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2:40 PM

IE - Curragh - Race 5

Thoroughbred
10 Runners
8f
Group 1
Turf
Good
586.0K

All race stats and comments are provided by numberfire. Complex algorithms are used to calculate stats like the power rating. Numberfire picks are provided by horse racing experts that work with numberfire.

Verdict

GSTAAD is super consistent at this level and has an excellent opportunity of bagging his second Group 1 of his career having beat the rest easily when runner-up in the 2000 Guineas at Newmarket. There's little depth to this Classic but Thesecretadversary does at least have a bigger performance in him if racing more efficiently so is second choice ahead of Guineas-third Distant Storm, who sports headgear for the first time.
numberFire Picks
Horse Stats
#/SilkHorse#/HorsePower RatingHigh SpeedWin %Top 3%Win ProbOdds
5
Gstaad silk

Impressive winner of Coventry at Royal Ascot. Runner-up in Group 1s over 6f/7f on next 3 starts before going one better in Breeders' Cup Juvenile Turf at Del Mar. Returned with an excellent second (well clear of rest) in the 2000 Guineas at Newmarket and should take plenty of beating.

1st Pick
5

Gstaad

Jockey: Ryan Moore

Trainer: Aidan O'brien, Ireland

J: Ryan Moore

T: Aidan O'brien, Ireland

100---80%1/4

Analysis

Impressive winner of Coventry at Royal Ascot. Runner-up in Group 1s over 6f/7f on next 3 starts before going one better in Breeders' Cup Juvenile Turf at Del Mar. Returned with an excellent second (well clear of rest) in the 2000 Guineas at Newmarket and should take plenty of beating.

10
Thesecretadversary (Ire) silk

Free-going sort who reappeared to win a Group 3 at Leopardstown (7f) by 2½ lengths from re-opposing Power Blue. Did well to finish where he did given how hard he pulled in the 2000 Guineas at Newmarket next time and he's capable of better if settling down.

2nd Pick
10

Thesecretadversary (Ire)

Jockey: Seamie Heffernan

Trainer: J. A. Stack, Ireland

J: Seamie Heffernan

T: J. A. Stack, Ireland

87---10%9/1

Analysis

Free-going sort who reappeared to win a Group 3 at Leopardstown (7f) by 2½ lengths from re-opposing Power Blue. Did well to finish where he did given how hard he pulled in the 2000 Guineas at Newmarket next time and he's capable of better if settling down.

3
Distant Storm silk

Easy winner of a Group 3 at Newmarket in September and similar form when third in Dewhurst there following month. Decent third in 2000 Guineas on return but has 8 lengths to find with Gstaad. Headgear applied.

3rd Pick
3

Distant Storm

Jockey: Billy Loughnane

Trainer: Charlie Appleby

J: Billy Loughnane

T: Charlie Appleby

93---12%8/1

Analysis

Easy winner of a Group 3 at Newmarket in September and similar form when third in Dewhurst there following month. Decent third in 2000 Guineas on return but has 8 lengths to find with Gstaad. Headgear applied.

Horse Racing Basic Terms

Paddock

The area where horses gather before the race to be saddled and paraded for the public.

Bolt

A sudden veering to the inside or outside rail, often caused by the horse spooking or shying from something.

Silks

The colorful jacket and cap worn by a jockey which features the design of the owner.