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8:05 AM

Hong Kong Sha Tin - Race 7

Thoroughbred
14 Runners
8f
Restricted
Turf
GOOD
150.4K

All race stats and comments are provided by numberfire. Complex algorithms are used to calculate stats like the power rating. Numberfire picks are provided by horse racing experts that work with numberfire.

Verdict

FIT FOR BEAUTY (2) won well two back before ending up too far back most recently, closing off strongly to be 0.8L away at the finish. McDonald remains in the saddle and the rise to the mile now looks ideal. Can lob into a midfield position and go to the next level. GLORIOUS SUCCESS (4) was just fair here last start when jumping a $4.80 chance after sitting wide throughout. He's been back to the trials since where he was just fair, though he is open to improvement third-up into the campaign. Teetan rides now and if he can get back to his best figures, he'll be right in the finish. SMART FAT CAT (7) just missed in a photo finish over this course and distance 20 days ago when finishing off strongly from midfield. Purton remains in the saddle and this looks to shape similarly. Inching toward his maiden win and has to be included. AUDACIOUS PURSUIT (3) got the better of Smart Fat Cat last start and that form looks strong for this event.
numberFire Picks
Horse Stats
#/SilkHorse#/HorsePower RatingHigh SpeedWin %Top 3%Win ProbOdds
2
Fit For Beauty silk

Form hard to fault. At the latest run 2nd of 14 at this track on December 7 over 7f, 0.8 len behind With A Smile with 133lbs at $2.60. The run before that favourite, ran on from midfield and won by 1.0 len at this track November 23 over 7f defeating Lucky Man with 126lbs at $3.50. Went close last time. Sure to measure up here.

1st Pick
2

Fit For Beauty

Jockey: James Mcdonald

Trainer: John Size

J: James Mcdonald

T: John Size

162---34%2/1

Analysis

Form hard to fault. At the latest run 2nd of 14 at this track on December 7 over 7f, 0.8 len behind With A Smile with 133lbs at $2.60. The run before that favourite, ran on from midfield and won by 1.0 len at this track November 23 over 7f defeating Lucky Man with 126lbs at $3.50. Went close last time. Sure to measure up here.

4
Glorious Success silk

Gelding back from a spell of ten weeks. Has placed previously first up from a break. Finished off last campaign fifth of 14 at this track October 12 over 1m, 4.5 len behind Bull Attitude carrying 134lbs at $4.80. Previously first up, fourth of 12 at Sha Tin All Weather September 21 over 1 m, 6 len behind Mojave Desert with 120lbs at $10. Expect a forward showing.

2nd Pick
4

Glorious Success

Jockey: Karis Teetan

Trainer: David Eustace

J: Karis Teetan

T: David Eustace

68---8%12/1

Analysis

Gelding back from a spell of ten weeks. Has placed previously first up from a break. Finished off last campaign fifth of 14 at this track October 12 over 1m, 4.5 len behind Bull Attitude carrying 134lbs at $4.80. Previously first up, fourth of 12 at Sha Tin All Weather September 21 over 1 m, 6 len behind Mojave Desert with 120lbs at $10. Expect a forward showing.

7
Smart Fat Cat silk

Most recently made ground from midfield, 2nd of 14 at this track on November 30 over 1m, nose behind Audacious Pursuit with 126lbs at $6.10. The race before that eased back early on 7th of 14 at this track on November 9 over 7f, 1.5 len behind Super Love carrying 123lbs at $10. Further improvement expected.

3rd Pick
7

Smart Fat Cat

Jockey: Zac Purton

Trainer: W K Mo

J: Zac Purton

T: W K Mo

107---23%7/2

Analysis

Most recently made ground from midfield, 2nd of 14 at this track on November 30 over 1m, nose behind Audacious Pursuit with 126lbs at $6.10. The race before that eased back early on 7th of 14 at this track on November 9 over 7f, 1.5 len behind Super Love carrying 123lbs at $10. Further improvement expected.

Horse Racing Basic Terms

Bullet

A bullet, or bullet workout, is a workout that was clocked as the best time for a certain distance on a given day.

Exercise Rider

A rider built much like a jockey but is employed for exercising and working out horses in the morning.

Yielding

A rain-soaked turf condition often producing a slick or heavy course and slower finish times.