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7:35 AM

Hong Kong Sha Tin - Race 6

Thoroughbred
14 Runners
7f
Restricted
Turf
GOOD
149.2K

All race stats and comments are provided by numberfire. Complex algorithms are used to calculate stats like the power rating. Numberfire picks are provided by horse racing experts that work with numberfire.

Verdict

BUCEPHALAS (5) is a very hard horse to catch, but finally gets a decent gate after enduring a string of wide draws. He won first-up last season and looked sharp in a recent trial, suggesting he is ready to rumble. He maps to receive the run of the race, and goes on top for us. SUPER LOVE (13) showed plenty first-up, working home strongly into fourth over 6f after covering ground from a wide gate. The step to 7f looks ideal and he should be very competitive. CIRCUIT FIERY (3) gets the pole position, and should enjoy a soft run behind the speed. He benefits from a very handy 7lbs claim, and should help him figure in the top 4 here. LUCKY MAN (8) has been racing in good form since joining Jimmy Ting and the booking of Zac Purton is always a strong lead in these fields. He resumes off a break and, if ready, he can make his presence felt.
numberFire Picks
Horse Stats
#/SilkHorse#/HorsePower RatingHigh SpeedWin %Top 3%Win ProbOdds
5
Bucephalas silk

Resuming. Finished off last campaign sixth of 14 at this track July 12 over 7f, 3 len behind Rising Phoenix carrying 131lbs at $51. Previous preparation first-up won by 1.3 len this track Rating 60 November 15 over 7f defeating The Golden Knight with 131lbs at $8. Can make the most of his good draw, each-way value.

1st Pick
5

Bucephalas

Jockey: Derek Leung

Trainer: W K Mo

J: Derek Leung

T: W K Mo

71---15%6/1

Analysis

Resuming. Finished off last campaign sixth of 14 at this track July 12 over 7f, 3 len behind Rising Phoenix carrying 131lbs at $51. Previous preparation first-up won by 1.3 len this track Rating 60 November 15 over 7f defeating The Golden Knight with 131lbs at $8. Can make the most of his good draw, each-way value.

13
Super Love silk

Form hard to fault. Most recently came home strongly from last on the turn, 4th of 14 at this track on September 6 over 6f, 3 len behind Light Years Glory carrying 123lbs at $56. The run before that 4th of 14 at this track on July 12 over 7f, 3 len behind Rising Phoenix carrying 127lbs at $16. Terrific chance to return to form.

2nd Pick
13

Super Love

Jockey: Vincent Ho

Trainer: C H Yip

J: Vincent Ho

T: C H Yip

85---17%5/1

Analysis

Form hard to fault. Most recently came home strongly from last on the turn, 4th of 14 at this track on September 6 over 6f, 3 len behind Light Years Glory carrying 123lbs at $56. The run before that 4th of 14 at this track on July 12 over 7f, 3 len behind Rising Phoenix carrying 127lbs at $16. Terrific chance to return to form.

3
Circuit Fiery silk

Gelding back from a spell of three months. Has placed previously first up from a break. Finished off last preparation 11th of 14 at this track July 1 over 7f, 9 len behind Nyx Gluck with 134lbs at $11. When resuming last campaign second of 14 at this track September 14 2025 over 7f, 0.5 len behind My Flying Angel carrying 133lbs at $2.30. A big run will not surprise.

3rd Pick
3

Circuit Fiery

Jockey: Britney Wong

Trainer: W Y So

J: Britney Wong

T: W Y So

81---7%14/1

Analysis

Gelding back from a spell of three months. Has placed previously first up from a break. Finished off last preparation 11th of 14 at this track July 1 over 7f, 9 len behind Nyx Gluck with 134lbs at $11. When resuming last campaign second of 14 at this track September 14 2025 over 7f, 0.5 len behind My Flying Angel carrying 133lbs at $2.30. A big run will not surprise.

Horse Racing Basic Terms

Track Bias

The term used to identify which parts of the track or running styles are producing more winners.

Workout

A workout is a timed sprint over varying distances prior to a race, meant to get a horse fit enough for competition.

Condition Book

A list of upcoming races issued by the racing secretary, where the conditions of races to be run over the next few weeks are written.