Hong Kong Sha Tin - Race 7

Thoroughbred

14 Runners

Restricted

Turf

GOOD

149.4K

VIEW

R10

R11

Verdict

RUN RUN SMART (1) disappointed two back but bounced back to form last time out, missing by just 0.3L at this track and trip. He's trialled well since then as well and the claim of Yuen comes in handy. Can roll froward from the wide draw and prove tough to run down. FORZA TORO (2) was rather plain two back before a better run last time out when being very slowly into stride. He was still slow to step at the trials, but got his ticket at his latest heat most recently. The start is the big query, but if things work out favourably, he showed last start he's right up to this. SOLID CAR (4) finished off strongly from the back of the pack to miss by 4.5L when resuming from a freshen over 6f. The rise in trip can see him sit a little closer in the run and with improvement on the cards, he can feature in the finish. NINJA DERBY (12) boasts a strong fresh record and is not to be discounted from a good draw.

numberFire Picks

Horse Stats

#/Silk	Horse#/Horse	Power Rating	High Speed	Win %	Top 3%	Win Prob	Odds
1	Returns from a 35-day let-up. Last start tried to lead throughout but was claimed late 3rd of 14 at this track on April 12 over 7f, neck behind Alabama Song with 125lbs at $8.20. The run before that ran last of 14 at this track on March 15 over 7f, 12 len behind Devas Twelve carrying 134lbs at $17. Made headway last time. Will take plenty of beating. 1st Pick 1 Run Run Smart Jockey: Nichola Yuen Trainer: F C Lor J: Nichola Yuen T: F C Lor	124	-	-	-	9%	11/1
Analysis Returns from a 35-day let-up. Last start tried to lead throughout but was claimed late 3rd of 14 at this track on April 12 over 7f, neck behind Alabama Song with 125lbs at $8.20. The run before that ran last of 14 at this track on March 15 over 7f, 12 len behind Devas Twelve carrying 134lbs at $17. Made headway last time. Will take plenty of beating.
2	Comes off a 35 day let-up. Most recently 2nd of 14 at this track on April 12 over 7f, head behind Alabama Song with 131lbs at $6.30. The race before that 6th of 14 at this track on March 22 over 1m, 2.5 len behind Mega Mastermind carrying 134lbs at $3.60. Genuine type who is among the leading hopes. 2nd Pick 2 Forza Toro Jockey: Joao Moreira Trainer: Caspar Fownes J: Joao Moreira T: Caspar Fownes	125	-	-	-	40%	3/2
Analysis Comes off a 35 day let-up. Most recently 2nd of 14 at this track on April 12 over 7f, head behind Alabama Song with 131lbs at $6.30. The race before that 6th of 14 at this track on March 22 over 1m, 2.5 len behind Mega Mastermind carrying 134lbs at $3.60. Genuine type who is among the leading hopes.
4	Second-up. First-up after two months 3rd of 14 at this track on April 26 over 6f, 4.5 len behind Mr Incredible with 127lbs at $6.80. Previously second-up 3rd of 14 at this track on January 18 over 6f, 2.75 len behind Hot Delight carrying 134lbs at $4.80. Fitter and worth following up. 3rd Pick 4 Solid Car Jockey: James Orman Trainer: David Hall J: James Orman T: David Hall	72	-	-	-	6%	18/1
Analysis Second-up. First-up after two months 3rd of 14 at this track on April 26 over 6f, 4.5 len behind Mr Incredible with 127lbs at $6.80. Previously second-up 3rd of 14 at this track on January 18 over 6f, 2.75 len behind Hot Delight carrying 134lbs at $4.80. Fitter and worth following up.

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Horse Racing Basic Terms

Overlay

A horse going off at higher odds than his recent efforts show that he deserves.

Trifecta

A wager picking the first, second and third horses in the exact order. A trifecta box means paying more to ensure the horses can finish in any order in the top three spots.

Paddock

The area where horses gather before the race to be saddled and paraded for the public.