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7:00 AM

Hong Kong Sha Tin - Race 6

Thoroughbred
14 Runners
7f
Restricted
Turf
WET FAST
149.1K

All race stats and comments are provided by numberfire. Complex algorithms are used to calculate stats like the power rating. Numberfire picks are provided by horse racing experts that work with numberfire.

Verdict

POSITIVE SMILE (3) was in the market first-up but faded out of contention. He's been back to the trials since then where he's been super for Purton who remains with him today. Usually improves with a run under the belt and sharp improvement is on the cards. GRAND PATCH (2) brings the cleanest recent form, having been held up before running on for fourth beaten two lengths after a win at this track from Ka Ying Glory, and he has a recent edge over Positive Smile. Won a recent trial and can feature in the finish. SHOTGUN (9) resumes with two solid trials undser his belt and is a track and trip winner in the past. Poon sticks from the latest trial and he won't be far away. HERO RISING (8) is still a maiden, but his first-up fourth at big odds had merit after doing work and he has upside if he can build on that run.
numberFire Picks
Horse Stats
#/SilkHorse#/HorsePower RatingHigh SpeedWin %Top 3%Win ProbOdds
3
Positive Smile silk

Was well found in betting when resuming at this track and held second into the straight before fading to ninth, beaten just over six lengths. The margin was plain, and Grand Patch has a recent edge, but he is a two-time track-and-distance winner with Zac Purton going on and blinkers added first time. Recent trial was much better and a turnaround in recent form is on the cards.

1st Pick
3

Positive Smile

Jockey: Zac Purton

Trainer: David A Hayes

J: Zac Purton

T: David A Hayes

129---17%5/1

Analysis

Was well found in betting when resuming at this track and held second into the straight before fading to ninth, beaten just over six lengths. The margin was plain, and Grand Patch has a recent edge, but he is a two-time track-and-distance winner with Zac Purton going on and blinkers added first time. Recent trial was much better and a turnaround in recent form is on the cards.

2
Grand Patch silk

Was full of merit when fourth at this track last start, beaten two lengths after being held up at key stages before finding the line late. That followed a head win at this venue over Ka Ying Glory, and his record at this track and distance reads well from a small sample. Proven at this track and distance and looks a major player.

2nd Pick
2

Grand Patch

Jockey: Vincent Ho

Trainer: Manfred Man

J: Vincent Ho

T: Manfred Man

142---39%8/5

Analysis

Was full of merit when fourth at this track last start, beaten two lengths after being held up at key stages before finding the line late. That followed a head win at this venue over Ka Ying Glory, and his record at this track and distance reads well from a small sample. Proven at this track and distance and looks a major player.

9
Shotgun silk

Resumes after a three-month break, last seen finishing seventh at Happy Valley over 6f, beaten three lengths, when near the top of an open market. His prior Sha Tin AW run was a complete forgive only in margin terms after being well beaten, but his broader season record is strong and he is one from four at this track and distance. Best figures make him a real danger.

3rd Pick
9

Shotgun

Jockey: Matthew Poon

Trainer: David Hall

J: Matthew Poon

T: David Hall

69---10%9/1

Analysis

Resumes after a three-month break, last seen finishing seventh at Happy Valley over 6f, beaten three lengths, when near the top of an open market. His prior Sha Tin AW run was a complete forgive only in margin terms after being well beaten, but his broader season record is strong and he is one from four at this track and distance. Best figures make him a real danger.

Horse Racing Basic Terms

Blinkers

A hood worn on a horse’s head to limit side vision, which can improve concentration. Blinkers are added or removed to relax a horse or give it more focus.

Superfecta

A wager involving choosing the first, second, third, and fourth horses in one race in the exact order. A superfecta box involves paying more to ensure they can finish in any order in the top four spots.

Starter Race

An allowance race restricted to horses who have started for a certain claiming price recently.