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8:05 AM

Hong Kong Sha Tin - Race 7

Thoroughbred
12 Runners
6f
Restricted
Synthetic
GOOD
150.3K

All race stats and comments are provided by numberfire. Complex algorithms are used to calculate stats like the power rating. Numberfire picks are provided by horse racing experts that work with numberfire.

Verdict

STAR FIGURE (7) just missed first-up before getting back last time out and never featuring when a $3.40 chance. McDonald sticks with him today and he comes onto the All Weather for the first time. Likely to get back in the run but he'll be strong late and his first-up effort says he can land the knockout blow. JOLLY COMPANION (10) has won a trial since his latest effort over this course and distance 38 days ago. Guyon replaces the apprentice hoop today and his best form has come under this scenario. Maps nicely and can feature in the finish once again. NOTTHESILLYONE (11) is racing in good order, leading throughout when back in C5 last start and holding on for a narrow win. Back up to C4 now, but he was racing well at this level prior, and at this track and trip. Can go back-to-back as he drops in weight. KA YING RESILIENCE (8) has impressed at the trials recently and looks set for a bold showing.
numberFire Picks
Horse Stats
#/SilkHorse#/HorsePower RatingHigh SpeedWin %Top 3%Win ProbOdds
7
Star Figure silk

Third-up today. Resuming 2nd of 12 at Happy Valley on October 22 over 6f, neck behind King Oberon carrying 128lbs at $6.60. Last start 5th of 12 at Happy Valley on November 12 over 6f, 2.25 len behind Team Team Folks with 127lbs at $3.40. Has ability and is one of the leading chances.

1st Pick
7

Star Figure

Jockey: James Mcdonald

Trainer: Jamie Richards

J: James Mcdonald

T: Jamie Richards

98---19%9/2

Analysis

Third-up today. Resuming 2nd of 12 at Happy Valley on October 22 over 6f, neck behind King Oberon carrying 128lbs at $6.60. Last start 5th of 12 at Happy Valley on November 12 over 6f, 2.25 len behind Team Team Folks with 127lbs at $3.40. Has ability and is one of the leading chances.

10
Jolly Companion silk

Form hard to fault. Returns from a 38-day let-up. Last start 4th of 12 at this track on October 30 over 6f, 0.5 len behind Hinokami Kagura carrying 115lbs at $8. The start before that ran on from midfield, 3rd of 12 at Happy Valley on October 15 over 6f, 1.5 len behind Dancing Classics with 122lbs at $4.70. Winning chance.

2nd Pick
10

Jolly Companion

Jockey: Maxime Guyon

Trainer: Manfred Man

J: Maxime Guyon

T: Manfred Man

94---17%5/1

Analysis

Form hard to fault. Returns from a 38-day let-up. Last start 4th of 12 at this track on October 30 over 6f, 0.5 len behind Hinokami Kagura carrying 115lbs at $8. The start before that ran on from midfield, 3rd of 12 at Happy Valley on October 15 over 6f, 1.5 len behind Dancing Classics with 122lbs at $4.70. Winning chance.

11
Notthesillyone silk

Recent form sound. Returns from a 38-day let-up. At the latest run won by a nose at this track October 30 over 6f defeating Cheer For South with 134lbs at $5.90. Before that 4th of 12 at this track on October 12 over 6f, 5 len behind Daily Trophy carrying 120lbs at $2.70. Will give a great sight again.

3rd Pick
11

Notthesillyone

Jockey: Luke Ferraris

Trainer: Mark Newnham

J: Luke Ferraris

T: Mark Newnham

86---15%6/1

Analysis

Recent form sound. Returns from a 38-day let-up. At the latest run won by a nose at this track October 30 over 6f defeating Cheer For South with 134lbs at $5.90. Before that 4th of 12 at this track on October 12 over 6f, 5 len behind Daily Trophy carrying 120lbs at $2.70. Will give a great sight again.

Horse Racing Basic Terms

Minus Pool

A pari-mutuel pool – typically a show pool - where one horse is so heavily bet that after deductions there is not enough money left to cover the prescribed minimum on each bet.

State-Bred

A horse bred in a particular state and thus eligible to race in restricted state-bred races. These can be anything from maiden races to stakes events.

Stakes Race

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