Hong Kong Sha Tin - Race 6

Thoroughbred

14 Runners

8.9f

Restricted

Turf

GOOD

150.1K

VIEW

R10

R11

Verdict

CHINA WIN (5) closed off strongly last start to get up for second, beaten a nose, over 1 ?m at Happy Valley. The blinkers have been removed, and he can go one better. AUDACIOUS PURSUIT (1) settled well back from a wide draw last time, then wound up strongly to finish fifth over 1m at this track. He appears suited to the longer journey, and could even have the last say here. KASA PAPA (14) hit the frame two starts ago at Happy Valley but ran below par last time when seventh there over 1 m. He can put himself in the right spot this time in a field that lacks any early speed, and he may even break his local duck. VOLCANIC SPARK (10) flew home too late when finishing runner-up here last start over 1 ¼m. His next win is due at short notice. Each way. PACKING HURRICANE (6) progressed nicely last start to finish a close third over 1 ¼m at this track after missing the placings at the previous appearance. He can make full use of the pole position and won't be far away.

numberFire Picks

Horse Stats

#/Silk	Horse#/Horse	Power Rating	High Speed	Win %	Top 3%	Win Prob	Odds
5	At the latest run came from midfield, 2nd of 12 at Happy Valley on December 17 over 1m, nose behind Young Bravo carrying 123lbs at $3.10. Before that eased back early on 6th of 12 at Happy Valley on November 26 over 1m, 2.25 len behind Ocean Impact with 126lbs at $14. Shapes as a key runner. 1st Pick 5 China Win Jockey: Zac Purton Trainer: David A Hayes J: Zac Purton T: David A Hayes	109	-	-	-	20%	4/1
Analysis At the latest run came from midfield, 2nd of 12 at Happy Valley on December 17 over 1m, nose behind Young Bravo carrying 123lbs at $3.10. Before that eased back early on 6th of 12 at Happy Valley on November 26 over 1m, 2.25 len behind Ocean Impact with 126lbs at $14. Shapes as a key runner.
1	Last start 5th of 14 at this track on December 20 over 1m, 2.25 len behind Fit For Beauty carrying 133lbs at $5.50. Before that won by a nose at this track November 30 over 1m defeating Smart Fat Cat carrying 130lbs at $2.10. Not far away last time. Sure to measure up here. 2nd Pick 1 Audacious Pursuit Jockey: Hugh Bowman Trainer: Caspar Fownes J: Hugh Bowman T: Caspar Fownes	114	-	-	-	17%	5/1
Analysis Last start 5th of 14 at this track on December 20 over 1m, 2.25 len behind Fit For Beauty carrying 133lbs at $5.50. Before that won by a nose at this track November 30 over 1m defeating Smart Fat Cat carrying 130lbs at $2.10. Not far away last time. Sure to measure up here.
14	At the latest run got back early 7th of 12 at Happy Valley on December 23 over 1 m, 4 len behind Absolute Awakened carrying 117lbs at $2.90. The race before that 2nd of 12 at Happy Valley on November 26 over 1m, neck behind Ocean Impact carrying 116lbs at $5.60. Rates highly. Terrific chance to return to form. 3rd Pick 14 Kasa Papa Jockey: Andrea Atzeni Trainer: A S Cruz J: Andrea Atzeni T: A S Cruz	93	-	-	-	6%	16/1
Analysis At the latest run got back early 7th of 12 at Happy Valley on December 23 over 1 m, 4 len behind Absolute Awakened carrying 117lbs at $2.90. The race before that 2nd of 12 at Happy Valley on November 26 over 1m, neck behind Ocean Impact carrying 116lbs at $5.60. Rates highly. Terrific chance to return to form.

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Horse Racing Basic Terms

Main Track Only

A horse entered for main track only (MTO) is one hoping the weather forecast or track conditions will move the race off the turf course and onto the main track. They are scratched the morning of the race if the conditions stay dry.

State-Bred

A horse bred in a particular state and thus eligible to race in restricted state-bred races. These can be anything from maiden races to stakes events.

Morning Line

An approximation of expected odds in a race, quoted before actual odds are determined.