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1:45 PM

Hong Kong Sha Tin - Race 7

Thoroughbred
12 Runners
6f
Restricted
Synthetic
GOOD
149.5K

All race stats and comments are provided by numberfire. Complex algorithms are used to calculate stats like the power rating. Numberfire picks are provided by horse racing experts that work with numberfire.

Verdict

GOOD CHAP (6) remained unbeaten over this course and distance last start with a strong 1.3L victory as the race favourite. The form out of the race has stacked up nicely and this shapes similarly to his latest effort. Up in weight, but he's gone to a new level his past couple and he can bring up the hat-trick. MALPENSA (10) led them up on the turf course last start after rolling across from out wide. Pacifiers go on today as he goes onto the AW for the first time, but he has trialled well on this surface. Will need a touch of luck from the gate, but he's right in this on his recent form. CONRAD THE GREAT (11) improved nicely last start to finish behind Good Chap when sitting close to the speed, beaten 1.3L. He meets that runner much better at the weights today and the better draw is a big tick. Can feature in the finish once again. WOLF COMING (3) gets Purton in the saddle today as he goes onto the AW for the first time. Has trialled swiftly on the AW previously. Don't discount.
numberFire Picks
Horse Stats
#/SilkHorse#/HorsePower RatingHigh SpeedWin %Top 3%Win ProbOdds
6
Good Chap silk

Chasing a hat-trick. Most recently favourite, ran on from midfield and won by 1.3 len at this track March 8 over 6f defeating Conrad The Great with 125lbs at $2.60. The run before that favourite, came from midfield and won by a neck at this track February 8 over 6f defeating Speedy Smartie carrying 118lbs at $25. In great form and should be right in the thick of things again.

1st Pick
6

Good Chap

Jockey: Andrea Atzeni

Trainer: David Hall

J: Andrea Atzeni

T: David Hall

139---29%5/2

Analysis

Chasing a hat-trick. Most recently favourite, ran on from midfield and won by 1.3 len at this track March 8 over 6f defeating Conrad The Great with 125lbs at $2.60. The run before that favourite, came from midfield and won by a neck at this track February 8 over 6f defeating Speedy Smartie carrying 118lbs at $25. In great form and should be right in the thick of things again.

10
Malpensa silk

Last start did the work up front then tired 5th of 12 at Sha Tin on March 15 over 6f, 0.5 len behind Call Me Sparkle with 127lbs at $5.90. The start before that 2nd of 12 at Sha Tin on February 8 over 6f, 0.8 len behind Island Buddy carrying 130lbs at $8.20. Will take plenty of beating.

2nd Pick
10

Malpensa

Jockey: James Orman

Trainer: W Y So

J: James Orman

T: W Y So

109---10%10/1

Analysis

Last start did the work up front then tired 5th of 12 at Sha Tin on March 15 over 6f, 0.5 len behind Call Me Sparkle with 127lbs at $5.90. The start before that 2nd of 12 at Sha Tin on February 8 over 6f, 0.8 len behind Island Buddy carrying 130lbs at $8.20. Will take plenty of beating.

11
Conrad The Great silk

Last start sat on the speed and boxed on steadily 2nd of 12 at this track on March 8 over 6f, 1.3 len behind Good Chap carrying 119lbs at $16. Before that 5th of 12 at this track on January 21 over 6f, 3 len behind Vulcanus carrying 120lbs at $35. Expected in the finish.

3rd Pick
11

Conrad The Great

Jockey: Richard Kingscote

Trainer: D Whyte

J: Richard Kingscote

T: D Whyte

58---15%6/1

Analysis

Last start sat on the speed and boxed on steadily 2nd of 12 at this track on March 8 over 6f, 1.3 len behind Good Chap carrying 119lbs at $16. Before that 5th of 12 at this track on January 21 over 6f, 3 len behind Vulcanus carrying 120lbs at $35. Expected in the finish.

Horse Racing Basic Terms

Apprentice

A new jockey who has not ridden a certain number of winners in a specified time period.

Morning Line

An approximation of expected odds in a race, quoted before actual odds are determined.

Filly

A female horse that is four years of age or under.