JP - Tokyo City Keiba - Race 1

Thoroughbred

10 Runners

Unknown

Dirt

9.6K

VIEW

Verdict

HENNY IRIS (8) has the clearest winning profile after scoring as favourite at this track three weeks ago, beating Tsukushi by a neck after racing right in the contest. Her previous fourth to Red Floga reads solid enough in this line-up, and two wins plus a placing from eight runs at around 6f gives her the most reliable course-and-distance credentials. CHUO THOROUGH (3) is the main danger, especially third-up with a win and a placing from ten attempts at this track and trip, though she was only fair late when fourth behind Henny Iris last start. SOLITARIO KAZU (6) has been consistent without breaking through, finishing fifth at his past two and getting within two and a half lengths last time, so he remains a genuine winning chance if he can produce a sharper last 1f. TERUKEN YUMIKABUTO (1) has the class-drop and 112lbs set-up in her favour, but her recent 6f record leaves her looking more a place hope than a likely winner.

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Horse Stats

#/Silk	Horse#/Horse	Power Rating	High Speed	Win %	Top 3%	Win Prob	Odds
8	Comes off the best last-start performance in the race, winning at this track as favourite and beating Tsukushi by a neck after fighting strongly when right in the contest. She had also started favourite when fourth to Red Floga two back, beaten three lengths, so the form has been reliable all campaign. With two wins and a placing from eight runs around 6f, she brings the strongest profile and is the one to beat again. 1st Pick 8 Henny Iris Jockey: Sho Yoshii Trainer: Hiroyuki Matsuura J: Sho Yoshii T: Hiroyuki Matsuura	235	-	-	-	36%	9/5
Analysis Comes off the best last-start performance in the race, winning at this track as favourite and beating Tsukushi by a neck after fighting strongly when right in the contest. She had also started favourite when fourth to Red Floga two back, beaten three lengths, so the form has been reliable all campaign. With two wins and a placing from eight runs around 6f, she brings the strongest profile and is the one to beat again.
3	Improved third-up when fourth to Henny Iris at this track, beaten two lengths after being near the top of betting, and she now looks ready to peak. She was also kept safe two back when sixth to Red Floga, so the market has consistently respected her. A win and a placing from ten runs at this track and distance give her the right foundation, and she rates the strongest threat to the favourite. 2nd Pick 3 Chuo Thorough Jockey: Minami Sugiyama Trainer: Hiroyuki Matsuura J: Minami Sugiyama T: Hiroyuki Matsuura	90	-	-	-	29%	5/2
Analysis Improved third-up when fourth to Henny Iris at this track, beaten two lengths after being near the top of betting, and she now looks ready to peak. She was also kept safe two back when sixth to Red Floga, so the market has consistently respected her. A win and a placing from ten runs at this track and distance give her the right foundation, and she rates the strongest threat to the favourite.
6	Has been close enough at his past two starts to command respect, most recently fifth behind Henny Iris at this track when beaten two and a half lengths as an outside chance in betting. Two back he picked up nicely in the straight when fifth to Red Floga, despite being unwanted in the market. The maiden record is the obvious knock, but this looks a suitable opening if he can convert those recent finishes. 3rd Pick 6 Solitario Kazu Jockey: Nishi Yuya Trainer: Norio Watanabe J: Nishi Yuya T: Norio Watanabe	88	-	-	-	15%	6/1
Analysis Has been close enough at his past two starts to command respect, most recently fifth behind Henny Iris at this track when beaten two and a half lengths as an outside chance in betting. Two back he picked up nicely in the straight when fifth to Red Floga, despite being unwanted in the market. The maiden record is the obvious knock, but this looks a suitable opening if he can convert those recent finishes.

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