Hong Kong Sha Tin - Race 7

Thoroughbred

14 Runners

Restricted

Turf

149.2K

VIEW

R10

Verdict

STORM MIRROR (5) has looked likely all 3 starts and is close to breaking through after a strong initial prep here. Two recent impressive trials, including one under Purton, suggest he has returned in excellent order and he gets his chance to take this out. ACE (3) draws the pole position and should enjoy a soft run just behind the speed. His form improved noticeably after joining Mark Newnham last season, winning twice from 5 starts, and he looks capable of taking another step forward this season. MEGA MASTERMIND (2) should roll forward and attempt to dictate from the front. His latest trial was sharp and he can give them plenty to peg back. TOP TO SKY (13) ended last season with back-to-back wins after the blinkers went on. The class rise is the test, but the light weight and good gate give him every chance to figure right in the finish. ETALON OR (1) resumes after a lengthy break and has won first-up previously at this track. He is a must for wider plays, so watch the market moves.

numberFire Picks

Horse Stats

#/Silk	Horse#/Horse	Power Rating	High Speed	Win %	Top 3%	Win Prob	Odds
5	Resuming after a 11 weeks break. Finished off last preparation second of 12 at this track July 1 over 6f, 1.0 len behind Silver Spurs carrying 128lbs at $3.20. On debut with blinkers first time, seventh of 14 at this track May 9 over 5f, 3 len behind Oneshot with 125lbs at $4.40. Will prove hard to beat. 1st Pick 5 Storm Mirror Jockey: Zac Purton Trainer: Pierre Ng J: Zac Purton T: Pierre Ng	111	-	-	-	23%	7/2
Analysis Resuming after a 11 weeks break. Finished off last preparation second of 12 at this track July 1 over 6f, 1.0 len behind Silver Spurs carrying 128lbs at $3.20. On debut with blinkers first time, seventh of 14 at this track May 9 over 5f, 3 len behind Oneshot with 125lbs at $4.40. Will prove hard to beat.
3	Resumes. Finished off last preparation tenth of 14 at this track July 1 over 1m, 4 len behind Jolly Brilliant carrying 128lbs at $8.40. When resuming last campaign fifth of 14 at this track December 20 over 7f, 2.5 len behind Nyx Gluck with 122lbs at $52. Worth keeping in mind from the inside gate. 2nd Pick 3 Ace Jockey: Jerry Chau Trainer: Mark Newnham J: Jerry Chau T: Mark Newnham	98	-	-	-	13%	7/1
Analysis Resumes. Finished off last preparation tenth of 14 at this track July 1 over 1m, 4 len behind Jolly Brilliant carrying 128lbs at $8.40. When resuming last campaign fifth of 14 at this track December 20 over 7f, 2.5 len behind Nyx Gluck with 122lbs at $52. Worth keeping in mind from the inside gate.
2	Resuming after a 11 weeks break. Finished off last preparation ninth of 14 at this track July 1 over 1m, 4 len behind Jolly Brilliant carrying 132lbs at $15. On debut seventh of 12 at this track December 20 over 6f, 5 len behind Glaciated with 129lbs at $17. Can measure up. 3rd Pick 2 Mega Mastermind Jockey: Luke Ferraris Trainer: Jamie Richards J: Luke Ferraris T: Jamie Richards	92	-	-	-	7%	15/1
Analysis Resuming after a 11 weeks break. Finished off last preparation ninth of 14 at this track July 1 over 1m, 4 len behind Jolly Brilliant carrying 132lbs at $15. On debut seventh of 12 at this track December 20 over 6f, 5 len behind Glaciated with 129lbs at $17. Can measure up.

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Horse Racing Basic Terms

Furlong

One furlong is an eighth of a mile.

Paddock

The area where horses gather before the race to be saddled and paraded for the public.

Track Bias

The term used to identify which parts of the track or running styles are producing more winners.