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8:20 AM

JP - Tokyo City Keiba - Race 12

Thoroughbred
16 Runners
6f
Unknown
Dirt
22.1K

All race stats and comments are provided by numberfire. Complex algorithms are used to calculate stats like the power rating. Numberfire picks are provided by horse racing experts that work with numberfire.

Verdict

BAY STATE (13) went forward and gave a great sight before finishing third last time out over 7f at this track. Should be prominent in the run despite the wide draw. Taking on a better field but he is worth serious consideration. GRAND MALL (7) opened this prep with a win two runs ago then a good effort last time out when winding up in second over 6f at this track, only beaten a nose. Needs to be at his best to beat this field but he is up to the challenge. MAPLE LEAF RAG (8) missed the frame two back in tougher company then relished the easier contest last time when third over 6f at this track. Rates highly and is a leading player. BRAVO KINGDOM (6) turned things around last start and got the job done by 1.75 lengths over 6f at this track. Has his share of ability and finds a suitable race.
numberFire Picks
Horse Stats
#/SilkHorse#/HorsePower RatingHigh SpeedWin %Top 3%Win ProbOdds
13
Bay State silk

Going well. Last start raced on the pace when 3rd of 13 at this track on January 16 over 7f, 3 len behind Golden Ale carrying 123lbs at $4.90. The start before that won by 1.3 len at this track December 29 over 7f defeating Fong Rosa with 123lbs at $5.80. Expected to go well.

1st Pick
13

Bay State

Jockey: Takayuki Yano

Trainer: Kiyoaki Takahashi

J: Takayuki Yano

T: Kiyoaki Takahashi

214---27%11/4

Analysis

Going well. Last start raced on the pace when 3rd of 13 at this track on January 16 over 7f, 3 len behind Golden Ale carrying 123lbs at $4.90. The start before that won by 1.3 len at this track December 29 over 7f defeating Fong Rosa with 123lbs at $5.80. Expected to go well.

7
Grand Mall silk

Third-up today and won third-up in the past. Not raced for 59 days. Resuming won by 1.0 len at this track November 7 over 7f defeating Derma Uchigake carrying 121lbs at $20.50. Second-up crossed from a wide gate to lead but couldn't hold on when 2nd of 11 at this track on December 3 over 6f, nose behind Kogen Silver with 121lbs at $4.60. Ready to find peak form.

2nd Pick
7

Grand Mall

Jockey: Takami Riku

Trainer: Yoshihiro Sawa

J: Takami Riku

T: Yoshihiro Sawa

88---25%3/1

Analysis

Third-up today and won third-up in the past. Not raced for 59 days. Resuming won by 1.0 len at this track November 7 over 7f defeating Derma Uchigake carrying 121lbs at $20.50. Second-up crossed from a wide gate to lead but couldn't hold on when 2nd of 11 at this track on December 3 over 6f, nose behind Kogen Silver with 121lbs at $4.60. Ready to find peak form.

8
Maple Leaf Rag silk

Useful type. Most recently sat on speed throughout when 3rd of 12 at this track on January 16 over 6f, 2.75 len behind Bravo Kingdom carrying 119lbs at $3.40. Before that 14th of 16 at Chukyo Dirt on December 1 over 6f, 12 len behind Zubatto Masamune with 115lbs at $347.60. Worth following up.

3rd Pick
8

Maple Leaf Rag

Jockey: Keita Nishi

Trainer: Hidemitsu Sakai

J: Keita Nishi

T: Hidemitsu Sakai

125---15%6/1

Analysis

Useful type. Most recently sat on speed throughout when 3rd of 12 at this track on January 16 over 6f, 2.75 len behind Bravo Kingdom carrying 119lbs at $3.40. Before that 14th of 16 at Chukyo Dirt on December 1 over 6f, 12 len behind Zubatto Masamune with 115lbs at $347.60. Worth following up.

Horse Racing Basic Terms

Daily Double

A wager on two consecutive races on the card where bettors have to pick both winners.

Superfecta

A wager involving choosing the first, second, third, and fourth horses in one race in the exact order. A superfecta box involves paying more to ensure they can finish in any order in the top four spots.

Dead Heat

Two or more horses finishing so close at the wire, that they were unable to be separated on a photo finish and deemed to have tied.