Hong Kong Sha Tin - Race 8

Thoroughbred

12 Runners

Restricted

Turf

GOOD

239.3K

VIEW

R10

Verdict

LIFELINE EXPRESS (4) has gone under narrowly his past two outings and may be better suited to the wider barrier he draws today. He's been back to the trials since then and he rates highly off his latest run. Can go one better this time around. GENEVA (6) is building a handy record despite a disappointing run over 7f last time out. Now 104 days between runs, but he's trialled well coming into this and back to 6f is a big tick. The in-form Avdulla rides and he can bounce back to winning ways. MASTER CHAMPION (2) makes his HK debut today and has trialled well coming into this. He was Group placed in Australia under the name Embassy and he has enough speed to cross from the outside. Can play a role in his HK debut. MODULECONSTRUCTION (3) resumes from a spell today and boasts a strong fresh record. He won't be far away.

numberFire Picks

Horse Stats

#/Silk	Horse#/Horse	Power Rating	High Speed	Win %	Top 3%	Win Prob	Odds
4	Form hard to fault. Last start 2nd of 14 at this track on February 23 over 6f, head behind Triumphant More carrying 123lbs at $5.30. The run before that 2nd of 11 at this track on February 16 over 6f, nose behind Invincible Shield with 115lbs at $5.50. Expected to be very competitive. 1st Pick 4 Lifeline Express Jockey: Andrea Atzeni Trainer: John Size J: Andrea Atzeni T: John Size	160	-	-	-	39%	8/5
Analysis Form hard to fault. Last start 2nd of 14 at this track on February 23 over 6f, head behind Triumphant More carrying 123lbs at $5.30. The run before that 2nd of 11 at this track on February 16 over 6f, nose behind Invincible Shield with 115lbs at $5.50. Expected to be very competitive.
6	Gelding back from a spell of three-and-a-half months. Has placed previously first up from a break. Finished off last preparation sixth of 14 at this track December 1 over 7f, 6 len behind My Wish with 126lbs at $3.10. Previously first up, third of 12 at this track September 8 over 6f, 0.5 len behind Super Fortune carrying 127lbs at $3.60. Expected to play a major role. 2nd Pick 6 Geneva Jockey: Brenton Avdulla Trainer: David Hall J: Brenton Avdulla T: David Hall	89	-	-	-	19%	9/2
Analysis Gelding back from a spell of three-and-a-half months. Has placed previously first up from a break. Finished off last preparation sixth of 14 at this track December 1 over 7f, 6 len behind My Wish with 126lbs at $3.10. Previously first up, third of 12 at this track September 8 over 6f, 0.5 len behind Super Fortune carrying 127lbs at $3.60. Expected to play a major role.
2	Resumes after a break of six-and-a-half months and has been in the money when fresh before. Finished off last preparation won by nose Kembla Grange Cge Mdn-Sw August 31 over 6f defeating Invade And Conquer carrying 125lbs at $1.30. First up last campaign second of 7 at Wyong 3yo Mdn-Sw August 18 over 6f, soft track, 0.8 len behind Lilac carrying 126lbs at $1.40. This is an ideal race to kick off. Looks tough to beat. 3rd Pick 2 Master Champion Jockey: H T Mo Trainer: Danny Shum J: H T Mo T: Danny Shum	111	-	-	-	20%	Scratched
Analysis Resumes after a break of six-and-a-half months and has been in the money when fresh before. Finished off last preparation won by nose Kembla Grange Cge Mdn-Sw August 31 over 6f defeating Invade And Conquer carrying 125lbs at $1.30. First up last campaign second of 7 at Wyong 3yo Mdn-Sw August 18 over 6f, soft track, 0.8 len behind Lilac carrying 126lbs at $1.40. This is an ideal race to kick off. Looks tough to beat.

Upcoming Races

Horse Racing Basic Terms

Main Track Only

A horse entered for main track only (MTO) is one hoping the weather forecast or track conditions will move the race off the turf course and onto the main track. They are scratched the morning of the race if the conditions stay dry.

Minus Pool

A pari-mutuel pool – typically a show pool - where one horse is so heavily bet that after deductions there is not enough money left to cover the prescribed minimum on each bet.

Bleeder

A horse that bleeds due to a ruptured blood vessel during a race or workout. The medication Lasix can fix this problem.