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5:15 AM

JP - Tokyo City Keiba - Race 1

Thoroughbred
14 Runners
8f
Unknown
Dirt
10.3K

All race stats and comments are provided by numberfire. Complex algorithms are used to calculate stats like the power rating. Numberfire picks are provided by horse racing experts that work with numberfire.

Verdict

HEDENBERGITE (7) has been in good form, scoring three back at this track then placing twice in a row, most recently finishing third when she was in the firing line all the way over this track and trip. Has her share of ability. Hard to beat in this suitable race. FINE DAY (1) made considerable ground in the run home to finish second last start over 7f at this track. Best form puts her right in this. FLORAL ROMANCE (8) drew wide and was pretty plain last time despite meeting with market support when finishing fifth at this course and distance. A better showing is expected. FAIR CLOUD (11) made progress last time out, finishing third here. Looks to be in the right race so expect another big run.
numberFire Picks
Horse Stats
#/SilkHorse#/HorsePower RatingHigh SpeedWin %Top 3%Win ProbOdds
7
Hedenbergite silk

Racing well recently. At the latest run led but faded 3rd of 13 at this track on August 14 over 1m, 3.5 len behind Shark Warning with 119lbs at $2.60. Before that led but faded 3rd of 13 at this track on July 15 over 1m, 1.1 len behind Advent Crown carrying 119lbs at $3. Has the ability to be in the finish.

1st Pick
7

Hedenbergite

Jockey: Shunsuke Ishikawa

Trainer: Hiroyuki Matsuura

J: Shunsuke Ishikawa

T: Hiroyuki Matsuura

110---23%7/2

Analysis

Racing well recently. At the latest run led but faded 3rd of 13 at this track on August 14 over 1m, 3.5 len behind Shark Warning with 119lbs at $2.60. Before that led but faded 3rd of 13 at this track on July 15 over 1m, 1.1 len behind Advent Crown carrying 119lbs at $3. Has the ability to be in the finish.

1
Fine Day silk

Racing well recently. At the latest run 2nd of 11 at this track on August 10 over 7f, 1.0 len behind Bee Trinity with 119lbs at $7.70. The race before that 3rd of 13 at this track on July 14 over 1 ¼m, 6 len behind Meisho Towani carrying 119lbs at $4.90. Winning prospects enhanced by the favourable alley.

2nd Pick
1

Fine Day

Jockey: Sho Yoshii

Trainer: Hiroyuki Matsuura

J: Sho Yoshii

T: Hiroyuki Matsuura

122---23%7/2

Analysis

Racing well recently. At the latest run 2nd of 11 at this track on August 10 over 7f, 1.0 len behind Bee Trinity with 119lbs at $7.70. The race before that 3rd of 13 at this track on July 14 over 1 ¼m, 6 len behind Meisho Towani carrying 119lbs at $4.90. Winning prospects enhanced by the favourable alley.

8
Floral Romance silk

Most recently 5th of 14 at this track on August 15 over 1m, 6 len behind Philippine with 119lbs at $2. The start before that made some head-way from midfield, 3rd of 12 at this track on July 18 over 1m, 3.5 len behind Beautiful Bell carrying 119lbs at $1.50. Capable of a better run.

3rd Pick
8

Floral Romance

Jockey: Tsubasa Sasagawa

Trainer: Masato Tanaka

J: Tsubasa Sasagawa

T: Masato Tanaka

172---10%9/1

Analysis

Most recently 5th of 14 at this track on August 15 over 1m, 6 len behind Philippine with 119lbs at $2. The start before that made some head-way from midfield, 3rd of 12 at this track on July 18 over 1m, 3.5 len behind Beautiful Bell carrying 119lbs at $1.50. Capable of a better run.

Horse Racing Basic Terms

Sloppy

A wet racetrack condition, typically with a firm base and water settling on top.

Bobble/Stumble

A slip or a duck from a horse trying to leave the starting gates, often caused by the surface giving way under the feet. This can range from a mild misstep to a stumble down to their knees.

Maiden Race

A race exclusively for horses who have not previously won.