Hong Kong Sha Tin - Race 7

Thoroughbred

14 Runners

Restricted

Turf

GOOD FIRM

149.2K

VIEW

R10

R11

Verdict

PACKING FIGHTER (3) jumped the odds-on favourite here last time out and was caught late in the race, beaten 0.3L. Purton remains on board and while he has drawn wide again, his last start figure is among the best in this field. Can roll across again and go one better. SMART FAT CAT (10) was just fair over 1 ?m last start when he jumped the race favourite and finished 4.3L off the winner. Back to the mile is no issue, having raced well here three starts ago. Should get every chance from the draw and can make a statement. POLAR PATCH (9) steps up to the mile for the first time and that seems to be a big tick for these progeny of Tagaloa. Chau sticks, he maps for a kind run and should get his chance if good enough. SO YOU WILL (2) comes back in grade today and makes plenty of appeal for the successful Moreira and Fownes combo.

numberFire Picks

Horse Stats

#/Silk	Horse#/Horse	Power Rating	High Speed	Win %	Top 3%	Win Prob	Odds
3	At the latest run crossed from a wide gate to lead but couldn't hold on when 2nd of 14 at this track on June 21 over 1m, neck behind Flying Knight carrying 134lbs at $1.80. The race before that 5th of 14 at this track on May 17 over 1m, 4 len behind Romantic Fantasy carrying 134lbs at $2.90. Shapes as one of the key chances. 1st Pick 3 Packing Fighter Jockey: Zac Purton Trainer: Danny Shum J: Zac Purton T: Danny Shum	142	-	-	-	29%	5/2
Analysis At the latest run crossed from a wide gate to lead but couldn't hold on when 2nd of 14 at this track on June 21 over 1m, neck behind Flying Knight carrying 134lbs at $1.80. The race before that 5th of 14 at this track on May 17 over 1m, 4 len behind Romantic Fantasy carrying 134lbs at $2.90. Shapes as one of the key chances.
10	Third-up today and placed third-up in the past. First-up made some head-way from midfield, 2nd of 14 at this track on June 13 over 1m, neck behind Forever Folks carrying 123lbs at $3.70. Second run from a spell made some head-way from midfield, 4th of 14 at this track on July 4 over 1m, 6 len behind Victor Supreme carrying 122lbs at $3.40. Rates highly and should prove hard to beat. 2nd Pick 10 Smart Fat Cat Jockey: Alex Badel Trainer: W K Mo J: Alex Badel T: W K Mo	101	-	-	-	23%	7/2
Analysis Third-up today and placed third-up in the past. First-up made some head-way from midfield, 2nd of 14 at this track on June 13 over 1m, neck behind Forever Folks carrying 123lbs at $3.70. Second run from a spell made some head-way from midfield, 4th of 14 at this track on July 4 over 1m, 6 len behind Victor Supreme carrying 122lbs at $3.40. Rates highly and should prove hard to beat.
9	Form hard to fault. Returns from a 29-day let-up. At the latest run tracked the speed and boxed on steadily 4th of 14 at this track on June 13 over 7f, 2.75 len behind Meaningful Dragon with 122lbs at $12. Before that 3rd of 14 at this track on June 7 over 7f, 3 len behind Honorary with 127lbs at $8.40. Should hold the form and he appeals as one of the hardest to beat. 3rd Pick 9 Polar Patch Jockey: Jerry Chau Trainer: Mark Newnham J: Jerry Chau T: Mark Newnham	86	-	-	-	10%	9/1
Analysis Form hard to fault. Returns from a 29-day let-up. At the latest run tracked the speed and boxed on steadily 4th of 14 at this track on June 13 over 7f, 2.75 len behind Meaningful Dragon with 122lbs at $12. Before that 3rd of 14 at this track on June 7 over 7f, 3 len behind Honorary with 127lbs at $8.40. Should hold the form and he appeals as one of the hardest to beat.

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