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10:30 AM

JP - Tokyo City Keiba - Race 10

Thoroughbred
14 Runners
6f
Unknown
Dirt
46.6K

All race stats and comments are provided by numberfire. Complex algorithms are used to calculate stats like the power rating. Numberfire picks are provided by horse racing experts that work with numberfire.

Verdict

LIME FLAVOR (9) drifted well back then came with a powerful run to finish 3 lengths from the winner in second when resuming last start over 6f at this track. Has a good record here at this journey with two wins and five minor placings from eight starts. Expected to be in the finish. GRAND JOUR (1) finished sixth at this course and distance at her last appearance three months ago. Rates highly and is likely to be prominent. OMMAGA TORU (14) is experiencing a long win drought, extended last start when 11th over 6f here. Placed to advantage and can run a much better race. PLATINUM ROD (10) was unplaced two runs back then again missed the frame last start over 6f at this venue, beaten 7 lengths into 11th. Best efforts measure up so worth another chance.
numberFire Picks
Horse Stats
#/SilkHorse#/HorsePower RatingHigh SpeedWin %Top 3%Win ProbOdds
9
Lime Flavor silk

Second-up. First-up after seven months 2nd of 16 at this track on November 11 over 6f, 3 len behind Miracle Making carrying 123lbs at $12.10. Previously second-up 5th of 14 at this track on February 21 over 6f, 5 len behind Fierezza with 123lbs at $2.30. Even fitter and is an excellent winning chance.

1st Pick
9

Lime Flavor

Jockey: Masashige Honda

Trainer: Satoshi Fukunaga

J: Masashige Honda

T: Satoshi Fukunaga

105---34%2/1

Analysis

Second-up. First-up after seven months 2nd of 16 at this track on November 11 over 6f, 3 len behind Miracle Making carrying 123lbs at $12.10. Previously second-up 5th of 14 at this track on February 21 over 6f, 5 len behind Fierezza with 123lbs at $2.30. Even fitter and is an excellent winning chance.

1
Grand Jour silk

Resumes after a break of three months and has been in the money when fresh before. Finished off last preparation sixth of 12 at this track September 5 over 6f, 5 len behind Scissorhands with 119lbs at $6.90. When resuming last campaign fifth of 16 at this track June 9 over 6f, 4 len behind Keiai Capella carrying 119lbs at $6.20. Can get the job done while fresh.

2nd Pick
1

Grand Jour

Jockey: Masaaki Kuwamura

Trainer: Keiji Nakamichi

J: Masaaki Kuwamura

T: Keiji Nakamichi

107---34%2/1

Analysis

Resumes after a break of three months and has been in the money when fresh before. Finished off last preparation sixth of 12 at this track September 5 over 6f, 5 len behind Scissorhands with 119lbs at $6.90. When resuming last campaign fifth of 16 at this track June 9 over 6f, 4 len behind Keiai Capella carrying 119lbs at $6.20. Can get the job done while fresh.

14
Ommaga Toru silk

Third-up today. First-up 6th of 15 at this track on October 21 over 6f, 3.5 len behind Shine Fort with 119lbs at $2.90. Last start 11th of 16 at this track on November 11 over 6f, 9 len behind Miracle Making carrying 119lbs at $7.40. Expected to perform well.

3rd Pick
14

Ommaga Toru

Jockey: Tsubasa Sasagawa

Trainer: Takakazu Saso

J: Tsubasa Sasagawa

T: Takakazu Saso

118---12%8/1

Analysis

Third-up today. First-up 6th of 15 at this track on October 21 over 6f, 3.5 len behind Shine Fort with 119lbs at $2.90. Last start 11th of 16 at this track on November 11 over 6f, 9 len behind Miracle Making carrying 119lbs at $7.40. Expected to perform well.

Horse Racing Basic Terms

Stakes Race

Stakes Races are known as better class races, with higher purses and often accompanies by trophies.

Main Track Only

A horse entered for main track only (MTO) is one hoping the weather forecast or track conditions will move the race off the turf course and onto the main track. They are scratched the morning of the race if the conditions stay dry.

Rabbit

Also known as a pacemaker; this is a horse with no expected chance of winning but is used to prompt a quick pace on the front end of the race to the benefit of a stablemate who is a closer.