Hong Kong Sha Tin - Race 7

Thoroughbred

14 Runners

8.9f

Restricted

Turf

GOOD

261.6K

VIEW

R10

R11

Verdict

ENTHUSIUM (7) got the job done when edging out Aerodynamics last time out. He was building toward that win and only rises 1lbs for the win under the ratings band of this event. He's a winner at this trip previously and it's hard to think he's hit his ceiling just yet. Can repeat the dose today. AERODYNAMICS (2) won well two back before being edged out narrowly in a photo finish under Purton last time out, coming back to 1 ?m today. That may be a slight niggle, but with his early speed, he'll be able to hold a forward position. He can get back to winning ways. LO RIDER (3) is better than he showed last start and can improve getting out in trip today. He is a winner at this distance previously and coming back in grade looks a big tick for him. Ear muffs come off, Moreira sticks and he can turn his recent form around. JOY OF SPRING (1) is better than he showed last start and can bounce back returning to this distance.

numberFire Picks

Horse Stats

#/Silk	Horse#/Horse	Power Rating	High Speed	Win %	Top 3%	Win Prob	Odds
7	Form hard to fault. Most recently won by a nose at this track May 3 over 1 ¼m on a soft track defeating Aerodynamics with 123lbs at $6.20. The race before that came from midfield, 3rd of 11 at this track on April 6 over 1 ¼m, 1.0 len behind Aerodynamics with 123lbs at $14. Key chance expected to feature. 1st Pick 7 Enthusium Jockey: Andrea Atzeni Trainer: John Size J: Andrea Atzeni T: John Size	122	-	-	-	29%	5/2
Analysis Form hard to fault. Most recently won by a nose at this track May 3 over 1 ¼m on a soft track defeating Aerodynamics with 123lbs at $6.20. The race before that came from midfield, 3rd of 11 at this track on April 6 over 1 ¼m, 1.0 len behind Aerodynamics with 123lbs at $14. Key chance expected to feature.
2	Racing well recently. At the latest run 2nd of 11 at this track on May 3 over 1 ¼m, slow going nose behind Enthusium carrying 134lbs at $6. The run before that won by 0.8 len at this track April 6 over 1 ¼m defeating Liveandletlive carrying 129lbs at $7.50. Expected to be very competitive. 2nd Pick 2 Aerodynamics Jockey: Zac Purton Trainer: Mark Newnham J: Zac Purton T: Mark Newnham	137	-	-	-	10%	9/1
Analysis Racing well recently. At the latest run 2nd of 11 at this track on May 3 over 1 ¼m, slow going nose behind Enthusium carrying 134lbs at $6. The run before that won by 0.8 len at this track April 6 over 1 ¼m defeating Liveandletlive carrying 129lbs at $7.50. Expected to be very competitive.
3	Third-up today and won third-up previously. Resuming settled back and ran on when 8th of 10 at this track on April 6 over 7f, 3.5 len behind Mugen carrying 123lbs at $56. Second run from a spell with blinkers first time, 7th of 11 at Happy Valley on May 13 over 1 m, 4 len behind Packing Angel with 118lbs at $5.90. Terrific chance to return to form. 3rd Pick 3 Lo Rider Jockey: Joao Moreira Trainer: Caspar Fownes J: Joao Moreira T: Caspar Fownes	116	-	-	-	7%	15/1
Analysis Third-up today and won third-up previously. Resuming settled back and ran on when 8th of 10 at this track on April 6 over 7f, 3.5 len behind Mugen carrying 123lbs at $56. Second run from a spell with blinkers first time, 7th of 11 at Happy Valley on May 13 over 1 m, 4 len behind Packing Angel with 118lbs at $5.90. Terrific chance to return to form.

Upcoming Races

Horse Racing Basic Terms

Main Track Only

A horse entered for main track only (MTO) is one hoping the weather forecast or track conditions will move the race off the turf course and onto the main track. They are scratched the morning of the race if the conditions stay dry.

Apprentice

A new jockey who has not ridden a certain number of winners in a specified time period.

Objection

Claim of foul lodged by a jockey for perceived dangerous or illegal riding by a rival.