Hong Kong Sha Tin - Race 7

Thoroughbred

14 Runners

Restricted

Turf

GOOD

149.1K

VIEW

R10

R11

Verdict

STORM MIRROR (5) gets top billing despite a plain first-up result, with his previous second at this track and the fact he was well-supported favourite last time giving him the right profile to rebound. He's trialled strongly since that disappointing effort though and with things to suit this time around, he can improve sharply. GOOD LUCK BABE (14) is the seasoned danger: third at this track two back, fourth at Happy Valley last start as favourite, and proven at this track and distance. Needs a touch of luck from the barrier but his recent form stands up. ABSOLUTE AWAKENED (3) must be respected after beating Etalon Or by a length at this venue last start, and his track-and-trip record ties in well with Derek Leung staying aboard. TIN FOOK (10) resumes from a break after one poor all-weather run, but his prior fifth at this track was sound enough to keep him in the winning mix from barrier one.

numberFire Picks

Horse Stats

#/Silk	Horse#/Horse	Power Rating	High Speed	Win %	Top 3%	Win Prob	Odds
5	Has the right profile to bounce back second-up after starting well-supported favourite at this track and finishing 11th. He had been second here the run prior, beaten a length by Silver Spurs, and his overall record of two placings from four starts still points to upside. Has trialled well since a disappointing first-up effort and he can bounce back. 1st Pick 5 Storm Mirror Jockey: Vincent Ho Trainer: Pierre Ng J: Vincent Ho T: Pierre Ng	124	-	-	-	13%	7/1
Analysis Has the right profile to bounce back second-up after starting well-supported favourite at this track and finishing 11th. He had been second here the run prior, beaten a length by Silver Spurs, and his overall record of two placings from four starts still points to upside. Has trialled well since a disappointing first-up effort and he can bounce back.
14	Has been honest in two runs this campaign, finishing third at this track before a fourth at Happy Valley when well-supported favourite and beaten just over two lengths. His record at this track and distance includes a win and two placings from ten starts, and the apprentice claim helps. Third-up with a claim, he looks a strong winning chance. 2nd Pick 14 Good Luck Babe Jockey: Jerry Chau Trainer: A S Cruz J: Jerry Chau T: A S Cruz	145	-	-	-	15%	6/1
Analysis Has been honest in two runs this campaign, finishing third at this track before a fourth at Happy Valley when well-supported favourite and beaten just over two lengths. His record at this track and distance includes a win and two placings from ten starts, and the apprentice claim helps. Third-up with a claim, he looks a strong winning chance.
3	Scored first-up at this track when sent out at long odds, beating Etalon Or by a length and confirming his liking for this course. He has now won once from three at this track and distance, and Derek Leung has a win from two rides on him. Top weight is the knock, but the form has substance. 3rd Pick 3 Absolute Awakened Jockey: Derek Leung Trainer: David A Hayes J: Derek Leung T: David A Hayes	112	-	-	-	29%	5/2
Analysis Scored first-up at this track when sent out at long odds, beating Etalon Or by a length and confirming his liking for this course. He has now won once from three at this track and distance, and Derek Leung has a win from two rides on him. Top weight is the knock, but the form has substance.

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Horse Racing Basic Terms

Pari-Mutuel

A pool style wagering system, where all money input through betting is divided among those with winning tickets (save for various deductions by the track operators).

Sloppy

A wet racetrack condition, typically with a firm base and water settling on top.

Bobble/Stumble

A slip or a duck from a horse trying to leave the starting gates, often caused by the surface giving way under the feet. This can range from a mild misstep to a stumble down to their knees.