Hong Kong Sha Tin - Race 7

Thoroughbred

14 Runners

Restricted

Turf

GOOD

149.4K

VIEW

R10

R11

Verdict

SHOTGUN (9) led them up at this track and trip a fortnight ago when winning by 1.8L as the race favourite. Purton now hops on board from a better barrier in a race that looks to set up favourably. Can take up the running again and repeat the dose. JUST FOLLOW ME (11) has his hoof on the till, missing by a head over this course and distance 28 days ago. Teetan remains in the saddle and he's drawn well yet again. Building nicely and this presents as a winnable race. FORZA TORO (3) was 2.5L off the winner at the mile last time out, but he has raced well at this track and trip previously. Looks set up for this with Moreira hopping on board now and he can make his presence felt. SUPER DRAGON (10) has trialled nicely since his latest run when a beaten favourite and can put his best foot forward.

numberFire Picks

Horse Stats

#/Silk	Horse#/Horse	Power Rating	High Speed	Win %	Top 3%	Win Prob	Odds
9	Racing well recently. Last start favourite, won by 1.75 len at this track March 29 over 7f defeating Invictus Dragon carrying 119lbs at $2.70. The race before that set the pace for much of the race 2nd of 14 at this track on February 22 over 7f, 2 len behind Aerovolanic carrying 116lbs at $5.20. Will give a great sight again. 1st Pick 9 Shotgun Jockey: Zac Purton Trainer: David Hall J: Zac Purton T: David Hall	135	-	-	-	29%	5/2
Analysis Racing well recently. Last start favourite, won by 1.75 len at this track March 29 over 7f defeating Invictus Dragon carrying 119lbs at $2.70. The race before that set the pace for much of the race 2nd of 14 at this track on February 22 over 7f, 2 len behind Aerovolanic carrying 116lbs at $5.20. Will give a great sight again.
11	At the latest run ran on from midfield, 2nd of 14 at this track on March 15 over 7f, head behind Endeared with 121lbs at $6. The start before that ran on from midfield, 2nd of 14 at this track on February 19 over 7f, 1.3 len behind Aeroinvincible carrying 120lbs at $6.20. Tough to beat. 2nd Pick 11 Just Follow Me Jockey: Karis Teetan Trainer: B Crawford J: Karis Teetan T: B Crawford	119	-	-	-	19%	9/2
Analysis At the latest run ran on from midfield, 2nd of 14 at this track on March 15 over 7f, head behind Endeared with 121lbs at $6. The start before that ran on from midfield, 2nd of 14 at this track on February 19 over 7f, 1.3 len behind Aeroinvincible carrying 120lbs at $6.20. Tough to beat.
3	Most recently 6th of 14 at this track on March 22 over 1m, 2.5 len behind Mega Mastermind carrying 134lbs at $3.60. The start before that sat on the speed and boxed on steadily 3rd of 12 at Happy Valley on February 4 over 1 m, 1.3 len behind Stormi with 128lbs at $2.50. Better placed and expected to go well. 3rd Pick 3 Forza Toro Jockey: Joao Moreira Trainer: Caspar Fownes J: Joao Moreira T: Caspar Fownes	145	-	-	-	29%	5/2
Analysis Most recently 6th of 14 at this track on March 22 over 1m, 2.5 len behind Mega Mastermind carrying 134lbs at $3.60. The start before that sat on the speed and boxed on steadily 3rd of 12 at Happy Valley on February 4 over 1 m, 1.3 len behind Stormi with 128lbs at $2.50. Better placed and expected to go well.

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Horse Racing Basic Terms

Trifecta

A wager picking the first, second and third horses in the exact order. A trifecta box means paying more to ensure the horses can finish in any order in the top three spots.

Breeder

The owner of a horse’s dam – or mother - at the time a horse is foaled.

Morning Line

An approximation of expected odds in a race, quoted before actual odds are determined.