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Resulted

NZ - Hawera - Race 8

Thoroughbred
14 Runners
10.4f
Benchmark
Turf
SOFT 7
22.6K

All race stats and comments are provided by numberfire. Complex algorithms are used to calculate stats like the power rating. Numberfire picks are provided by horse racing experts that work with numberfire.

Verdict

MADAM ZARA (12) made ground from a mile back over the extreme distance two back then hit the line hard from midfield last time. Take holding out here. WRY SMILE (1) loomed on the turn from well back & fought hard for a narrow win at Te Aroha before running on OK last time. Look for him to finish hard again. TAI (4) was handy & took over turn but was swamped late when fresh 2 back then got back & stayed there last time. Latest too bad to be true. Look for improvement. LEPREKHAN (6) took control & skyed away midrace but effort told over the extreme distance 2 back then fought hard from on the pace last time. Place claims on a wet track.
numberFire Picks
Horse Stats
#/SilkHorse#/HorsePower RatingHigh SpeedWin %Top 3%Win ProbOdds
12
Madam Zara silk

Racing well recently. Most recently 4th of 10 at Trentham on September 19 over 1m, on rain affected going, 6 len behind Piper's Son with 117lbs at $5.50. The run before that 4th of 12 at New Plymouth Raceway on September 5 over 2m, on rain affected going, 13 len behind In A Pickle with 115lbs at $22.60. Worth another chance.

1st Pick
12

Madam Zara

Jockey: Lily Sutherland

Trainer: Pat Keegan

J: Lily Sutherland

T: Pat Keegan

77---29%

Analysis

Racing well recently. Most recently 4th of 10 at Trentham on September 19 over 1m, on rain affected going, 6 len behind Piper's Son with 117lbs at $5.50. The run before that 4th of 12 at New Plymouth Raceway on September 5 over 2m, on rain affected going, 13 len behind In A Pickle with 115lbs at $22.60. Worth another chance.

1
Wry Smile silk

Form hard to fault. Most recently 4th of 10 at Te Aroha on September 20 over 1m, on a wet track, 5 len behind So Call Me carrying 153lbs at $9. The start before that won by a 0.3 len at Te Aroha on September 18 over 1m in heavy going defeating Quill carrying 153lbs at $8.90. Worth following up.

2nd Pick
1

Wry Smile

Jockey: Floor Moerman

Trainer: Samantha Logan

J: Floor Moerman

T: Samantha Logan

74---15%

Analysis

Form hard to fault. Most recently 4th of 10 at Te Aroha on September 20 over 1m, on a wet track, 5 len behind So Call Me carrying 153lbs at $9. The start before that won by a 0.3 len at Te Aroha on September 18 over 1m in heavy going defeating Quill carrying 153lbs at $8.90. Worth following up.

7
Rosa silk

Recent form sound. Comes off a 34 day let-up. At the latest run raced right near the speed and boxed on, won by 2.25 len at Awapuni Synthetic on August 30 over 1 ยน/16m defeating Basilthegreek carrying 121lbs at $3.80. Before that held ground to the line 3rd of 8 at Awapuni Synthetic on August 13 over 7f, 0.4 len behind Daiwa Explorer carrying 122lbs at $6.80. Capable enough on her day and can make it two on the trot.

3rd Pick
7

Rosa

Jockey: Non Runner

Trainer: Ilone Kelly

J: Non Runner

T: Ilone Kelly

62---8%

Scratched

Analysis

Recent form sound. Comes off a 34 day let-up. At the latest run raced right near the speed and boxed on, won by 2.25 len at Awapuni Synthetic on August 30 over 1 ยน/16m defeating Basilthegreek carrying 121lbs at $3.80. Before that held ground to the line 3rd of 8 at Awapuni Synthetic on August 13 over 7f, 0.4 len behind Daiwa Explorer carrying 122lbs at $6.80. Capable enough on her day and can make it two on the trot.

Horse Racing Basic Terms

Claiming Race

A race in which horses are entered for a certain price, or claiming tag, which is also their sales price. An owner can claim any horse entered for the tag before the race begins, and owns them as soon as the gates open.

State-Bred

A horse bred in a particular state and thus eligible to race in restricted state-bred races. These can be anything from maiden races to stakes events.

Lasix

A medication for the treatment of bleeding in horses that is legal in North America, but not all worldwide jurisdictions.