Hong Kong Sha Tin - Race 6

Thoroughbred

14 Runners

Restricted

Turf

GOOD

149.3K

VIEW

R10

R11

Verdict

GORGEOUS VICTORY (11) stuck on well from midfield to finish 2.3L off the winner last time out at this track and trip when on the quick turnaround. Purton takes the ride now and his recent figures stack up in this field and he can notch up his maiden victory. PERIDOT (13) resumes from a short break but he has trialled three times since his latest effort where he was beaten as the favourite. Still looking for his maiden win, but he's shown positive signs his past couple and another forward showing is on the cards. POLAR PATCH (7) finished off well last time out from well back in the pack following a good performance at a massive price two starts back. Chau is on fire at the moment and he looks to be trending the right way. Can feature in the finish again. MEANINGFUL DRAGON (1) was too good on resumption when leading from a wide barrier and he should be better for that effort. Can build on that performance.

numberFire Picks

Horse Stats

#/Silk	Horse#/Horse	Power Rating	High Speed	Win %	Top 3%	Win Prob	Odds
11	Most recently came from midfield, 3rd of 14 at this track on May 31 over 7f, 2.25 len behind Joyful Joy carrying 120lbs at $7.70. The start before that 5th of 14 at this track on May 24 over 7f, 5 len behind Come Fast Fay Fay with 120lbs at $7.90. Should run well. 1st Pick 11 Gorgeous Victory Jockey: Zac Purton Trainer: Danny Shum J: Zac Purton T: Danny Shum	121	-	-	-	34%	2/1
Analysis Most recently came from midfield, 3rd of 14 at this track on May 31 over 7f, 2.25 len behind Joyful Joy carrying 120lbs at $7.70. The start before that 5th of 14 at this track on May 24 over 7f, 5 len behind Come Fast Fay Fay with 120lbs at $7.90. Should run well.
13	Gelding back from a spell of 11 weeks. Has placed previously first up from a break. Finished off last preparation fifth of 14 at this track March 29 over 7f, 3 len behind King Dance with 119lbs at $2.90. First up last campaign fourth of 12 at Happy Valley December 17 over 6f, 1.5 len behind Perfectday carrying 126lbs at $10. Expect a bold showing. 2nd Pick 13 Peridot Jockey: Matthew Poon Trainer: David Hall J: Matthew Poon T: David Hall	62	-	-	-	10%	9/1
Analysis Gelding back from a spell of 11 weeks. Has placed previously first up from a break. Finished off last preparation fifth of 14 at this track March 29 over 7f, 3 len behind King Dance with 119lbs at $2.90. First up last campaign fourth of 12 at Happy Valley December 17 over 6f, 1.5 len behind Perfectday carrying 126lbs at $10. Expect a bold showing.
7	Recent form sound. Last start 3rd of 14 at this track on June 7 over 7f, 3 len behind Honorary carrying 127lbs at $8.40. The run before that sat on the pace when 3rd of 14 at this track on May 24 over 6f, 1.5 len behind Packing King carrying 127lbs at $115. This looks the ideal assignment. 3rd Pick 7 Polar Patch Jockey: Jerry Chau Trainer: Mark Newnham J: Jerry Chau T: Mark Newnham	105	-	-	-	13%	7/1
Analysis Recent form sound. Last start 3rd of 14 at this track on June 7 over 7f, 3 len behind Honorary carrying 127lbs at $8.40. The run before that sat on the pace when 3rd of 14 at this track on May 24 over 6f, 1.5 len behind Packing King carrying 127lbs at $115. This looks the ideal assignment.

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Horse Racing Basic Terms

Overlay

A horse going off at higher odds than his recent efforts show that he deserves.

Trifecta

A wager picking the first, second and third horses in the exact order. A trifecta box means paying more to ensure the horses can finish in any order in the top three spots.

Pari-Mutuel

A pool style wagering system, where all money input through betting is divided among those with winning tickets (save for various deductions by the track operators).