Hong Kong Sha Tin - Race 7

Thoroughbred

10 Runners

Unknown

Turf

GOOD

535.9K

VIEW

R10

R11

Verdict

WINNING OVATION (9) bolted in at this track and trip two back before jumping an odds-on pop in this grade last time out, beaten just 0.5L in a tight finish. Back to 7f today may hold the key and he has enough speed to cross from the barrier. Back to his preferred track and trip can see him get back to winning ways. LITTLE PARADISE (6) was racing well at this track and trip before winning the 4YO Classic Mile en route to the Derby. Outclassed in G1 company at his last start but back to 7f is a big tick with Purton reuniting. His recent trial was good and he looks beautifully placed in this event. RAGING BLIZZARD (2) just missed in the Sha Tin Vase over 6f and now stretches to 7f. Out to this trip for just the second time, but his recent form is very strong for a race like this. Drawn well and can feature. SIX PACK (10) profiles nicely for a race like this down in the weights and he can make his presence felt.

numberFire Picks

Horse Stats

#/Silk	Horse#/Horse	Power Rating	High Speed	Win %	Top 3%	Win Prob	Odds
9	Most recently tracked the speed and boxed on steadily 5th of 9 at this track in the G3 Lion Rock Trophy on May 31 over 1m, 0.5 len behind Light Years Charm carrying 123lbs at $1.90. The race before that favourite, tracked the speed and boxed on steadily, won by 1.75 len at this track April 26 over 7f defeating Six Pack with 122lbs at $4. Key runner who is a great chance to atone. 1st Pick 9 Winning Ovation Jockey: Joao Moreira Trainer: A S Cruz J: Joao Moreira T: A S Cruz	141	-	-	-	34%	2/1
Analysis Most recently tracked the speed and boxed on steadily 5th of 9 at this track in the G3 Lion Rock Trophy on May 31 over 1m, 0.5 len behind Light Years Charm carrying 123lbs at $1.90. The race before that favourite, tracked the speed and boxed on steadily, won by 1.75 len at this track April 26 over 7f defeating Six Pack with 122lbs at $4. Key runner who is a great chance to atone.
6	Returns from a 56-day let-up. Last start 10th of 14 at this track in the G1 Champions Mile on April 26 over 1m, 4.5 len behind My Wish carrying 126lbs at $7.10. The start before that 9th of 14 at this track Hong Kong Derby on March 22 over 1 ¼m, 5 len behind Invincible Ibis carrying 126lbs at $3.80. Expected to atone. 2nd Pick 6 Little Paradise Jockey: Zac Purton Trainer: K H Ting J: Zac Purton T: K H Ting	128	-	-	-	29%	5/2
Analysis Returns from a 56-day let-up. Last start 10th of 14 at this track in the G1 Champions Mile on April 26 over 1m, 4.5 len behind My Wish carrying 126lbs at $7.10. The start before that 9th of 14 at this track Hong Kong Derby on March 22 over 1 ¼m, 5 len behind Invincible Ibis carrying 126lbs at $3.80. Expected to atone.
2	Racing well recently. Most recently made significant ground from the rear of the field 2nd of 10 at this track in the G3 Sha Tin Vase on May 31 over 6f, nose behind Patch Of Stars with 134lbs at $10. The start before that 3rd of 8 at this track in the G1 Chairman's Sprint Prize on April 26 over 6f, 5 len behind Ka Ying Rising carrying 126lbs at $345. Hard to fault and can go on with it. 3rd Pick 2 Raging Blizzard Jockey: Brenton Avdulla Trainer: John Size J: Brenton Avdulla T: John Size	128	-	-	-	19%	9/2
Analysis Racing well recently. Most recently made significant ground from the rear of the field 2nd of 10 at this track in the G3 Sha Tin Vase on May 31 over 6f, nose behind Patch Of Stars with 134lbs at $10. The start before that 3rd of 8 at this track in the G1 Chairman's Sprint Prize on April 26 over 6f, 5 len behind Ka Ying Rising carrying 126lbs at $345. Hard to fault and can go on with it.

Upcoming Races

Horse Racing Basic Terms

Bullet

A bullet, or bullet workout, is a workout that was clocked as the best time for a certain distance on a given day.

Sloppy

A wet racetrack condition, typically with a firm base and water settling on top.

Main Track Only

A horse entered for main track only (MTO) is one hoping the weather forecast or track conditions will move the race off the turf course and onto the main track. They are scratched the morning of the race if the conditions stay dry.