Hong Kong Sha Tin - Race 7

Thoroughbred

14 Runners

Restricted

Turf

GOOD

237.2K

VIEW

R10

R11

Verdict

STORM MIRROR (7) has the most compelling winning profile after consecutive C4 wins at this track, the latest by just under three lengths as favourite. The rise to C3 doesn't look an issue with his profile, and he can continue his winning ways. TITAN PEGASUS (3) was beaten only a length and a half when fifth at this venue first-up, and that effort had merit after he was held up early in the straight. He's trialled well since that at Conghua and maps for a lovely run in transit. Can make his presence felt in what looks a suitable race. CHIU CHOW SPIRIT (5) is a seasoned 7f performer who has placed at both runs this campaign, most recently beaten a neck by Celestial Hero. He can strike third-up and with some luck in running, he'll be flying down the outside late in the race. TAGLINE (2) resumes after ten months but brings high-grade Australian form, including a 2nd to Sheza Alibi before the break. Looks ready for a strong showing first-up.

numberFire Picks

Horse Stats

#/Silk	Horse#/Horse	Power Rating	High Speed	Win %	Top 3%	Win Prob	Odds
7	Arrives in peak form after two Class 4 wins at this track, most recently leading and clearing out by just under three lengths as favourite from Prestige Come. He had also beaten Tin Fook by just under two lengths the start prior, so the current form line is strong. Class rise is the test, but his track-and-distance profile is strong. 1st Pick 7 Storm Mirror Jockey: Vincent Ho Trainer: Pierre Ng J: Vincent Ho T: Pierre Ng	123	-	-	-	29%	5/2
Analysis Arrives in peak form after two Class 4 wins at this track, most recently leading and clearing out by just under three lengths as favourite from Prestige Come. He had also beaten Tin Fook by just under two lengths the start prior, so the current form line is strong. Class rise is the test, but his track-and-distance profile is strong.
3	Resumed with a better run than fifth suggests, beaten a length and a half at this track after being bumped and then held up early in the straight before making ground. He had earlier run third behind Perfectday at this venue, closing well from the rear at big odds. With the 2lbs claim and cleaner running, he has a strong winning case. 2nd Pick 3 Titan Pegasus Jockey: Jerry Chau Trainer: David Eustace J: Jerry Chau T: David Eustace	113	-	-	-	25%	3/1
Analysis Resumed with a better run than fifth suggests, beaten a length and a half at this track after being bumped and then held up early in the straight before making ground. He had earlier run third behind Perfectday at this venue, closing well from the rear at big odds. With the 2lbs claim and cleaner running, he has a strong winning case.
5	Has returned in fine order with two thirds at this track, most recently beaten a neck by Celestial Hero after finishing off strongly. The start prior was another solid closing effort when beaten just under two lengths by Nyx Gluck. Proven at this track and distance, with Alex Badel a major plus. 3rd Pick 5 Chiu Chow Spirit Jockey: Alex Badel Trainer: Manfred Man J: Alex Badel T: Manfred Man	131	-	-	-	12%	8/1
Analysis Has returned in fine order with two thirds at this track, most recently beaten a neck by Celestial Hero after finishing off strongly. The start prior was another solid closing effort when beaten just under two lengths by Nyx Gluck. Proven at this track and distance, with Alex Badel a major plus.

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Horse Racing Basic Terms

Handicap

A race where a handicapper has assigned weights to be carried by all runners on the basis of their past racing efforts.

Dead Heat

Two or more horses finishing so close at the wire, that they were unable to be separated on a photo finish and deemed to have tied.

Synthetic Surface

A racing surface comprised of silica sand and fibers, such as recycled carpet or spandex. The mixture is then sealed with wax.