawa Trainer: Daisuke Mashima J: Tsubasa Sasagawa T: Daisuke Mashima	97	-	-	-	35%	15/8
Analysis Makes her first race appearance from barrier 1 and has the right stable and rider profile for a debut performance. Daisuke Mashima has won with 3 of 8 recent debut runners, while the Drefong pairing has produced a win and two placings from two starters. With Tsubasa Sasagawa aboard and half sibling Nine Esquire a 10-time winner, she brings the strongest overall starting point.
3	Starts his career from barrier 3 for Katsunori Arayama, whose recent debut runners have produced 4 wins and 9 placings from 12 starters. The Sinister Minister combination is also well proven, with 32 wins from 123 runners, and Takayuki Yano is the leading track rider. That blend of stable, sire and draw keeps him high among the chances. 2nd Pick 3 My Life Jockey: Takayuki Yano Trainer: Katsunori Arayama J: Takayuki Yano T: Katsunori Arayama	116	-	-	-	27%	11/4
Analysis Starts his career from barrier 3 for Katsunori Arayama, whose recent debut runners have produced 4 wins and 9 placings from 12 starters. The Sinister Minister combination is also well proven, with 32 wins from 123 runners, and Takayuki Yano is the leading track rider. That blend of stable, sire and draw keeps him high among the chances.
2	Draws barrier 2 for his debut and represents a Satoshi Fukunaga yard with 6 wins from 12 recent first-starters. The family has already thrown several winners, including Poison Rouge and T Trap, and there is 7f dirt winning form among the city-winner relatives. That profile gives him enough substance to rate as one of the genuine winning threats. 3rd Pick 2 On Zanger Jockey: Francisco Goncalves Trainer: Satoshi Fukunaga J: Francisco Goncalves T: Satoshi Fukunaga	65	-	-	-	17%	5/1
Analysis Draws barrier 2 for his debut and represents a Satoshi Fukunaga yard with 6 wins from 12 recent first-starters. The family has already thrown several winners, including Poison Rouge and T Trap, and there is 7f dirt winning form among the city-winner relatives. That profile gives him enough substance to rate as one of the genuine winning threats.

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A horse bred in a particular state and thus eligible to race in restricted state-bred races. These can be anything from maiden races to stakes events.

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A rain-soaked turf condition often producing a slick or heavy course and slower finish times.