Hong Kong Sha Tin - Race 6

Thoroughbred

14 Runners

Restricted

Turf

GOOD

150.3K

VIEW

R10

R11

Verdict

SUNDAY'S SERENADE (1) kept coming but just failed to pick up the winner last start over 1 m at Happy Valley. Placed to advantage, and with Zac Purton in the saddle, he is the one to beat. BETTER AND BETTER (10) was given a short break after finishing fourth over 7f at this track. Subsequently scored a good trial win at Sha Tin AW. He is capable of taking them all the way here. THE HEIR (3) settled well back from a wide draw last time, then wound up strongly to finish sixth over 6f at Happy Valley. The extra ground looks like a big plus, and he can figure in the top 4 here. PROUD BOX (9) has not had much luck since his third on debut, and the step up in trip is ideal. He is expected to finish a lot closer this time. RAGING RAPIDS (5) was out of the money two runs back then, again missed the frame last start over 7f at this track, beaten 2.5 lengths into fourth. He can settle closer to the pace this time, and he is worth including in all combos.

numberFire Picks

Horse Stats

#/Silk	Horse#/Horse	Power Rating	High Speed	Win %	Top 3%	Win Prob	Odds
1	Most recently 2nd of 12 at Happy Valley on December 10 over 1 m, 0.8 len behind Fivefortwo carrying 131lbs at $10. The run before that 9th of 11 at Happy Valley on November 19 over 1 m, 5 len behind Glorious Journey with 123lbs at $11. Sure to prove tough to beat. 1st Pick 1 Sunday's Serenade Jockey: Zac Purton Trainer: Jamie Richards J: Zac Purton T: Jamie Richards	138	-	-	-	13%	7/1
Analysis Most recently 2nd of 12 at Happy Valley on December 10 over 1 m, 0.8 len behind Fivefortwo carrying 131lbs at $10. The run before that 9th of 11 at Happy Valley on November 19 over 1 m, 5 len behind Glorious Journey with 123lbs at $11. Sure to prove tough to beat.
10	Most recently sat on the speed and boxed on steadily 4th of 14 at this track on December 7 over 7f, 1.5 len behind With A Smile with 123lbs at $6.60. Before that 5th of 14 at this track on November 9 over 7f, 1.3 len behind Super Love carrying 123lbs at $5.20. He is right in this. 2nd Pick 10 Better And Better Jockey: Vincent Ho Trainer: F C Lor J: Vincent Ho T: F C Lor	79	-	-	-	25%	3/1
Analysis Most recently sat on the speed and boxed on steadily 4th of 14 at this track on December 7 over 7f, 1.5 len behind With A Smile with 123lbs at $6.60. Before that 5th of 14 at this track on November 9 over 7f, 1.3 len behind Super Love carrying 123lbs at $5.20. He is right in this.
3	At the latest run eased back early on 6th of 12 at Happy Valley on December 17 over 6f, 1.75 len behind Perfectday with 132lbs at $9.20. Before that 8th of 14 at this track on October 26 over 1m, 3 len behind Time To Fire carrying 131lbs at $11. Top chance on his best form. 3rd Pick 3 The Heir Jockey: James Orman Trainer: Caspar Fownes J: James Orman T: Caspar Fownes	162	-	-	-	13%	7/1
Analysis At the latest run eased back early on 6th of 12 at Happy Valley on December 17 over 6f, 1.75 len behind Perfectday with 132lbs at $9.20. Before that 8th of 14 at this track on October 26 over 1m, 3 len behind Time To Fire carrying 131lbs at $11. Top chance on his best form.

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Horse Racing Basic Terms

Sloppy

A wet racetrack condition, typically with a firm base and water settling on top.

Superfecta

A wager involving choosing the first, second, third, and fourth horses in one race in the exact order. A superfecta box involves paying more to ensure they can finish in any order in the top four spots.

Blinkers

A hood worn on a horse’s head to limit side vision, which can improve concentration. Blinkers are added or removed to relax a horse or give it more focus.