Hong Kong Sha Tin - Race 7

Thoroughbred

14 Runners

Restricted

Turf

GOOD

150.3K

VIEW

R10

R11

Verdict

ENDUED (1) was a new acquisition for the John Size stable last start when he only got clear room late before rushing home to finish second over 7f at this track at his first run back from a spell. With some better luck, he can go one better. RISING PHOENIX (4) came from well back on the bend to score last time out over 7f at this track. He drops in class for this and is expected to be there at the business end. THE GOLDEN KNIGHT (6) has yet to break through after five starts. Placed two back then, last time out was an unlucky fifth, beaten 2 lengths, over 1m at this track. He is good enough to take this out. ETALON OR (2) finished third last start over 7f at this track, beaten 1.5 lengths. The engagement of Alex Badel is a positive move, and he has been holding his form well since winning 3 starts back. Stick with him.

numberFire Picks

Horse Stats

#/Silk	Horse#/Horse	Power Rating	High Speed	Win %	Top 3%	Win Prob	Odds
1	Second-up. First-up after five months 2nd of 14 at this track on December 14 over 7f, 0.8 len behind Rising Phoenix with 132lbs at $5.30. Previously second-up 10th of 12 at this track on December 15 2024 over 6f, 48 len behind Swift Ascend carrying 122lbs at $22. Fitter and is a leading contender. 1st Pick 1 Endued Jockey: Maxime Guyon Trainer: John Size J: Maxime Guyon T: John Size	145	-	-	-	25%	3/1
Analysis Second-up. First-up after five months 2nd of 14 at this track on December 14 over 7f, 0.8 len behind Rising Phoenix with 132lbs at $5.30. Previously second-up 10th of 12 at this track on December 15 2024 over 6f, 48 len behind Swift Ascend carrying 122lbs at $22. Fitter and is a leading contender.
4	Most recently came from midfield and won by 0.8 len at this track December 14 over 7f defeating Endued carrying 122lbs at $6.20. The race before that from last on the turn 9th of 12 at Happy Valley on November 26 over 6f, 3 len behind Meowth with 126lbs at $12. Bold showing expected again. 2nd Pick 4 Rising Phoenix Jockey: Zac Purton Trainer: David Hall J: Zac Purton T: David Hall	132	-	-	-	12%	8/1
Analysis Most recently came from midfield and won by 0.8 len at this track December 14 over 7f defeating Endued carrying 122lbs at $6.20. The race before that from last on the turn 9th of 12 at Happy Valley on November 26 over 6f, 3 len behind Meowth with 126lbs at $12. Bold showing expected again.
6	Comes here off a 32-day let-up. Most recently 5th of 14 at this track on November 30 over 1m, 2 len behind Audacious Pursuit with 129lbs at $6.90. The run before that 2nd of 14 at this track on November 15 over 7f, 1.3 len behind Bucephalas carrying 128lbs at $4.50. Should be nice and fit fourth up and can get the win here. 3rd Pick 6 The Golden Knight Jockey: Hugh Bowman Trainer: K W Lui J: Hugh Bowman T: K W Lui	88	-	-	-	25%	3/1
Analysis Comes here off a 32-day let-up. Most recently 5th of 14 at this track on November 30 over 1m, 2 len behind Audacious Pursuit with 129lbs at $6.90. The run before that 2nd of 14 at this track on November 15 over 7f, 1.3 len behind Bucephalas carrying 128lbs at $4.50. Should be nice and fit fourth up and can get the win here.

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Horse Racing Basic Terms

Silks

The colorful jacket and cap worn by a jockey which features the design of the owner.

Breeder

The owner of a horse’s dam – or mother - at the time a horse is foaled.

Minus Pool

A pari-mutuel pool – typically a show pool - where one horse is so heavily bet that after deductions there is not enough money left to cover the prescribed minimum on each bet.