Hong Kong Sha Tin - Race 9

Thoroughbred

14 Runners

8.2f

Restricted

Synthetic

GOOD

263.3K

VIEW

R10

Verdict

NEW FOREST (1) led and bolted in over this course and distance last time out, winning by 3.8L in an impressive display. He's since trialled well up at Conghua and boasts a good record on this course. Can find the front from a better draw today and looks the one to beat off that effort. RELIABLE PROFIT (4) was far too good two back before getting out of his ground last start at this track and trip when jumping the race favourite, finishing strongly to be 1.8L away. Bowman may be able to take closer order today from an inside barrier and it wouldn't surprise to see him return to winning ways. ALLCASH (13) got the job done first-up at Happy Valley and rises in grade off that effort. He drops in weight and gets Purton on board today with improvement expected. Has jumped favourite on this course and distance previously and is not to be discounted. EXCELLENCE VALUE (2) missed in a bunched finish last start but rates well back to this trip.

numberFire Picks

Horse Stats

#/Silk	Horse#/Horse	Power Rating	High Speed	Win %	Top 3%	Win Prob	Odds
1	Returns from a 38-day let-up. Most recently scored a big 4 len win at this track October 30 over 1 m defeating Mojave Desert carrying 118lbs at $7.60. The race before that 5th of 12 at this track on October 12 over 6f, 5.5 len behind Mr Energia carrying 122lbs at $6.10. Terrific chance in a suitable contest. 1st Pick 1 New Forest Jockey: Lyle Hewitson Trainer: Mark Newnham J: Lyle Hewitson T: Mark Newnham	96	-	-	-	17%	5/1
Analysis Returns from a 38-day let-up. Most recently scored a big 4 len win at this track October 30 over 1 m defeating Mojave Desert carrying 118lbs at $7.60. The race before that 5th of 12 at this track on October 12 over 6f, 5.5 len behind Mr Energia carrying 122lbs at $6.10. Terrific chance in a suitable contest.
4	Racing well recently. Last start made ground from midfield, 3rd of 14 at this track on November 15 over 1 m, 1.75 len behind Loch Tay carrying 126lbs at $4.30. The run before that favourite, scored a big 3 len win at this track October 30 over 1m defeating Viva Taste with 134lbs at $4.70. Rates highly on recent efforts and is expected to be in the finish. 2nd Pick 4 Reliable Profit Jockey: Hugh Bowman Trainer: Danny Shum J: Hugh Bowman T: Danny Shum	125	-	-	-	12%	8/1
Analysis Racing well recently. Last start made ground from midfield, 3rd of 14 at this track on November 15 over 1 m, 1.75 len behind Loch Tay carrying 126lbs at $4.30. The run before that favourite, scored a big 3 len win at this track October 30 over 1m defeating Viva Taste with 134lbs at $4.70. Rates highly on recent efforts and is expected to be in the finish.
13	Racing second-up today. Last outing won by a neck at Happy Valley November 26 over 1 m defeating Fortune Star with 131lbs at $26. At only start last preparation 3rd of 13 at this track on September 21 over 1 m, 3.5 len behind Precision Goal carrying 132lbs at $3.90. Has won second up in the past and is capable of building on that record. 3rd Pick 13 Allcash Jockey: Zac Purton Trainer: Danny Shum J: Zac Purton T: Danny Shum	129	-	-	-	19%	9/2
Analysis Racing second-up today. Last outing won by a neck at Happy Valley November 26 over 1 m defeating Fortune Star with 131lbs at $26. At only start last preparation 3rd of 13 at this track on September 21 over 1 m, 3.5 len behind Precision Goal carrying 132lbs at $3.90. Has won second up in the past and is capable of building on that record.

Upcoming Races

Horse Racing Basic Terms

Track Bias

The term used to identify which parts of the track or running styles are producing more winners.

Sloppy

A wet racetrack condition, typically with a firm base and water settling on top.

Main Track Only

A horse entered for main track only (MTO) is one hoping the weather forecast or track conditions will move the race off the turf course and onto the main track. They are scratched the morning of the race if the conditions stay dry.