NZ - Hawera - Race 6

Thoroughbred

12 Runners

OPEN

Turf

SOFT 7

56.5K

VIEW

Verdict

TAJANA (12) made up a lot of ground in the G1 NZ Oaks two starts back & charged home again when fresh but just missed a month ago. Looks right on target for this. QALI AL FARRASHA (1) last few starts all at group 1 or 2 level. Just missed when stalked the leaders in the Travis stakes last time in April & goes well fresh. Take a lot of beating. PLOY (9) resumed with an easy win at Te Rapa last start when staying handy to the speed. Tougher here but likely up to the task. HELLUVAH RETURN (6) nice mare who struck a purple patch of form late last prep with some big busts from the rear. Two trials should have her ready. CIRCUS DANCER (10) led and cleared out late for a big win when fresh last month. Has claims.

numberFire Picks

Horse Stats

#/Silk	Horse#/Horse	Power Rating	High Speed	Win %	Top 3%	Win Prob	Odds
12	Second run back. First-up after seven months 3rd of 13 at Ellerslie on September 5 over 6 ½f, slow going 0.4 len behind Big Wave with 122lbs at $4.90. Previously second-up 3rd of 11 in the G2 David & Karyn Ellis (Sir Tristram) Fillies Classic at Te Rapa on February 7 over 1 5/16m, 0.9 len behind Ohope Wins with 125lbs at $9.90. Terrific chance to return to winning form. 1st Pick 12 Tajana Jockey: Sam Mcnab Trainer: Shaune Ritchie & Colm Murray J: Sam Mcnab T: Shaune Ritchie & Colm Murray	85	-	-	-	25%	Scratched
Analysis Second run back. First-up after seven months 3rd of 13 at Ellerslie on September 5 over 6 ½f, slow going 0.4 len behind Big Wave with 122lbs at $4.90. Previously second-up 3rd of 11 in the G2 David & Karyn Ellis (Sir Tristram) Fillies Classic at Te Rapa on February 7 over 1 5/16m, 0.9 len behind Ohope Wins with 125lbs at $9.90. Terrific chance to return to winning form.
1	Mare returning from a spell and has won previously when first up. Finished off last campaign second of 8 at Te Rapa in the G2 Travis Stakes April 25 over 1 ¼m, soft track, a 0.3 lengths behind Khanshe carrying 126lbs at $4. When resuming last campaign eighth of 16 at Ellerslie in the G1 Proisir Plate September 6 2025 over 7f, soft track, 3.5 len behind Quintessa with 126lbs at $21.90. Expected to go close again. 2nd Pick 1 Qali Al Farrasha Jockey: Wiremu Pinn Trainer: Mark Walker & Sam Bergerson J: Wiremu Pinn T: Mark Walker & Sam Bergerson	188	-	-	-	23%
Analysis Mare returning from a spell and has won previously when first up. Finished off last campaign second of 8 at Te Rapa in the G2 Travis Stakes April 25 over 1 ¼m, soft track, a 0.3 lengths behind Khanshe carrying 126lbs at $4. When resuming last campaign eighth of 16 at Ellerslie in the G1 Proisir Plate September 6 2025 over 7f, soft track, 3.5 len behind Quintessa with 126lbs at $21.90. Expected to go close again.
9	Dual acceptor. Second run back. First-up after six months raced right near the speed and boxed on, won by 1.2 len at Te Rapa on September 13 over 7f in the wet defeating Surround Sound with 121lbs at $4.80. Previously second-up ran last of 11 at Tauranga on March 14 over 7f, on heavy track, 69 len behind Butterfield with 121lbs at $5.20. Terrific chance to continue the strong form. 3rd Pick 9 Ploy Jockey: Leah Hemi Trainer: Cody Cole J: Leah Hemi T: Cody Cole	95	-	-	-	20%
Analysis Dual acceptor. Second run back. First-up after six months raced right near the speed and boxed on, won by 1.2 len at Te Rapa on September 13 over 7f in the wet defeating Surround Sound with 121lbs at $4.80. Previously second-up ran last of 11 at Tauranga on March 14 over 7f, on heavy track, 69 len behind Butterfield with 121lbs at $5.20. Terrific chance to continue the strong form.

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