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8:10 AM

Hong Kong Sha Tin - Race 7

Thoroughbred
14 Runners
6f
Restricted
Turf
GOOD
149.1K

All race stats and comments are provided by numberfire. Complex algorithms are used to calculate stats like the power rating. Numberfire picks are provided by horse racing experts that work with numberfire.

Verdict

SPIRITED STEED (6) gets the nod after a couple of placings here either side of the season break. Purton remains in the saddle and the form out of his fresh run has already been franked. Lightly raced and still having plenty of upside, he can notch up his maiden victory. LIGHT YEARS GLORY (2) is the obvious danger after beating Virtus Glory here last start as favourite. The wide draw doesn't hurt his chances with his racing pattern and it wouldn't surprise to see him bring up back-to-back wins. KA YING RADIANCE (10) resumes with a favourable draw and brings a near-miss two starts ago, so his best form is good enough if he returns switched on. LAKESHORE HERO (14) has produced consecutive seconds, gets sharp weight relief from his latest 134lbs assignment, and remains a genuine winning chance despite the wider draw.
numberFire Picks
Horse Stats
#/SilkHorse#/HorsePower RatingHigh SpeedWin %Top 3%Win ProbOdds
6
Spirited Steed silk

Second-up. First-up after two months sat on speed throughout when 3rd of 14 at this track on September 13 over 6f, 1.75 len behind Kempes carrying 128lbs at $4.10. Previously second-up ran second last of 12 at Happy Valley on June 3 over 6f, 9 len behind The Heir carrying 126lbs at $49. Fitter and worth following up.

1st Pick
6

Spirited Steed

Jockey: Zac Purton

Trainer: K W Lui

J: Zac Purton

T: K W Lui

122---34%2/1

Analysis

Second-up. First-up after two months sat on speed throughout when 3rd of 14 at this track on September 13 over 6f, 1.75 len behind Kempes carrying 128lbs at $4.10. Previously second-up ran second last of 12 at Happy Valley on June 3 over 6f, 9 len behind The Heir carrying 126lbs at $49. Fitter and worth following up.

2
Light Years Glory silk

Last start favourite, won by 0.5 len at this track on September 6 over 6f defeating Virtus Glory carrying 126lbs at $2.70. Before that 9th of 12 at Happy Valley on July 15 over 1 m, 3 len behind Shamz with 131lbs at $4.50. Top chance to salute again.

2nd Pick
2

Light Years Glory

Jockey: Luke Ferraris

Trainer: David Eustace

J: Luke Ferraris

T: David Eustace

172---13%7/1

Analysis

Last start favourite, won by 0.5 len at this track on September 6 over 6f defeating Virtus Glory carrying 126lbs at $2.70. Before that 9th of 12 at Happy Valley on July 15 over 1 m, 3 len behind Shamz with 131lbs at $4.50. Top chance to salute again.

10
Ka Ying Radiance silk

Resuming today after a break of three-and-a-half months. Finished off last preparation fifth of 14 at this track June 27 over 6f, 3 len behind Anode with 122lbs at $2.30. First up last campaign ninth of 14 at this track May 3 over 6f, 8 len behind Incredible Moment with 123lbs at $7.60. Looks a key runner.

3rd Pick
10

Ka Ying Radiance

Jockey: Matthew Poon

Trainer: David A Hayes

J: Matthew Poon

T: David A Hayes

68---29%5/2

Analysis

Resuming today after a break of three-and-a-half months. Finished off last preparation fifth of 14 at this track June 27 over 6f, 3 len behind Anode with 122lbs at $2.30. First up last campaign ninth of 14 at this track May 3 over 6f, 8 len behind Incredible Moment with 123lbs at $7.60. Looks a key runner.

Horse Racing Basic Terms

Dead Heat

Two or more horses finishing so close at the wire, that they were unable to be separated on a photo finish and deemed to have tied.

Sloppy

A wet racetrack condition, typically with a firm base and water settling on top.

Tack

The equipment the horse wears, including saddle and bridle. A jockey typically has their own racing saddle, placed on each horse they ride just before the race.