Hong Kong Sha Tin - Race 5

Thoroughbred

14 Runners

Restricted

Turf

GOOD

238.9K

VIEW

R10

Verdict

INVINCIBLE IBIS (7) settled out the back lasts tart from a wide draw and got the job done with ease, scoring by 2L. He's turned in a nice trial since then and he looks a horse who can continue to work through the grades. Purton rides again and he can score back-to-back wins with the rise in grade. MOTOR (14) was only fair in his latest trial, but he wasn't far away in a restricted C4 last time out. He rises in grade on the back of that performance, dropping 19lbs now. Can roll forward and make the most of his light weight. SUNNY DA BEST (5) finished strongly last time out over 6f and should relish the step up in distance today. Likely to get back from the wide barrier, but he races well third-up and should be finishing strongly. THE RED HARE (12) gets the pacifiers on first time today and is not to be discounted.

numberFire Picks

Horse Stats

#/Silk	Horse#/Horse	Power Rating	High Speed	Win %	Top 3%	Win Prob	Odds
7	Third-up today. Freshened for 53 days. First-up ran on from midfield, 3rd of 14 at this track on September 7 over 6f, 2 len behind Spicy Standard with 132lbs at $2.20. Last start favourite, won by 2 len at this track October 1 over 7f defeating Strange Alert carrying 132lbs at $2.80. Found his best form now. Can make it back-to-back wins. 1st Pick 7 Invincible Ibis Jockey: Zac Purton Trainer: Mark Newnham J: Zac Purton T: Mark Newnham	132	-	-	-	63%	3/5
Analysis Third-up today. Freshened for 53 days. First-up ran on from midfield, 3rd of 14 at this track on September 7 over 6f, 2 len behind Spicy Standard with 132lbs at $2.20. Last start favourite, won by 2 len at this track October 1 over 7f defeating Strange Alert carrying 132lbs at $2.80. Found his best form now. Can make it back-to-back wins.
14	Third-up today. First-up tracked the speed and boxed on steadily, won by 1.5 len at this track September 21 over 6f defeating Winning Champion with 127lbs at $3.50. Last start held ground to the line 3rd of 14 at this track on October 26 over 6f, 2 len behind Ever Luck with 134lbs at $7.30. Big chance. 2nd Pick 14 Motor Jockey: Alex Badel Trainer: W K Mo J: Alex Badel T: W K Mo	77	-	-	-	4%	26/1
Analysis Third-up today. First-up tracked the speed and boxed on steadily, won by 1.5 len at this track September 21 over 6f defeating Winning Champion with 127lbs at $3.50. Last start held ground to the line 3rd of 14 at this track on October 26 over 6f, 2 len behind Ever Luck with 134lbs at $7.30. Big chance.
5	Third-up today and won third-up in the past. Resuming 4th of 14 at this track on October 26 over 5f, 1.5 len behind Alpha Strike carrying 127lbs at $49. Second run from a spell 2nd of 12 at this track on November 9 over 6f, 0.8 len behind Circuit Grand Slam carrying 123lbs at $4.70. Fitter now and making headway. Hard to beat. 3rd Pick 5 Sunny Da Best Jockey: Vincent Ho Trainer: W Y So J: Vincent Ho T: W Y So	88	-	-	-	5%	19/1
Analysis Third-up today and won third-up in the past. Resuming 4th of 14 at this track on October 26 over 5f, 1.5 len behind Alpha Strike carrying 127lbs at $49. Second run from a spell 2nd of 12 at this track on November 9 over 6f, 0.8 len behind Circuit Grand Slam carrying 123lbs at $4.70. Fitter now and making headway. Hard to beat.

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Horse Racing Basic Terms

Stakes Race

Stakes Races are known as better class races, with higher purses and often accompanies by trophies.

Underlay

A horse that is going off at lower odds than it deserves based on performance.

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A new jockey who has not ridden a certain number of winners in a specified time period.