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7:10 AM

Hong Kong Sha Tin - Race 5

Thoroughbred
14 Runners
8f
Restricted
Turf
GOOD
150.3K

All race stats and comments are provided by numberfire. Complex algorithms are used to calculate stats like the power rating. Numberfire picks are provided by horse racing experts that work with numberfire.

Verdict

OLDTOWN (1) won narrowly first-up before getting a long way back over 7f most recently, finishing strongly to be 2.3L off the winner. J-Mac rides now and he draws a much better gate this time around. Suspect getting to the mile is a big tick for him and he can bounce back to winning ways. AUDACIOUS PURSUIT (5) was caught wide in the run from a wide gate last time out and was only caught late in the race, beaten a head. Bowman rides again and the better gate this time is significant. Can go one better this time around. THE GOLDEN KNIGHT (8) gets out to the mile now which looks a big tick for him after missing as the race favourite last time out. He may be able to sit a touch closer up in trip now and with further improvement expected, he can land the knockout blow. BRIGHT INHERITANCE (4) just missed last start over this track and trip 35 days ago and can make his presence felt.
numberFire Picks
Horse Stats
#/SilkHorse#/HorsePower RatingHigh SpeedWin %Top 3%Win ProbOdds
1
Oldtown silk

Third-up today. First-up ran on from midfield and won by a nose at this track October 12 over 6f defeating Jubilant Star carrying 127lbs at $3.40. Last start 4th of 14 at this track on November 15 over 7f, 2.25 len behind Bucephalas carrying 134lbs at $5.60. Can atone.

1st Pick
1

Oldtown

Jockey: James Mcdonald

Trainer: W Y So

J: James Mcdonald

T: W Y So

130---10%9/1

Analysis

Third-up today. First-up ran on from midfield and won by a nose at this track October 12 over 6f defeating Jubilant Star carrying 127lbs at $3.40. Last start 4th of 14 at this track on November 15 over 7f, 2.25 len behind Bucephalas carrying 134lbs at $5.60. Can atone.

5
Audacious Pursuit silk

Form hard to fault. Most recently 2nd of 14 at this track on November 9 over 1m, head behind The Auspicious carrying 126lbs at $6.10. The run before that came from midfield, 4th of 14 at this track on October 19 over 7f, 1.75 len behind Lucky Sam Gor with 126lbs at $27. Rates highly on the latest effort and can measure up.

2nd Pick
5

Audacious Pursuit

Jockey: Hugh Bowman

Trainer: Caspar Fownes

J: Hugh Bowman

T: Caspar Fownes

116---25%3/1

Analysis

Form hard to fault. Most recently 2nd of 14 at this track on November 9 over 1m, head behind The Auspicious carrying 126lbs at $6.10. The run before that came from midfield, 4th of 14 at this track on October 19 over 7f, 1.75 len behind Lucky Sam Gor with 126lbs at $27. Rates highly on the latest effort and can measure up.

8
The Golden Knight silk

Third-up today. First-up came home strongly from last on the turn, 3rd of 14 at this track on October 19 over 7f, 1.0 len behind The Auspicious carrying 125lbs at $19. Second run from a spell 2nd of 14 at this track on November 15 over 7f, 1.3 len behind Bucephalas carrying 128lbs at $4.50. Racing well. Hard to beat.

3rd Pick
8

The Golden Knight

Jockey: Vincent Ho

Trainer: K W Lui

J: Vincent Ho

T: K W Lui

74---19%9/2

Analysis

Third-up today. First-up came home strongly from last on the turn, 3rd of 14 at this track on October 19 over 7f, 1.0 len behind The Auspicious carrying 125lbs at $19. Second run from a spell 2nd of 14 at this track on November 15 over 7f, 1.3 len behind Bucephalas carrying 128lbs at $4.50. Racing well. Hard to beat.

Horse Racing Basic Terms

Bullet

A bullet, or bullet workout, is a workout that was clocked as the best time for a certain distance on a given day.

Also Eligible

A horse that is entered but does not draw into the body of the field due to too many entries, and thus is not permitted to start unless there are enough scratches to shrink the field size.

Blinkers

A hood worn on a horse’s head to limit side vision, which can improve concentration. Blinkers are added or removed to relax a horse or give it more focus.