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Resulted

IE - Thurles - Race 3

Thoroughbred
15 Runners
15.8f
Maiden Hurdle
Turf
Heavy (Soft to Heavy in places)
11.5K

All race stats and comments are provided by numberfire. Complex algorithms are used to calculate stats like the power rating. Numberfire picks are provided by horse racing experts that work with numberfire.

Verdict

CHARME DE FAUST finished second on her Auteuil debut in September and is probably the one to beat having joined Willie Mullins, with confidence in her chance increased should the betting vibes be strong. Ismahane's Flat form in Europe suggests he could be a big threat if taking to this new discipline. Dawn Coming has made a solid start to his hurdle career and may prove best of the remainder.
numberFire Picks
Horse Stats
#/SilkHorse#/HorsePower RatingHigh SpeedWin %Top 3%Win ProbOdds
14
Charme De Faust (Fr) silk

Promising sort. Second of 18 in newcomers hurdle at Auteuil (17.9f, soft) 138 days ago. Acquired by top connections on the back of that. Probably the one to beat.

1st Pick
14

Charme De Faust (Fr)

Jockey: P. Townend

Trainer: W. P. Mullins, Ireland

J: P. Townend

T: W. P. Mullins, Ireland

0---63%

Analysis

Promising sort. Second of 18 in newcomers hurdle at Auteuil (17.9f, soft) 138 days ago. Acquired by top connections on the back of that. Probably the one to beat.

7
Ismahane (Ger) silk

Useful Flat performer for Henk Grewe, finishing 3ΒΌ lengths second of 10 to Orion Queen in St Leger Italiano (84/10) at Milan (14.9f, soft) 68 days ago. A rare jumps runner for new trainer Paddy Twomey. Very interesting contender.

2nd Pick
7

Ismahane (Ger)

Jockey: D. King

Trainer: P. Twomey, Ireland

J: D. King

T: P. Twomey, Ireland

95---34%

Analysis

Useful Flat performer for Henk Grewe, finishing 3ΒΌ lengths second of 10 to Orion Queen in St Leger Italiano (84/10) at Milan (14.9f, soft) 68 days ago. A rare jumps runner for new trainer Paddy Twomey. Very interesting contender.

10
Dawn Coming (Ire) silk

Fair maiden on the Flat. Promising individual. 11/4, second of 17 in novice hurdle at Cork (16.9f, good to soft) 26 days ago. Should have more to offer.

3rd Pick
10

Dawn Coming (Ire)

Jockey: E. Staples

Trainer: Charles Byrnes, Ireland

J: E. Staples

T: Charles Byrnes, Ireland

100---13%

Analysis

Fair maiden on the Flat. Promising individual. 11/4, second of 17 in novice hurdle at Cork (16.9f, good to soft) 26 days ago. Should have more to offer.

Horse Racing Basic Terms

Underlay

A horse that is going off at lower odds than it deserves based on performance.

Bobble/Stumble

A slip or a duck from a horse trying to leave the starting gates, often caused by the surface giving way under the feet. This can range from a mild misstep to a stumble down to their knees.

Superfecta

A wager involving choosing the first, second, third, and fourth horses in one race in the exact order. A superfecta box involves paying more to ensure they can finish in any order in the top four spots.